比特币突破 11.1 万美元压力,还有 70%上涨空间?

Cointelegraph中文Published on 2025-10-21Last updated on 2025-10-21

Abstract

比特币周线收盘站上10.8万美元,显示多头已准备重启上升趋势,关键支撑位得以收复。

比特币本周收盘价突破10.8万美元,技术图表显示后市有望大幅上涨。

比特币(BTC)升至 11.1 万美元——经典图表形态暗示后续或再涨 70%


市场分析

关键要点:

  • 比特币周一飙升至111,000美元以上,受益于宏观条件的改善和美中贸易协议的潜在达成。
  • 技术分析显示,看涨旗形目标为186,000美元至192,000美元的比特币价格。

受宏观经济环境改善影响,投资者信心恢复,比特币在周一欧洲交易时段重新站上11.1万美元关口。

BTC/USD小时图。来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView

宏观数据为比特币带来看涨信号


据Cointelegraph Markets Pro及TradingView数据显示,比特币价格最高触及114,300美元,24小时涨幅达4%,较周五低点103,530美元上涨7.6%。
其他主流加密货币也受比特币带动,以太坊上涨4.6%,重回关键4,000美元关口。


XRP、Solana、BNB和Dogecoin过去24小时涨幅在3%至5%之间。全球加密货币市值上涨4.6%,达到3.78万亿美元。

市值较高的加密货币24小时表现。来源:Coin360

宏观经济环境的改善推动了比特币近期的反弹。


美中关系缓和及贸易协议达成概率提升,为加密货币价格带来利好。


此前,加密货币价格因宏观经济新闻下跌,以及美国地区性银行不良贷款问题引发的担忧。


此外,CME Group FedWatch工具显示,市场参与者预计10月28日至29日FOMC会议上,降息25个基点的概率高达99%,届时利率将降至3.75%至4%。

10月29日FOMC会议的目标利率可能性。来源:CME Group FedWatch工具

美联储主席鲍威尔最近暗示量化紧缩(QT)可能很快结束,最早在2026年1月。这可能释放更多流动性,回响2021年加密货币价格的飙升。


多头旗形聚焦比特币19万美元目标价


从技术角度看,比特币周一的最新反弹源于RSI指标发出的看涨信号。日线图动能指标跌至4月以来最低点,四小时图出现明显的看涨背离,BTC/USD价格在15周低点103,500美元时形成更高的低点。


由此可见,抛压逐步减弱,交易者在低位积极布局。


宏观环境进一步加强了比特币在高周期的走势,两周K线显示多组多头旗形,指向更高目标价。


第一个旗形理论目标价为19.2万美元,第二个旗形则预期达到18.6万美元。


第三个为今年3月以来形成的小型旗形,若价格突破旗形上沿11.5万美元,将确认该形态,并有望进一步上涨至19.2万美元,与前述目标一致。

BTC/USD两周图。来源:Cointelegraph/TradingView

分析师Mags分享了类似但更看涨的观点,他表示比特币可能在周线图上的上升通道内继续上涨,峰值在250,000美元至290,000美元区域。

BTC/USD周线图。来源:Mags

另一位分析师Aksel Kibar对比特币的目标更为保守,他表示反向头肩形态仍在发挥作用,测量目标为141,300美元。


据Cointelegraph报道,比特币周线收盘站上10.8万美元,显示多头已准备重启上升趋势,关键支撑位得以收复。

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