Gold peaks as Bitcoin falls – But Uptober isn’t dead yet

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-10-18Last updated on 2025-10-19

Key Takeaways

Is Uptober 2025 Bitcoin’s worst October yet?

Not quite. It’s the second-worst mid-October in BTC history.

What do the BTC/Gold ratio numbers say?

There’s a rare bottom signal, usually seen when it’s time to rotate from gold into Bitcoin.

This October has tested Bitcoin’s [BTC] believers. Halfway through what’s usually dubbed “Uptober,” BTC finds itself in unfamiliar territory, nursing one of its worst mid-month performances in history.

But here’s what you’re not seeing. The odds still favor a green close, and rare BTC-Gold chart details indicate a possible bottom.

Will Uptober deliver, or is this the end of the run?

A rough start, but history favors the bulls

October 2025 has already earned the title of Bitcoin’s second-worst October on record. This is a surprising twist for a month that’s typically been a bull favorite.

uptoberuptober

Source: Alphractal

In 15 years, only four Octobers have closed in the red. But with a 73% chance of finishing green, the odds still lean in Bitcoin’s favor.

Despite the shaky start, many believe the month could flip bullish before it ends, keeping the streak alive.

Here’s where things get interesting

A rare signal in the BTC/Gold ratio said that the tide may soon turn.

Source: X

According to recent data, the ratio has reached levels so far seen only at major market bottoms, moments that are often the best times to shift from gold to Bitcoin.

The BTC/Gold Oscillator hovered around -1.8, historically tied to cycle lows where BTC begins outperforming gold.

As Joao Wedson, CEO, Alphractal, put it, the chart is “basically screaming” about how it’s “time to sell gold and buy Bitcoin.”

With gold at highs and Bitcoin showing bottom signals, the risk-reward equation may now favor crypto over the classic safe haven.

Bears lose momentum around $107K

After days of relentless selling, Bitcoin appeared to be stabilizing around the $107,000 mark at press time.

uptoberuptober

Source: TradingView

The daily chart showed weakening bearish momentum, with the RSI indicating that BTC was in oversold territory. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram was flattening; a possible momentum reversal if buying volume steps in.

However, BTC still traded below key EMAs (20, 50, 100), keeping the broader trend bearish.

A decisive move above $110,000 could confirm recovery, but until then, a bit of optimism never hurt anyone.

Next: Panic, then pause: Bitcoin inflows collapse by half – What this means for $117K
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