UST 噩梦重演?USDe 暴跌 35%,Ethena 的 “死亡螺旋” 为何似曾相识

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-10-12Last updated on 2025-10-12

Abstract

Ethena 的 USDe 脱钩事件未能对 ENA 价格产生影响。

在市场山寨币暴跌的背景下,Ethena 的稳定币 USDe 降至 0.65 美元,引发了看跌情绪和投资者撤资。

哪些价格水平对于 ENA 的下一步行动至关重要?

ENA 必须收回 0.31 美元至 0.38 美元的支撑区域才能达到 0.85 美元的目标,否则如果继续抛售,则有可能跌至 0.265 美元。

加密货币市场经历了近几个月来最大的跌幅之一,山寨币受到严重冲击。市值一度超过4万亿美元大关,但截至发稿时已跌至3.75万亿美元。

USDe 等以山寨币为抵押的稳定币也未能幸免于跌势,Ethena [ENA]也感受到了压力。

稳定币脱钩动摇ENA

随着整个市场山寨币价格的大幅下跌,Ethena 的收益稳定币 USDe 经历了脱钩事件。

稳定币旨在与美元保持 1:1 的挂钩,这通常需要各种策略,包括法定储备或山寨币抵押——ENA 就是这种情况。

脱钩后,1 美元兑 0.65 美元的交易价格而不是预期的 1:1 可赎回比率。

这一事件引发了整个加密货币社区的争论,一些人将其与 2022 年 Terra Luna 的 UST 崩溃相提并论,后者失去了与美元的挂钩并引发了重大的市场低迷。

值得注意的是,USDe 后来恢复了 1:1 的挂钩比率。Ethena 的官方账号承认了该稳定币的去挂钩性,但向用户保证该稳定币仍然安全,并表示:

“因此,由于这些事件的影响,USDe 的超额抵押将比昨天更多。”

该声明证实,持有者无需担心资产安全。

投资者对ENA的看法存在分歧

由于不同的投资者群体持相反立场,市场对 Ethena 的原生代币 ENA 仍然存在分歧。

在现货市场,投资者继续积累 ENA,并于 10 月 11 日购买了价值约 459 万美元的代币。

然而,与本周早些时候购买的 2575 万美元相比,这是三天来最低的每日增持金额。

有趣的是,现货市场的看涨情绪与链上数据形成了鲜明对比。仅在过去一天, Ethena 的总锁定价值 (TVL) 就出现了 12.5 亿美元的巨额流出。

投资者似乎正在从 ENA 中撤出长期资金,并可能在衍生品交易所抛售头寸——可能是为了止损,也可能是 USDe 表现不稳定后更广泛的看跌趋势的一部分。

市场展望

更广泛的前景表明,市场目前对 ENA 不利,因为代币交易价格低于 0.31 美元至 0.38 美元之间的关键支撑区域。

该区域仍然是ENA未来可能复苏的关键水平。若未能突破该区域,则可能推低代币价格。

如果ENA重回这一水平,则可能反弹至0.85美元区域。然而,如果持续下跌,该资产可能跌向0.265美元——图表上的下一个主要支撑区域。

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