Avalanche – How $2B TVL sets stage for AVAX’s $44 push

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-09-19Last updated on 2025-09-20

Key Takeaways 

What indicates that AVAX is in a strong bullish position?

AVAX’s DeFi TVL has surpassed $2 billion, technical indicators show upward momentum, and exchange outflows signal accumulation.

What could determine Avalanche’s next price move?

 Sustaining momentum above the $36 resistance is crucial for a potential push toward $44, while failure could trigger short-term retracements.


Avalanche’s [AVAX] DeFi Total Value Locked (TVL) has surged past $2 billion, doubling since spring and marking the highest level in two years, highlighting renewed confidence in the ecosystem. 

This growth coincides with AVAX showing significant upside momentum on the charts, as buyers gain control across spot and derivatives markets. 

Furthermore, network participation has been expanding steadily, supporting both capital inflows and trading activity. 

The combination of strengthening DeFi growth and technical breakouts suggests Avalanche is positioned for potential upside. The main test is whether bulls can maintain dominance above key resistance levels.

Can Avalanche break past the $36 barrier?

AVAX recently broke above the $26.81 level, establishing a higher support zone that confirms the strength of its ascending trendline since June. 

At press time, the price was testing resistance at $36.12, a key level that could decide whether momentum continues upward or faces rejection.

The MACD has formed a bullish crossover, supporting the case for sustained upward pressure in the near term.

If buyers hold their ground, a move toward the $44.23 level looks likely. However, if the price fails to stay above $36, a short-term pullback could follow before bulls attempt another rally.

Source: TradingView

Spot trading volume heats up across Avalanche markets

Spot volume dynamics suggest rising demand, as reflected by the volume bubble map showing market activity heating up. 

Larger bubble clusters indicate increased participation, reflecting heightened interest from both retail and institutional traders. 

This rise in activity comes after a prolonged consolidation phase, suggesting new liquidity inflows into the Avalanche market. 

Market heating signals broader engagement, which supports price discovery and strengthens the potential for follow-through rallies. 

Although volumes remain volatile, sustained growth here could validate current bullish structures and offer more confidence in Avalanche’s near-term trajectory.

Source: CryptoQuant

Exchange netflows reveal accumulation trends 

Exchange Netflow data indicates a consistent pattern of negative flows, with the most recent figures showing nearly $1 million in daily outflows. 

Persistent outflows signal accumulation as tokens leave exchanges, reducing sell pressure and hinting at investor conviction. 

This aligns with the rise in TVL, as more capital is being committed into Avalanche’s ecosystem rather than kept liquid for selling. 

Such accumulation trends provide a structural foundation for bullish continuation. While spikes in inflows may appear, the broader direction supports reduced supply pressure and strengthens the market’s upward outlook.

Source: CoinGlass

Is AVAX ready to climb higher?

Avalanche shows multiple signals of strength, from DeFi TVL growth surpassing $2 billion to strong technical setups and consistent outflows. 

Spot trading activity confirms demand is building, while exchange data highlights accumulation pressure backing the rally. Together, these factors support a bullish structure for AVAX. 

With momentum aligning across metrics and buyers holding firm at key levels, Avalanche is positioned to break above $36 and potentially target $44 in the near term, confirming that its bullish breakout remains intact.

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