【横盘?】以太坊稳在4.5万,是真支撑还是假象?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-09-18Last updated on 2025-09-18

Abstract

鲸鱼将 ETH 从交易所撤出,但随着 4,500 美元的市场价格上涨,接下来是反弹还是下跌?

关键要点

为什么以太坊持有者现在看涨?

交易所储备减少了 128k ETH,而活跃地址增加了 108k,这表明网络活动有所积累且更加活跃。

对于 ETH 来说,接下来哪些水平很重要?

持有 4,500 美元可能引发反弹至 4,865 美元,但跌破可能引发巨大的抛售压力。

随着交易所储备下降、活跃地址增加以及看涨价格走势维持在关键水平之上,以太坊 [ETH]人气增强。

过去一周,ETH 表现亮眼,但目前面临抛售压力。投资者和长期持有者吸收了抛售压力。

外汇储备呈现积累态势

CryptoQuant 数据显示,过去一周 ETH 交易所储备量从 1720.5 万下降至 1707.3 万,这意味着 12.8 万 ETH 已被提取。

上述走势表明,随着鲸鱼和机构将资产从交易所提取到钱包,ETH 正在积累。本质上,这对 ETH 持有者来说是一个看涨信号。

以太坊活跃地址增加

与此同时,另一个增强 ETH 看涨前景的指标是投资者兴趣的上升及其迅速的采用。

CryptoQuant 的 ETH 活跃地址数据证实了这一点。在过去 48 小时内,ETH 价格下跌期间,活跃地址数量激增了 10.8 万。

简而言之,尽管存在短期抛售压力,我们仍观察到强劲的网络活动和不断增强的投资者信心。

在此期间,ETH 的价格从 4,433 美元上涨至 4,550 美元,截至发稿时交易价格为 4,507 美元,日涨幅 0.35%。此外,随着链上价格的上涨,现货交易量也跃升了 25%。

68.50% 的币安交易者做多 ETH

现在,谈到衍生品,可以观察到日内交易者正在押注多头头寸。

CoinGlass 数据显示,币安 ETHUSDT 多头/空头比率达到 2.17,表明交易员的看涨情绪强劲。

68.49% 的币安交易者持有多头仓位,而 31.51% 的交易者持有空头仓位。

ETH 价格走势及未来价格水平

根据 AMBCrypto 的技术分析,ETH 重新测试了 4,500 美元的水平,突破后转为支撑位。

从上下文来看,早前的反弹是由突破这一水平所推动的,尽管截至发稿时价格重新测试了这一水平,但设置仍然看涨。

在近期的低迷时期,ETH 在下降趋势线处遭遇阻力。突破该阻力位将为进一步上涨腾出空间。

如果 ETH 维持在 4,500 美元以上,则可能反弹至 4,865 美元。即便如此,跌破 4,500 美元也可能使看涨理由失效,并引发大量抛售。

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