Когда спотовый XRP ETF может быть одобрен?

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-10-16Last updated on 2025-10-16

После одобрения в США спотовых ETF на Bitcoin и Ethereum внимание инвесторов переключилось на следующий логичный шаг — возможность появления спотового ETF на XRP. Такой инструмент позволил бы институционалам напрямую инвестировать в актив, минуя риски хранения криптовалюты, а также открыл бы XRP доступ к новым источникам ликвидности. Но когда это может произойти и какие факторы будут определяющими?

Прецеденты: путь BTC и ETH

  • Bitcoin ETF: Комиссия по ценным бумагам и биржам США (SEC) долго сопротивлялась спотовым продуктам, ссылаясь на риски манипуляций. Однако в январе 2024 года регулятор одобрил сразу несколько заявок, включая от BlackRock, Fidelity и других.

  • Ethereum ETF: после одобрения BTC-фондов внимание переключилось на ETH. В мае 2025 года SEC также дала добро на спотовые продукты, хотя решение сопровождалось дискуссиями о том, является ли ETH товаром или ценными бумагами.

Эти прецеденты показывают, что регулятор способен менять позицию под давлением рынка, судебных решений и лобби со стороны институциональных игроков.

Ситуация вокруг XRP

Юридический фактор

Ключевая преграда — судебный процесс между Ripple и SEC. Несмотря на частичную победу Ripple в 2023 году, когда суд признал, что вторичные продажи XRP не являются ценными бумагами, дело остаётся открытым и вызывает неопределённость. Пока юридический статус актива полностью не закреплён, SEC может использовать это как аргумент против ETF.

Рыночный фактор

XRP стабильно входит в топ-10 криптовалют по капитализации и остаётся одним из наиболее ликвидных активов. Это создаёт предпосылки для ETF, так как ключевые критерии — достаточный объём торгов и распределённая ликвидность — уже выполняются.

Институциональный интерес

Слухи и первые шаги уже есть: в 2025 году компания CoinShares подала заявку на листинг XRP ETF на Nasdaq. Это первый серьёзный сигнал, что крупные игроки готовы продвигать продукт.

Когда это может произойти?

  1. Краткосрочная перспектива (2025–2026)
    Вероятность одобрения низкая до тех пор, пока дело Ripple и SEC не будет окончательно закрыто. Регулятор вряд ли согласится дать зелёный свет, пока существует правовая неопределённость.

  2. Среднесрочная перспектива (2026–2027)
    Если Ripple добьётся окончательного решения в свою пользу или SEC изменит классификацию XRP, шансы резко вырастут. В этом случае XRP может повторить путь ETH и получить ETF через 1–2 года после юридической ясности.

  3. Долгосрочная перспектива (после 2027)
    При неблагоприятном исходе судебных процессов или ужесточении регулирования, запуск ETF может затянуться на годы. Однако опыт с BTC и ETH показывает: рынок и инвесторы способны оказывать давление на регулятора, и в итоге продукт всё равно появляется.

Что изменит запуск ETF на XRP?

  • 📈 Рост институционального спроса: пенсионные фонды, банки и инвестиционные компании получат доступ к XRP.

  • 🌐 Укрепление глобальной роли XRP как инструмента трансграничных платежей.

  • 💡 Повышение прозрачности и легитимности актива.

Итог

Одобрение спотового ETF на XRP — вопрос времени, но ключевым фактором остаётся судебная тяжба с SEC. Пока регулятор не определится окончательно, шанс на быстрое утверждение минимален. Реалистично ожидать запуск продукта в 2026–2027 годах, если юридическая неопределённость будет устранена и институциональные игроки продолжат лоббировать интересы XRP.

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
mantra
MantraMANTRA
xvs
VenusXVS
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
velodrome
Velodrome FinanceVELODROME
brev
BrevisBREV
zrx
ZRX（0X）ZRX
cake
PancakeSwapCAKE

Related Reads

MORPHO tests key resistance after Solana launch—Will the breakout hold?

Morpho (MORPHO) has officially launched on the Solana network, with trading now available on DEXs like Raydium and Jupiter. Following the news, the token's price surged 8.34% in 24 hours, accompanied by significant increases in trading volume (105%) and Open Interest (18%), indicating strong short-term bullish momentum. This aligns with a recent forecast setting a $60 price target for MORPHO. Technically, the token has been consolidating within a range, approximately between $1.64 and $2.28, since April. A recent 43% rally from June 23 has pushed the price to test key resistance. While the RSI supports the upward move, the Accumulation/Distribution indicator suggests underlying selling pressure remains. Although a bullish breakout appears to be forming, analysts urge caution. The price has attempted to break out of this range twice since May, only to reverse back toward the $1.60 support level each time. For a confirmed bullish trend, a daily close above the late-May swing high of $2.42 is needed. Traders are advised to wait for this confirmation or have clear exit strategies, as the current $2.20-$2.42 zone represents a critical supply area that could trigger another reversal.

ambcrypto9m ago

MORPHO tests key resistance after Solana launch—Will the breakout hold?

ambcrypto9m ago

The First to Ride the Hype of Robinhood Chain: Arbitrum, Up Nearly 20%

ARB rose nearly 20% recently, becoming one of the top-performing major L2 tokens. The catalyst was the launch of Robinhood Chain, an RWA-focused Layer 2 built on Arbitrum's Orbit tech. A key driver is the revived "Arbitrum Expansion Program" (AEP), a revenue-sharing rule from 2024 requiring independent Orbit chains to give 10% of their net protocol revenue to the Arbitrum ecosystem. While smaller chains already paid this, Robinhood Chain, with its significant TradFi backing, is the first large-scale tenant to make the mechanism economically meaningful. Despite impressive early metrics (over 35k addresses, $2.5B TVL, $1B+ DEX volume in its first week), Robinhood Chain's current contribution to Arbitrum's treasury is minor (~$14.7k net revenue). The price surge reflects a narrative-driven premium on AEP's future potential, given Robinhood's vast off-chain assets. The situation mirrors Optimism's "landlord" model with OP Stack, which is now facing a decline as its major tenant, Base, plans to leave. Similarly, analysts question if the high-earning Robinhood Chain will eventually follow Base's path and seek independence from Arbitrum's tech stack, especially as its activity already benefits Ethereum more directly through ETH fee burns.

marsbit51m ago

The First to Ride the Hype of Robinhood Chain: Arbitrum, Up Nearly 20%

marsbit51m ago

US Stocks Are at an Extremely Fragile Moment as Earnings Season Kicks Off

U.S. stocks are entering a high-stakes earnings season amidst what analysts describe as an "extremely fragile" market environment. While major indices show subdued volatility, underlying pressures from geopolitics, monetary policy expectations, and mixed credit market signals are building. UBS's proprietary "Turbu-lens" market fragility indicator has reached 0.9, its highest level since September 2025, historically a precursor to a sharp spike in the VIX volatility index. The risk is amplified by elevated earnings expectations. Analysts project robust profit growth for Q2—24% for the S&P 500 and 12% for the Stoxx 600—but recent upward revisions mean disappointment could trigger outsized market moves. Current low VIX levels are seen as misleading and temporary, with the earnings season likely to push volatility higher. Market internals reveal significant stress, with single-stock volatility exceeding index volatility by more than threefold. This divergence suggests a potential convergence that could drive a sharp rise in index-level volatility. Given likely continued sector rotation, UBS suggests single-stock options may offer better tactical hedging opportunities than broad index hedges. Further pressures stem from rising oil prices, which threaten to keep inflation and interest rate expectations elevated, and a cautious credit market where CDS spreads have not confirmed the equity rally's strength. For investors, UBS recommends focusing on pair-wise correlation trades to navigate expected stock-specific volatility, highlighting sectors like Tech, Energy, and Financials in the U.S. and Energy, Tech, and Consumer Discretionary in Europe.

marsbit54m ago

US Stocks Are at an Extremely Fragile Moment as Earnings Season Kicks Off

marsbit54m ago

US Stocks Are at a Time of 'Extreme Fragility' as Earnings Season Begins

U.S. stocks are in an "extremely fragile" state as earnings season begins. Despite low index-level volatility, internal pressures are mounting due to geopolitical tensions, monetary policy expectations, and credit market signals. UBS's market fragility indicator, "Turbu-lens," has reached 0.9, its highest level since September 2025, historically a precursor to sharp VIX spikes. High earnings expectations for Q2—24% for the S&P 500 and 12% for Europe's Stoxx 600—amplify the risk of market disappointment. While the VIX is currently low, this calm is seen as temporary and likely to rise with earnings reports. Notably, single-stock volatility is over three times higher than index volatility, indicating extreme internal market divergence. This gap is expected to narrow, potentially triggering a surge in broader market volatility. Rising oil prices near $80/barrel maintain inflation concerns, keeping the Federal Reserve cautious and pushing 10-year Treasury yields toward 4.6%. Credit markets also show caution, with CDS spreads not fully endorsing the recent equity rally. For hedging, UBS suggests single-stock or pair-wise correlation trades in sectors like U.S. tech, energy, and financials, and European energy, tech, and consumer discretionary, as index-level hedges may be less effective amid expected sector rotation during earnings.

链捕手56m ago

US Stocks Are at a Time of 'Extreme Fragility' as Earnings Season Begins

链捕手56m ago

Will Maple Finance [SYRUP] extend rally as TVL hits $2.2B? THESE metrics say…

Maple Finance's SYRUP token rallied 14%, driven by strong fundamental growth. The protocol's assets under management hit $4.6 billion in H1 2026, an 81% year-on-year increase, while total value locked (TVL) surged past $2.2 billion. A key driver is the recent launch of syrupUSDG on Robinhood, which saw over $200 million in inflows. On-chain data shows about 18% of SYRUP's supply is staked, tightening market availability. Additionally, the protocol reported strong yields, outperforming industry benchmarks. A proposed revenue-linked buyback program could further support the token's value, with buybacks scaling up to 30% of monthly revenue if it exceeds $2 million.

ambcrypto1h ago

Will Maple Finance [SYRUP] extend rally as TVL hits $2.2B? THESE metrics say…

ambcrypto1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is XRP 2.0

XRP 2.0: A New Frontier in the Cryptocurrency Landscape Introduction to XRP 2.0 In the ever-evolving realm of cryptocurrency, new projects continuously emerge, vying for attention and adoption. One such promising initiative is XRP 2.0, a novel cryptocurrency project designed to leverage advanced blockchain technology and robust encryption methodologies. While the name draws parallels with Ripple’s XRP, it’s crucial to note that XRP 2.0 operates independently, focusing on enhancing transaction security, privacy, and scalability. As the digital financial landscape increasingly embraces decentralized solutions, XRP 2.0 aims to contribute meaningfully to web3 and the overall expansion of crypto projects. What is XRP 2.0? At its core, XRP 2.0 is a cryptocurrency project that aims to create a secure and decentralized digital currency ecosystem. Its foundational technology integrates sophisticated blockchain principles with cutting-edge encryption techniques. The overarching goal of XRP 2.0 is to establish itself as a reliable and efficient platform enabling swift transaction execution while prioritizing enhanced privacy protections for its users. The project is promoted as a solution to many limitations faced by existing cryptocurrencies, proposing a system that can handle a higher volume of transactions with improved speed and privacy. This versatility positions XRP 2.0 as a significant contender in a marketplace riddled with various digital currencies. Who is the Creator of XRP 2.0? The identity of the creator behind XRP 2.0 has been flagged as ‘Wilbur.’ However, comprehensive details regarding Wilbur or their associated entity remain elusive. The anonymity of many cryptocurrency creators is not an uncommon phenomenon in the industry, often designed to maintain a degree of privacy and security. Who are the Investors of XRP 2.0? As of now, specific information related to the investment foundations or organizations supporting XRP 2.0 is not publicly available. In the cryptocurrency sector, the backing by reputed investors can significantly influence a project's credibility and success, yet the transparency regarding the financial supporters of XRP 2.0 has not been established. How Does XRP 2.0 Work? XRP 2.0 stands out by employing a combination of blockchain technology and advanced encryption algorithms that ensures secure and decentralized transactions. Its innovative structure includes unique features designed to foster user engagement and broaden functionalities beyond conventional cryptocurrency transactions. Among these features, XRP 2.0 incorporates AI-powered capabilities, such as text-to-image and text-to-speech functionalities. These additions are designed to enhance the interactive experience for users, promoting broader applicability across various sectors. By bridging technological advancements with user-centered design, XRP 2.0 aims to capture the attention of a diverse range of individuals and enterprises looking to integrate cryptocurrency solutions into their operational frameworks. Timeline of XRP 2.0 Understanding XRP 2.0 requires examining the milestones that have defined its journey thus far: July 23, 2023: XRP 2.0 is introduced as a novel cryptocurrency project, aiming to revolutionize secure and decentralized transaction capabilities in the blockchain domain. September 8, 2023: The launching of another project, XRP20, occurs, marking the emergence of an ERC-20 token on the Ethereum blockchain that remains unrelated to XRP 2.0. November 13, 2023: The XRP Ledger undergoes a significant update with the release of rippled server software version 2.0.0. It is essential to note that this development is disconnected from the XRP 2.0 cryptocurrency project. Key Points About XRP 2.0 To distill the essence of XRP 2.0, several critical factors emerge: Unique Features: The inclusion of features like AI-powered text-to-image and text-to-speech further diversifies the potential applications of XRP 2.0. Blockchain Technology: The framework utilizes advanced blockchain mechanisms and encryption protocols, ensuring a secure and decentralized environment for transactions. Scalability and Privacy: XRP 2.0 prioritizes enhanced privacy protections in transaction processes and the scalability necessary to accommodate a growing user base. No Affiliation with Ripple: Importantly, despite its name, XRP 2.0 does not have any allegiance or collaboration with Ripple’s XRP, distinguishing its operational framework and objectives within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Conclusion XRP 2.0 represents an ambitious venture into the cryptocurrency sphere, aiming to offer a combination of security, privacy, and efficiency in digital transactions. By integrating sophisticated technologies and user-friendly features, the project sets out to broaden the horizons of what cryptocurrency can achieve in today's digital economy. While the anonymity of its creator and lack of disclosed investors might raise questions for some, XRP 2.0's focus on advanced functionalities and decentralisation enhances its appeal amidst an increasingly crowded crypto market. As the cryptocurrency landscape continues to evolve, XRP 2.0 may yet emerge as a pivotal player in the expansion of secure and scalable blockchain solutions.

1.1k Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.01Updated 2024.12.03

What is XRP 2.0

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of XRP (XRP) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions