Solana (SOL) растет уже четыре месяца, но теперь тренд может развернуться

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-10-18Last updated on 2025-10-18

Цена Solana (SOL) уверенно растет уже почти четыре месяца, делая альткоин одним из самых успешных активов в текущем рыночном цикле

Недавний рост почти позволил SOL достичь $250, но изменение настроений и снижение активности инвесторов остановили его движение. Отсутствие поддержки со стороны держателей теперь угрожает сорвать ралли.

Держатели Solana отступают

Активность инвесторов в сети Solana заметно снизилась за последние недели. Число активных адресов упало до минимума за 13 месяцев, что говорит о снижении вовлеченности в ончейн-операции. Это падение указывает на ослабление доверия среди розничных трейдеров, многие из которых предпочитают удерживать активы, а не совершать транзакции в условиях неопределенности.

Сокращение пользовательской базы часто ведет к снижению полезности сети, что может негативно сказаться на стабильности цен. Solana рискует потерять поддержку, необходимую для продолжения ралли, без постоянного объема транзакций или спроса со стороны пользователей.

Число активных адресов Solana
Число активных адресов Solana. Источник: Glassnode

Техническая структура Solana в целом остается бычьей, несмотря на краткосрочные опасения. Индикатор Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) опустился ниже нуля — значит, инвесторы выводят средства из Solana. Это указывает на временное снижение ликвидности в SOL.

Тем не менее, CMF все еще показывает восходящий тренд, что говорит о скрытой силе долгосрочной тенденции Solana. Если тренд сохранится, он может стабилизировать цену и предотвратить значительные потери.

Индикатор CMF для Solana
Индикатор CMF для Solana. Источник: TradingView

Цена SOL может упасть

На момент публикации Solana торгуется на уровне $222, чуть выше поддержки на $221. SOL демонстрирует устойчивый рост последние три с половиной месяца, что делает этот уровень важным для сохранения рыночной структуры.

С учетом текущих условий, снижение до $213 возможно, если усилится давление продавцов. Более значительные оттоки ускорят падение, подтолкнув SOL к тестированию уровня $200 и нарушив его многомесячный восходящий тренд.

Анализ цены Solana
Анализ цены Solana. Источник: TradingView

Если Solana отскочит от уровня $221 и рыночные настроения улучшатся, она получит шанс подняться к $232 и выше. Это отменит медвежий сценарий и, возможно, возобновит ралли.

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