比特币迟早 100 万的言论和价格不断下跌的现实矛盾时,我们该信谁?

深潮Published on 2025-09-01Last updated on 2025-09-02

人们发声不再是为了自我托管或密码朋克式的比特币讨论,而是为了政治大人物和金融工程。

撰文:Joakim Book

编译:AididiaoJP,Foresight News

今天的比特币世界,一切似乎都颠倒了;市场充斥着看涨声音、比特币不久前创下新高,以及那些搜刮世界的比特币国库公司,但比特币价格持续下跌。这种不协调的状况在最近于香港结束的 Bitcoin Asia 上达到了顶峰。

西装革履的人来了,比特币玩家成了金融市场的新宠。

这几乎是今年大部分时间发生的故事,并在 2025 年 Bitcoin Asia 期间比特币价格的暴跌中达到了惊人的高潮。比特币,这个对法币货币体系最直言不讳的不信任攻击,现在正一头扎回传统金融。

密码朋克已经演变成「西装币者」,并最终找到了他们作为「股票币者」的终极形态。

叛逆的青少年忏悔了他们的罪过,迷失的投资者已经归来,带着炫目、贪婪的荣耀。

我们这些曾经一心一意要建立一个崭新且更美好世界的书呆子,已经变成了受监管、需许可的证券啦啦队,这些证券经过巧妙杠杆化和金融工程,以实现每股比特币最大化。金融法则被粗暴地推到台前,即使是最坚定的密码学信仰者也放弃了他们的大部分原则,因为华尔街现在愿意为一美元的比特币支付 2 美元、3 美元或 5 美元。

而在香港的 Bitcoin Asia 上,其他一切也都是颠倒的。人们发声不是为了自我托管或密码朋克式的比特币讨论,而是为了政治大人物和金融工程。

欧洲最大国债公司的首席执行官 Alexandre Laizet 在台上说,资产负债表正在变成损益表。他不仅仅是在说国债公司现在成了银行,利用它们的资产负债表成为利润来源;他的意思是对比特币国债公司来说,唯一重要的就是资产负债表本身。当你拥有每股无限可印股票对应的比特币时,利润就无关紧要了。

「作为市场上的理性参与者,你就应该这样做。」

大约 200 家公司,以 Strategy 和 Metaplanet 为这场运动最直言不讳的代表,正在搜刮资本市场的廉价法币并用来购买比特币。到处都在破纪录:观众和观看人数、参会者和销售额。任何在比特币世界待过的人都能感受到这种能量、这种建设、这种永无止境的运输和建设的工厂车间。理解比特币从未如此容易,我们也从未拥有过这么多的比特币信仰者。

然而价格却持续曲折下行,从高点 125,000 美元跌至 Nakamoto6.79 亿美元购买的入场点 118,204 美元,在会议期间跌至 111,000 美元左右,然后暴跌至 108,000 美元以下,与台上看涨的演讲者完全同步。

周四的无人机表演,以令人惊叹的比特币图形点亮了香港的夜空,再没有比这更能象征这一切是如何颠倒的了。它展示了一个强大的「21 除以无穷大」的符号,它是 Knut Svanholm 著名的「一切除以 2100 万」主张的直接倒置版本:

我们所有与参会的 20,000 多人,在连日观看 Nakamoto Stage 上看涨的声明被其身后大字体价格图表反驳和削弱后,急需比特币价格的上涨来恢复信心。

在香港的 Nakamoto 舞台上,David Bailey 自信满满地坐着,充满庆祝意味,为我们作为比特币玩家的巨大努力和成功鼓掌,而观众则盯着他身后屏幕上由 SALT 赞助的比特币价格持续暴跌,每一次向下的跳动都抹去了巨额财富。

台上所说的看涨言论、 现场的十几家国债公司所传达令人印象深刻且听起来合理可信的福音,与价格不断下跌的严酷现实之间的不协调,再没有比这更强烈的了。

这几乎就像是 David Bailey 等人谈论和鼓吹他们的比特币收购工具股票越多,我们的市场就变得越糟,价格也跌得越低。

也许 Bailey 先生只是比我胆量大得多,但如果我刚刚烧掉了投资者约 6000 万美元的资金而毫无成果可言时,我会更加谦卑和紧张不安,垂头丧气和怀疑。

价格是客观存在的,而且这确实不是一个好吃的蛋糕。

这同样具有象征意义,在香港我们见证了金融化的国债公司正在逐步取代密码朋克。

我们来到比特币节日巡演的最近一站,震惊地看到所有曾经神圣的事物如何被亵渎:一切都是颠倒的。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

BofA Research Report Analysis: Marvell Takes TPU Peripherals, Broadcom Holds Core Value of $250 Billion

Bank of America's report analyzes the impact of Google's new custom chip agreement with Marvell on the TPU supply chain. While Marvell secured a deal for "XPU-attach" chips (like AI inference accelerators and memory controllers), corresponding to a potential $120B in cumulative purchases, BofA argues the core high-value components remain with Broadcom. Broadcom retains design and supply for the core ASIC, advanced packaging, HBM integration, high-speed SerDes, and network switching/physical layer connectivity. These form the highest Bill-of-Materials (BOM) value in TPU systems. BofA estimates Google's 5-year capex could reach $1.5-$2T, with TPU systems representing 25-30% ($400B-$600B TAM). Within this, Broadcom is projected to hold a 55-60% value share ($250B-$350B), Marvell 10-20% ($50B-$100B), and MediaTek 20-30% in lower-value, cost-optimized chips. The report emphasizes Broadcom's entrenched position through long-term agreements locked until CY31, increasing silicon content per TPU generation, and high unit value creating a competitive barrier. It sets a $530 price target for Broadcom (30x CY27 P/E), viewing current valuation as attractive given growth certainty from AI and locked leadership. Downsides include semiconductor cycles, customer concentration, and debt. In conclusion, while competition reshapes the supply chain for peripheral chips, the core high-value structure and Broadcom's dominance in compute silicon remain intact.

marsbit23m ago

BofA Research Report Analysis: Marvell Takes TPU Peripherals, Broadcom Holds Core Value of $250 Billion

marsbit23m ago

Semiconductor Mid-Game Check-in: How Much Left in the Tail-End Rally?

Semiconductor Mid-Game Review: How Much is Left in the Rally? This analysis compares the current semiconductor market trend to NVIDIA's trajectory in 2024, drawing lessons on identifying market tops and bottoms. In July-August 2024, NVIDIA's stock fell 33%, triggered by a combination of "fundamental rumors" (Blackwell delays, antitrust probes) and "macro-driven asset selling" (BOJ rate hike leading to carry-trade unwinding). The low was marked by extreme panic selling across global markets. Key characteristics of a TOP include: Technical patterns like double tops or failure to break highs; Overcrowded and leveraged positioning (e.g., excessive retail and ETF inflows into a single stock like NVDA); High fragility where even a minor fundamental disappointment (e.g., a slight margin dip in stellar earnings) triggers a sharp correction. The practical action is to reduce exposure upon seeing technical warning signs combined with crowded trades. Key characteristics of a BOTTOM include: Technical reversal signals like a high-volume bullish engulfing pattern after a steep drop; Panic indicators hitting extremes (e.g., record VIX, major index crashes) signaling selling exhaustion; The downturn being driven by macro or systemic shocks unrelated to the company's core business fundamentals, creating a mispricing that quality companies eventually recover from. The conclusion is that while the current semiconductor rally may be in its later stages ("fish tail"), understanding these patterns—where tops form from crowded optimism and bottoms from panic unrelated to fundamentals—can help navigate remaining volatility.

marsbit43m ago

Semiconductor Mid-Game Check-in: How Much Left in the Tail-End Rally?

marsbit43m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

2.0k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片