加密市场风云再起:比特币遇阻112K 以太坊承压4600 SOL/WLFI/IP成新战场

金色财经Published on 2025-08-27Last updated on 2025-08-27

过去24小时,加密市场再度上演“过山车”。据统计,全球共有84,178人爆仓,累计金额高达2.77亿美元

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今晚尤为关键:

比特币下跌 A 浪基本完成,且在 108000 美元获得短期支撑,B 浪反抽至少会触及 112000 美元颈线位,该判断目前已得到验证。今晚行情至关重要:

  • 若能突破并站稳110,500美元,意味着机构护盘到位,不愿再让散户抄底;

  • 但如果多次冲击无果,则可能走“激进剧本”,先跌向100,000美元再开启反弹,配合9月潜在的降息拉盘逻辑。

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操作思路

  • 高位被套的需谨慎,整体还是逢低做多为主

  • 10.8万附近小仓试多,10万附近可加大仓位搏反弹;

  • 短线关键:

(1)短线压力位 112300,价格高于他才有继续反弹动力低于它则会进一步下探 

(2)多单位置在108000附近,这里如果放量插针,就有一次多单机会 上方压力:112300、114500、118000 下方支撑:107200、105000

以太坊(ETH)

ETH跌幅明显小于BTC,反弹力度更强,表明买盘更积极。跌破4,000美元的概率较低。

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目前ETH在4,600美元附近遭遇强抛压:

  • 散户普遍被套在4,600-4,700美元区间,反弹后急于出货解套 → 形成抛压;

  • 技术面上,布林带上轨+2小时压力位双重压制,突破概率有限,可能二次探底4,350美元

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走势推演

  • 短期若回踩4,350并稳住,或再冲击4,888美元

  • 但需小心深探至4,100美元的风险;

  • 突破4,670后将形成强支撑,后市有机会试探5,000美元关口,但此处为历史高位抛压区,止盈不可大意。

整体来看,BTC与ETH突破新高后的回调,多数只是“洗盘动作”,恐慌盘已被清洗,后续可能迎来更猛烈的上涨

山寨币(Altcoins)

降息临近,当前的回调或许正是布局机会。思路:

  • 寻找ETH及强势山寨的支撑区间建仓;

  • FOMO情绪爆发时再择机止盈。

SOL

  • 财库公司单日新增18亿美元计划

  • 10月即将推出SOL ETF,买盘预期强;

  • 技术面出现日线RSI底背离,超跌反弹信号显现,有望冲击上方阻力。

WLFI

  • 预计9月1日上线,大概率首发多家交易所;

  • 若同期叠加特朗普团队利好消息,可能点燃首轮暴涨;

  • 参考特朗普系代币(如TRUMP),或先掀起狂热行情,再快速降温。

BONK

  • 传闻有“大消息”将公布;

  • 与WLFI上线时机相近,或与Solana生态有关,存在联动反弹的可能。

IP

  • 近日完成2.3亿美元融资

  • 已上线币安,且灰度推出信托产品,基本面扎实;

  • 代币锁仓减少流通,预计“5U以下难再见”,中期目标7美元

链上热点

  • GOAT:突破1000万美元市值。虽然与DOGE创始人扯上关系,但市场已不再是2017年的“土狗狂潮”,炒作需谨慎。

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pakito:典型“土狗盘”,30分钟三轮暴拉后崩盘,项目方频繁切换合约,套路过深。散户频繁被套,已成黑名单级别项目。

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市场震荡加剧,爆仓频发,散户情绪被反复收割。但从宏观环境(降息预期)、链上资金流向和技术形态来看,本轮回调更像是上涨前的蓄势

比特币守住10万美元,ETH稳在4,000美元之上,山寨币的结构性机会依旧存在。别盲目追涨杀跌,保持耐心、控制仓位,真正的行情往往在恐慌之后爆发

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