Jalur Populer, Peluang Interaksi Baru: Tiga Pasar Prediksi yang Ditunggu oleh YZi Labs

Odaily星球日报Published on 2025-12-23Last updated on 2025-12-23

Abstract

Berikut adalah ringkasan dalam bahasa Indonesia tentang tiga platform prediksi pasar yang didukung YZi Labs di ekosistem BNB Chain, berdasarkan data 22 Desember: **Opinion** memimpin dengan 75% pangsa pasar dan volume perdagangan $125 juta. Platform ini, yang telah mengumpulkan $5 juta dalam pendanaan seed, meluncurkan program poin Natal & Tahun Baru dengan total 100.000 poin yang dihadiahkan berdasarkan volume, durasi perdagangan, dan penggunaan limit order. **predict.fun**, didirikan oleh dingaling yang terkenal di NFT, menawarkan inovasi di mana dana yang digunakan untuk prediksi juga dapat menghasilkan yield. Platform ini sedang mengakhiri minggu pertama program poinnya dan akan segera memulai minggu kedua. **Probable**, diinkubasi oleh PancakeSwap dan didukung YZi Labs, berfokus pada pengalaman tanpa biaya dan penyelesaian fully on-chain. Sistem poinnya akan segera diluncurkan, dengan perhitungan berdasarkan volume perdagangan pengguna.

Orisinal | Odaily Planet Daily(@OdailyChina)

Penulis | Asher(@Asher_ 0210)

Pasar prediksi adalah topik yang sangat hangat dibicarakan komunitas belakangan ini, selain Polymarket dan Kalshi, pasar prediksi di ekosistem BNB Chain juga semakin berkembang. Menurut data Dune, dari volume perdagangan tiga platform pasar prediksi utama di ekosistem BNB Chain kemarin, Opinion saat ini memimpin jauh di atas yang lain, dengan pangsa pasar 75%, volume perdagangan kemarin 125 juta dolar AS; selanjutnya, Probable yang didukung oleh tim PancakeSwap memiliki pangsa pasar 14,5%, volume perdagangan kemarin 24 juta dolar AS; predict.fun yang didirikan oleh dingaling menempati posisi ketiga, dengan pangsa pasar 10,5%, volume perdagangan kemarin 17 juta dolar AS.

Pangsa pasar prediksi ekosistem BNB Chain (22 Desember)

Volume perdagangan pasar prediksi ekosistem BNB Chain (22 Desember)

Berikut, Odaily Planet Daily akan memperkenalkan tiga platform pasar prediksi di ekosistem BNB Chain yang mendapat investasi dari YZi Labs: Opinion, predict.fun, dan Probable.

Opinion: Pemimpin Pasar Prediksi Ekosistem BNB Chain, Kemarin Meluncurkan Aktivitas Poin Natal & Tahun Baru

Opinion adalah platform pasar prediksi pertama di ekosistem BNB Chain. Menurut data ROOTDATA, Opinion mengumumkan penyelesaian putaran pendanaan seed senilai 5 juta dolar AS pada 18 Maret tahun ini, putaran ini dipimpin oleh YZi Labs, dengan partisipasi dari echo, Animoca Ventures, Manifold, Amber Group, dll. Selain itu, Opinion adalah salah satu dari 4 proyek dengan performa terbaik dalam program Binance Labs MVB sebelumnya.

Aturan Poin

Alokasi poin Opinion didasarkan per minggu, setiap minggu memberikan hadiah total 100 ribu poin, aturannya sebagai berikut:

1. Persyaratan volume perdagangan: mingguan ≥ 200U (dan setiap pesanan ≥ 10U) baru dapat dihitung sebagai poin.

2. Waktu penahanan: posisi semakin besar, waktu penahanan semakin lama → poin semakin tinggi.

3. Penawaran likuiditas (pesanan limit): jumlah penawaran limit ≥ 10U baru dihitung sebagai poin; semakin lama ditawarkan, harga semakin mendekati harga bid-ask terbaik → poin semakin banyak; pesanan limit biaya 0, dan ditambah bobot poin, adalah cara paling stabil untuk mengumpulkan poin (pesanan market dikenakan biaya sekitar 2%).

4. Volume perdagangan dan biaya: nilai perdagangan semakin besar, kontribusi biaya semakin banyak → poin semakin banyak.

Aktivitas Poin Natal & Tahun Baru

Kemarin (22 Desember), Opinion mengumumkan di platform X, meluncurkan aktivitas poin Natal & Tahun Baru, detailnya sebagai berikut:

  • Hadiah aktivitas: total 100 ribu poin;
  • Waktu aktivitas: 22 Desember hingga 5 Januari 2026, berlangsung dua minggu;
  • Cara mendapatkan poin: Daily Warriors, total 20 ribu poin (setiap hari perdagangan > 3 kali, dan memenuhi > 10 hari); Volume Kings: total 20 ribu poin (volume perdagangan harian > 2,000 dolar AS, dan memenuhi > 10 hari); Binance Wallet Elite: total 10 ribu poin (volume perdagangan kumulatif selama aktivitas > 2,000 dolar AS); Diamond Hands: total 20 ribu poin; Mystery Finale: total 30 ribu poin.

Selain itu, beberapa hal yang perlu diperhatikan dalam cara mendapatkan poin adalah:

  • Hadiah Diamond Hands: dialokasikan berdasarkan posisi terbuka tertimbang waktu semua pengguna selama periode aktivitas, data berasal dari snapshot berkala platform;
  • Hadiah Daily Warriors dan Volume Kings: selama periode aktivitas, dompet yang memenuhi ambang batas perdagangan harian yang sesuai setidaknya 10 hari, akan bersama-sama membagi hadiah yang sesuai;
  • Hadiah Binance Wallet Elite: selama periode aktivitas, pengguna yang menyelesaikan perdagangan kumulatif > 2,000 dolar AS melalui Binance Wallet, akan bersama-sama membagi hadiah. Hadiah ini harus menggunakan alamat tanpa kunci (keyless address) atau dompet yang baru diimpor, dompet lama yang sudah terdaftar di OPINION tidak memenuhi syarat.

predict.fun: Pendiri adalah figur terkenal di bidang NFT dingaling, aktivitas poin minggu pertama akan berakhir malam ini pukul 10

predict.fun adalah platform pasar prediksi yang diluncurkan di BNB Chain, pendirinya adalah figur terkenal di bidang NFT sebelumnya, dingaling. Berbeda dengan pasar prediksi tradisional seperti Polymarket dan Kalshi, predict.fun mencapai inovasi kunci: dana yang digunakan pengguna untuk berpartisipasi dalam prediksi tidak lagi menganggur, tetapi dapat menghasilkan pendapatan tambahan secara bersamaan selama periode prediksi.

Pada 17 Desember, pendiri predict.fun, dingaling, mengumumkan di platform X bahwa platform telah resmi dibuka, dan melakukan airdrop poin awal kepada pedagang Meme di BNB Chain, peserta Aster, dan pengguna aktif berbagai pasar prediksi. (Tutorial interaksi lebih lanjut dapat dibaca: Panduan Langkah demi Langkah untuk Berpartisipasi dalam predict.fun yang Didukung CZ)

Hari ini, predict.fun secara resmi mengumumkan di platform X bahwa aktivitas poin minggu pertama akan berakhir pada pukul 10 malam ini waktu Beijing, 3 hari kemudian hadiah poin prediksi dan hadiah airdrop tambahan lainnya akan dicatat ke akun pribadi pengguna, dan peringkat juga akan diperbarui. Selain itu, aktivitas poin minggu kedua akan segera dimulai setelah aktivitas minggu pertama berakhir.

Probable: Pasar Prediksi yang Dikembangbiakkan oleh PancakeSwap, sistem poin akan segera diluncurkan

Pada 16 Desember, PancakeSwap mengumumkan peluncuran platform pasar prediksi on-chain penuh yang dikembangbiakkannya, Probable (bahasa platform mendukung pengubahan ke bahasa Mandarin sederhana), proyek ini didukung bersama oleh PancakeSwap dan YZi Labs, dan akan disebarkan secara eksklusif di BNB Chain. PancakeSwap menyatakan bahwa Probable adalah proyek independen, timnya akan memajukan peluncuran produk dan ekspansi ekosistem dengan dukungan PancakeSwap dan YZi Labs.

Menurut介绍, Probable diposisikan sebagai platform prediksi on-chain yang berpusat pada pengguna, dengan fokus pada biaya nol, penyelesaian on-chain penuh, dan pengalaman penggunaan yang disederhanakan. Pada awalnya, platform tidak akan mengenakan biaya prediksi, mengandalkan infrastruktur biaya rendah dan kinerja tinggi BNB Chain, mendukung pengguna untuk memprediksi pergerakan aset kripto, peristiwa global, acara olahraga, serta beberapa pasar dengan karakteristik regional.

Di tingkat mekanisme, Probable menggunakan Optimistic Oracle dari UMA sebagai alat penilaian acara, melalui metode verifikasi berbasis sengketa untuk mencapai konfirmasi hasil, guna meningkatkan transparansi dan kemampuan anti-sensor pasar prediksi. Selain itu, pengguna dapat menggunakan token apa pun untuk mengisi, sistem akan secara otomatis menukarnya menjadi USDT di BNB Chain untuk berpartisipasi dalam prediksi, mengurangi ambang batas operasi.

Saat ini, sistem poin Probable belum diluncurkan. Menurut informasi resmi, sistem poin baru akan segera diluncurkan, poin akan dihitung berdasarkan volume perdagangan pengguna, saat ini latar belakang telah mulai menghitung dan mengakumulasi volume perdagangan pengguna saat ini.

Related Questions

QApa itu Opinion dan bagaimana performanya di pasar prediksi BNB Chain?

AOpinion adalah platform pasar prediksi pertama di ekosistem BNB Chain. Berdasarkan data Dune, pada 22 Desember, Opinion memimpin dengan volume perdagangan sebesar $125 juta, menguasai 75% pangsa pasar di antara tiga platform utama.

QSiapa yang mendanai Opinion dan berapa jumlah pendanaan yang diperoleh?

AOpinion mengumumkan penyelesaian pendanaan seed senilai $5 juta pada 18 Maret tahun ini. Pendanaan ini dipimpin oleh YZi Labs, dengan partisipasi dari echo, Animoca Ventures, Manifold, dan Amber Group.

QApa keunikan predict.fun dibandingkan platform pasar prediksi tradisional seperti Polymarket?

Apredict.fun mengimplementasikan inovasi kunci di mana dana yang digunakan untuk berpartisipasi dalam prediksi tidak menganggur, tetapi dapat menghasilkan pendapatan tambahan selama periode prediksi.

QSiapa pendiri predict.fun dan kapan platformnya diluncurkan?

APendiri predict.fun adalah dingaling, seorang tokoh terkenal di bidang NFT. Platform ini secara resmi dibuka pada 17 Desember, dengan melakukan airdrop poin awal kepada pengguna aktif.

QApa keunggulan utama Probable dan bagaimana dukungan yang diterimanya?

AProbable adalah platform pasar prediksi on-chain yang diinkubasi oleh PancakeSwap, dengan fokus pada zero fee, penyelesaian fully on-chain, dan pengalaman penggunaan yang disederhanakan. Proyek ini didukung bersama oleh PancakeSwap dan YZi Labs, dan akan disebarkan secara eksklusif di BNB Chain.

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