币塌了,链还活着:加密市场灾后自救指南

比推Published on 2025-10-15Last updated on 2025-10-15

作者:MΞRCY DΞ GRΞAT

编译:深潮 TechFlow

原文标题:代币死、生态存,加密市场灾后重建指南


大多数我曾经相信并购买的代币,在上一轮周期中已经不复存在。

每一轮加密货币周期都会诞生数千种代币,每一种都宣称能带来颠覆性变革。但当牛市退潮时,只有少数幸存下来。

到下一轮周期时,大多数代币已经死亡:图表变得空荡,Discord 社区寂静无声,团队也消失得无影无踪。

到底发生了什么?

真相很简单:代币之所以会消亡,是因为它们从未超越「投机」的阶段。

它们快速诞生、迅速增长、然后更快地消亡。

但那些构建生态系统的代币,则成为永恒的存在。

残酷的事实是,你不能没有。

大多数代币的死亡陷阱

大多数代币并非因缺乏热度而死,而是因缺乏经济体系。

它们的推出通常伴随着以下问题:

  • 没有原生的需求驱动因素;

  • 没有代币消耗机制;

  • 没有身份认同或用户留存机制;

  • 没有用户在奖励结束后继续使用的真正理由。

每一轮周期都遵循相同的模式:「开发→抛售→退出→荒芜」。

流动性挖矿吸引的是「雇佣兵」,而不是「公民」;

积分和空投吸引的是「猎人」,而不是「信徒」。

当激励机制停止时,社区也会停止。

残酷的现实是:你无法基于短暂的贪婪构建一个经济体系。

代币存活的三大支柱

一个濒死的代币与一个生机勃勃的生态系统之间的区别,归结为三个核心层面:

→ 激励循环;

→ 用户留存;

→ 真正的经济层面。

接下来让我们深入探讨。

激励循环:生存的内部引擎

激励循环是可持续生态系统的核心动力。

它们创造了反馈循环:用户参与 → 网络增长 → 代币实用性增加 → 驱动需求 → 吸引更多用户。

当这种循环设计得当时,价值会自然地复合增长。例如:

  • GMX通过交易者的实际收入奖励质押者,将用户与协议增长紧密绑定;

  • Berachain将流动性提供直接与共识机制挂钩,创造了自我强化的「流动性证明」循环;

  • Ronin允许玩家赚取、消费并重新投资,将游戏玩家转变为微型经济体。

永存的代币不仅仅是「奖励持有者」,而是让用户成为生态系统引擎的一部分。

用户的每一个行动都在强化生态系统的整体,而不仅仅是代币的价格。

用户留存:将「撸毛」转变为「公民」

这是大多数项目失败的地方。

它们将用户获取与用户留存混淆。

它们可以通过奖励吸引人们加入,但无法让他们留下。

那 1% 能够幸存的代币理解一个更深层次的道理:人们不会因为收益而留下,他们会因为身份认同而留下。

当一个协议给用户提供归属感、身份地位或声誉积累的机会时,它就从一个「平台」转变为一个「国家」。例如:

  • idOS正在构建跨生态系统的身份基础设施;

  • Base通过文化和认可将开发者转化为公民;

  • Friend.tech展示了声誉、社会地位和情感归属如何创造巨大的链上粘性。

最强的留存系统并非基于撸毛,而是基于归属感。

你的用户应该觉得,如果他们离开,他们会失去自己的一部分。

那时你就建立了一个真正的网络。

真实经济层:代币获得意义的地方

投机创造注意力,实用性创造引力。

当代币融入真实经济层面时,它们不再是筹码,而是成为协调的货币。

这也是那 1% 真正脱颖而出的地方:

  • Solana 的迷因币和支付系统创造了一个自我维持的用户经济;

  • Arbitrum 的 DAO 资金循环培养了建设者,而非乞讨者;

  • BNB 代币成为交易、Gas 费和项目启动平台的通行证。

这些经济层面连接了:投机 → 实用性 → 协调 → 可持续性。

当代币能够转移价值、接入网络、管理资金并支持支付时,它们不再只是项目,而是成为具有经济体系的「国家」。

一个长存代币的生命周期

让我们来可视化这个过程:

  • 叙事阶段:代币以一个清晰的故事启动;

  • 实用阶段:早期用户不仅交易代币,还实际使用它;

  • 留存阶段:社区围绕代币形成循环(权益、治理、身份认同);

  • 扩展阶段:生态系统开始为新项目、整合或用例生成需求。

这时,代币不再需要依赖炒作存活,它变得可以自我维持。

99% 的死亡螺旋

其他 99% 的代币则遵循以下死亡路径:

  • 启动炒作 → 大家蜂拥而入;

  • 没有实用性 → 代币变成纯粹的投机筹码;

  • 流动性退出 → 持有者抛售,大户转移;

  • 社区消亡 → 沉寂;代币消退 → 下一轮叙事取代它。

它们的图表都长得一样:一个山峰,随后是无尽的下坡。

这不是运气不好,而是设计糟糕。

那 1% 的行动指南

以下是每个创始人和投资者都应该铭记于心的框架:

  • 阶段:启动 → 成长 → 成熟 → 扩张

  • 目标:吸引注意力 → 激励参与 → 建立留存 → 创建真实经济

  • 生存要点:讲故事 + 公平对齐 → 真实收益,而非通胀 → 身份 + 治理 + 地位 → 融入生态系统

总结

每一轮周期都会淘汰弱者,成就强者。

叙事来来去去,而生态系统永存。

这些是即将涌现的看好代币新趋势的数据。


Twitter:https://twitter.com/BitpushNewsCN

比推 TG 交流群:https://t.me/BitPushCommunity

比推 TG 订阅: https://t.me/bitpush

说明: 比推所有文章只代表作者观点,不构成投资建议

Related Reads

BNB Chain Releases Research Report, Exploring Post-Quantum Cryptography Migration Path for BSC

BNB Chain, a leading Layer-1 blockchain ecosystem, has released a research report exploring the potential migration path for BNB Smart Chain (BSC) to post-quantum cryptography. The study evaluates replacing traditional cryptographic systems with quantum-resistant alternatives, specifically examining the use of ML-DSA-44 for transaction signing and pqSTARK for aggregating validator consensus signatures. While quantum computers are not currently a practical threat to existing blockchain cryptography, the research represents a proactive effort to ensure long-term network security and infrastructure resilience. The report assessed several core areas of the BSC tech stack, including post-quantum transaction signing, validator signature aggregation, transaction validation, public key storage, and network performance under increased data loads. A key finding is that achieving post-quantum readiness is technically feasible today but requires significant trade-offs in scalability. Test data indicates: • Transaction size would increase from ~110 bytes to ~2.5 kilobytes. • Block size would grow from ~110 kilobytes to ~2 megabytes. • Native transfer TPS would decrease from 4,973 to 2,997. The primary performance bottleneck is not signature verification itself, but the increased network transmission overhead caused by larger transaction and block sizes. Conversely, the pqSTARK aggregation technology proved highly efficient, compressing validator signatures by an approximately 43:1 ratio, which helps manage consensus-layer overhead. The report notes that post-quantum alternatives for areas like P2P handshakes and KZG commitments were not within the scope of this evaluation and require further research and broader ecosystem coordination. BNB Chain emphasizes this work is a research-oriented exploration and not a response to any imminent security threat.

marsbit40m ago

BNB Chain Releases Research Report, Exploring Post-Quantum Cryptography Migration Path for BSC

marsbit40m ago

After Developer Numbers Halved: Crypto Isn't Dead, It's Just Giving Up Talent to AI

The title "After a 50% Drop in Developer Count: Crypto Isn't Dead, It's Just Ceding Talent to AI" suggests a shift, not an end. The article analyzes GitHub data showing a significant drop in overall Crypto developer activity from a peak of 45K monthly active developers in 2022 to about 23K in 2026. However, this masks a deeper trend of "talent deleveraging." The exodus consists mainly of newcomers who entered during the bull market for hype-driven roles (e.g., NFT contracts, forked DeFi protocols), with over 50% of developers with less than one year of experience leaving. In contrast, established developers (2+ years of experience) have hit record highs, contributing roughly 70% of the code. They are consolidating in ecosystems with real users and revenue, like Bitcoin and Solana. These experienced builders possess unique skills forged in Crypto's "code is law" environment: the ability to build trust and functional systems from scratch in the absence of external authority or rules, with zero tolerance for error. The article argues that AI's scaling faces structurally similar trust, coordination, and verification problems—particularly regarding compute aggregation, multi-agent incentive alignment, and autonomous payments. Crypto builders are already applying these skills in AI. Examples include CoreWeave (mining to AI compute), OpenRouter (NFT marketplace routing to AI model routing), and projects like Hyperbolic (using crypto-native mechanisms for decentralized compute verification) and EigenLayer (applying restaking logic to AI agent governance). Stablecoin infrastructure is becoming critical for AI agent micro-payments (e.g., x402 protocol). The role of these builders is evolving from writing smart contracts to "designing trusted mechanisms for autonomous AI systems." This shift is reflected in new hiring trends at major exchanges and significant venture capital flowing into the crypto-AI convergence (e.g., funds from Paradigm, Haun Ventures). The article concludes that while developer numbers have halved, the core density of talent has increased, and their uniquely cultivated skills are finding a new, larger stage in the AI era.

marsbit50m ago

After Developer Numbers Halved: Crypto Isn't Dead, It's Just Giving Up Talent to AI

marsbit50m ago

After the Developer Count Halved: Crypto Is Not Dead, It's Just Ceding Talent to AI

Following a significant decline in the total number of open-source crypto developers, from a peak of 45K in 2022 to approximately 23K by 2026, this article argues the industry is undergoing a "talent deleveraging" rather than a collapse. The exodus primarily consists of newcomers who entered during the bull market, while the core of experienced developers (2+ years) has grown to a record high, contributing around 70% of code. These established builders are concentrating in ecosystems with real users and revenue, like Bitcoin and Solana. The article posits that crypto has cultivated a unique skill set in building trustless, autonomous systems with near-zero tolerance for error—a capability now finding high demand in the AI era. As AI scales, it faces structural gaps in decentralized compute aggregation, multi-agent coordination/incentive alignment, and autonomous payment infrastructure. Crypto builders are transitioning their expertise to address these exact problems. Examples include CoreWeave (mining to AI compute), Hyperbolic (decentralized compute verification), EigenLayer (extending restaking mechanisms to AI agent governance), and the x402 protocol (enabling AI agent micro-payments via stablecoins). The role of the crypto builder is evolving from writing smart contracts to designing the rule-based, trust-minimized frameworks necessary for AI-native systems. Venture capital is increasingly funding this convergence, viewing it as a structural opportunity rather than a narrative shift. The core talent and systemic design principles from crypto are not disappearing but being re-priced and applied to the foundational challenges of scalable AI.

链捕手54m ago

After the Developer Count Halved: Crypto Is Not Dead, It's Just Ceding Talent to AI

链捕手54m ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is DOGE M

Doge Matrix ($doge m): The New Breed of Community-Driven Cryptocurrency Introduction In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, new projects constantly emerge, each aiming to capture the interest of investors and enthusiasts alike. One of the latest entrants to this domain is Doge Matrix, represented by the ticker symbol $doge m. This project has attracted attention thanks to its roots in the popular meme culture surrounding Dogecoin, establishing its place within the web3 space. This article aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Doge Matrix, covering its overview, creator, investors, functionality, timeline, and notable aspects. What is Doge Matrix ($doge m)? Doge Matrix is a community-driven cryptocurrency project that seemingly builds upon the widespread appeal of Dogecoin, a digital currency known for its Shiba Inu mascot and its meme origins. While the overarching objectives of Doge Matrix are not extensively defined, it is characterised by a commitment to harnessing community involvement and support. Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies that often emphasise utility or intrinsic value through underlying technologies, Doge Matrix positions itself within a space that embraces the cultural phenomenon of cryptocurrencies, particularly appealing to those who resonate with the ethos of meme-based assets. Drawing on the strengths of the Dogecoin community, Doge Matrix operates as part of a broader ecosystem, inviting participation and engagement from users who share an interest in cryptocurrency and the digital landscape. Who is the Creator of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? The identity of the creator of Doge Matrix remains unknown. This lack of transparency is not an uncommon occurrence in the cryptocurrency space, where some projects are launched without revealing the identities of their founders. The absence of information regarding the founding team can raise questions among potential investors about the project’s accountability and direction. Who are the Investors of Doge Matrix ($doge m)? As it stands, there is no publicly available information detailing the investors or investment foundations that back Doge Matrix. The project appears to rely primarily on community support rather than institutional investment. This model aligns with the community-driven nature of the initiative, fostering an environment where the direction of the project is shaped by its participants rather than being dictated by a select few financial backers. How Does Doge Matrix ($doge m) Work? The specifics regarding the operational mechanisms of Doge Matrix are somewhat vague, reflecting a broader trend of projects in the meme coin space where innovative functionalities are not always clearly articulated. Nonetheless, Doge Matrix seems designed to tap into the existing cryptocurrency ecosystem by encouraging user participation while tapping into the familiar cultural references associated with Dogecoin. Its potentially unique characteristics derive from community interactions rather than technological advancements, emphasising shared experiences and collaboration among token holders. While the exact innovations have not been explicitly outlined, the project appears to create a space where community members can engage, share ideas, and propel the project's potential forward. Timeline of Doge Matrix ($doge m) Reflecting on the project’s timeline reveals notable events that have defined its journey thus far: November 25, 2024: Doge Matrix reached its all-time high value, marking a significant milestone in its early history. January 1, 2025: Conversely, Doge Matrix hit its all-time low value, illustrating the volatility often associated with cryptocurrencies, especially in the early stages of a project's lifecycle. Ongoing: The project continues to be actively traded and supported by its community, although specific future milestones or objectives have yet to be disclosed. Key Points About Doge Matrix ($doge m) Community Focus At the heart of Doge Matrix is a commitment to community engagement. The project thrives on the premise of collaboration and shared objectives among its members, emphasising the importance of collective effort. Unlike centralised projects that often have a defined leadership structure, Doge Matrix at present showcases a more fluid approach to governance, where every community member's voice matters. Volatility The cryptocurrency market is notorious for its volatility, and Doge Matrix is no exception. Its price history reflects significant fluctuations between high and low values, which is typical of many new cryptocurrencies but underscores the risks associated with investment in emerging tokens. Lack of Detailed Information One of the most striking features about Doge Matrix is the scarcity of detailed information regarding its technological underpinnings and operational mechanisms. This ambiguity necessitates that potential investors conduct thorough due diligence before engaging with the project. Conclusion In summary, Doge Matrix ($doge m) illustrates a new wave of cryptocurrency projects that lean heavily on community engagement and cultural relevance. While lacking in certain specifics—such as clear leadership, defined objectives, and detailed functionality—the project has managed to generate interest within the crypto community, leveraging the established appeal of meme culture. As with any investment in the cryptocurrency space, understanding the inherent risks and conducting comprehensive research is essential for potential participants. Doge Matrix stands as a reminder of the dynamic, sometimes unpredictable nature of the crypto industry, marked by constant evolution and enthusiasm for community-driven initiatives.

458 Total ViewsPublished 2025.02.03Updated 2025.02.03

What is DOGE M

What is $M

Understanding Mantis ($M): A New Era in Cross-Chain Interoperability In the continually evolving landscape of Web3 and cryptocurrency, new projects strive to offer innovative solutions aimed at enhancing the user experience and expanding functional possibilities within the decentralised financial ecosystem. One such project garnering attention is Mantis ($M), a pioneering protocol founded on the principles of cross-chain interoperability and intent-based settlements. This article delves into the essential aspects of Mantis, including its core functionality, creators, investment backing, innovative features, and critical milestones. What is Mantis ($M)? Mantis is described as a multi-domain intent settlement protocol that simplifies cross-chain interactions, enabling users to execute complex financial transactions across various blockchain platforms seamlessly. The protocol operates through three primary layers: Intent Expression: Users can articulate their transaction goals using natural language facilitated by the DISE LLM, an advanced AI language model. For instance, a user might express a desire to swap Ethereum (ETH) for Solana (SOL) with a specific slippage tolerance of 1%. Execution: This layer employs a network of solvers that compete to fulfil user intents. Transactions are executed using mechanisms such as Coincidence of Wants (CoWs) and Order Flow Auctions (OFAs), which ensure that user demands are met optimally. Settlement: Leveraging the Inter-Blockchain Communication (IBC) protocol, Mantis enables atomic cross-chain transactions, allowing users to operate across various supported chains, including Ethereum, Solana, and Cosmos. Mantis is engineered to introduce native yield generation for idle assets, employing cryptographic proofs to maintain the integrity of transactions throughout the entire process. Creators & Development Team Mantis was conceived by the Composable Foundation, a research-driven organisation notable for its emphasis on blockchain interoperability solutions. This foundation collaborates with esteemed academic institutions, including Harvard University and the University of Lisbon, contributing to extensive research and development efforts that inform Mantis's architecture and functionality. The Composable Foundation’s commitment to fostering innovation in the blockchain space positions Mantis as a robust solution for the growing demand for interoperability among multiple blockchain networks. Investors & Backing While specific details about individual investors have not been publicly disclosed, Mantis enjoys substantial backing from various entities, including: Ecosystem grants from IBC-enabled chains, which support the protocol's growth and integration within decentralised finance ecosystems. Strategic partnerships with infrastructure providers that enhance Mantis's network capabilities and deployment strategies. Funding through the Composable Foundation's treasury, ensuring sustained financial support for ongoing development and operational costs. These collaborative efforts reflect a consensus among stakeholders about the importance of enhancing cross-chain functionality and the potential utility of Mantis's infrastructural innovations. Key Innovations Mantis sets itself apart through several pioneering innovations that enhance its functionality and utility: Chain-Agnostic Intents: Users can initiate transactions from any supported chain while settling on another. This flexibility empowers users, driving increased interaction among different platforms. AI-Powered Interface: The integration of DISE LLM allows users to conduct complex DeFi operations using natural language, thereby simplifying interactions and making blockchain technology accessible to a broader audience. Cross-Domain MEV Capture: Mantis creates an internal market for maximal extractable value (MEV) through competitions among solvers. This innovative approach allows for greater efficiency and value extraction in complex transactions. Modular Settlement Layer: The protocol supports various verification methods, including zero-knowledge proofs and optimistic rollups, providing a versatile framework that can adapt to emerging blockchain technologies. Historical Timeline Mantis's development is marked by several critical milestones that chart its trajectory and growth: | Year | Milestone | |————|————————————————————————-| | 2022 | Initial concept development within the Composable Foundation's research division. | | Q3 2024 | Launch of the testnet with bridging capabilities between Solana and Ethereum. | | Q1 2025 | Anticipated Token Generation Event (TGE) alongside the mainnet launch. | | Q2 2025 | Expected integration of DISE LLM and expansion of cross-chain capabilities. | | 2025 H2 | Planned support for over 15 chains through further IBC upgrades. | This timeline outlines Mantis's evolution, from conceptual discussions to active implementation and future growth phases. Ecosystem Growth Strategy Mantis's strategy for ecosystem growth includes several initiatives designed to encourage user participation and developer engagement: Credits System: Users can earn protocol credits by providing liquidity and engaging in referral programmes. These credits are redeemable for incentives in the future, fostering a robust user community. Modular Software Development Kit (SDK): This toolkit empowers developers to create applications based on intent-driven models utilising Mantis's infrastructure, thus promoting innovation within its ecosystem. Governance Model: As the protocol matures, $M token holders will have a voice in protocol governance, allowing them to vote on proposed upgrades and changes, thereby enhancing community engagement and decentralisation. Mantis represents a significant advancement in the realm of cross-chain architecture. By seamlessly integrating advanced AI algorithms with a robust settlement framework, Mantis seeks to tackle the problems of fragmentation within multi-chain ecosystems. Its innovative approach prioritises improved user experiences while adhering to the foundational principles of decentralisation and security, setting a new standard for the future interoperability of blockchain technologies. As Mantis continues its journey of growth and implementation, it promises to be a project to watch closely in the competitive landscape of Web3 and decentralised finance. With its focus on crossing boundaries and elevating user engagement, Mantis is poised to be an integral part of the future developments in the cryptocurrency space.

41 Total ViewsPublished 2025.03.18Updated 2025.03.18

What is $M

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of M (M) are presented below.

活动图片