Этот фактор может поднять цену Solana (SOL) выше $200

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-08-16Last updated on 2025-08-20

Solana (SOL) недавно столкнулась с трудностями при попытке преодолеть отметку в $200, не сумев пробить это сопротивление на прошлой неделе

Несмотря на это, изменение поведения инвесторов, выраженное в увеличении доли долгосрочных держателей (LTH), может поддержать восстановление и будущий рост.

Инвесторы в Solana становятся зрелыми

За последние 24 часа объем торгов Solana, который оставался неактивным от 6 до 12 месяцев, увеличился на 5 млн SOL, что оценивается более чем в $905 млн. Это указывает на то, что значительная часть токенов созревает и переходит в долгосрочные инвестиции.

Созревание этих токенов может свидетельствовать о доверии к долгосрочному прогнозу Solana. Чем дольше инвесторы держат токены, тем меньше их в обращении, что может привести к росту цены.

Активное предложение Solana за 6-12 месяцев. Источник: Glassnode

Макроэкономическая ситуация для Solana вызывает беспокойство: индикатор Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) показывает снижение. CMF, который отслеживает движение капитала, опустился ниже нуля, что говорит о преобладании оттоков над притоками.

С увеличением оттоков давление на продажу может усилиться, что отразится на цене Solana в ближайшее время. Скептицизм инвесторов и слабое покупательское давление могут помешать SOL преодолеть важные уровни сопротивления.

График CMF для Solana. Источник: TradingView

Цена Solana может восстановиться

На момент написания статьи цена Solana составляет $180, оставаясь выше уровня поддержки в $175. Учитывая поведение инвесторов, значительное снижение маловероятно. Цена поддерживается притоком зрелых активов и устойчивым интересом инвесторов.

Если долгосрочные держатели сохранят стойкость и не начнут продавать, Solana получит шанс подняться выше поддержки на $189. Успешное удержание этого уровня позволит альткоину приблизиться к сопротивлению на $201, которое он не смог преодолеть дважды за последний месяц. Это может стать точкой разворота для Solana.

Анализ цены Solana. Источник: TradingView

Если давление продаж усилится и цена упадет ниже $175, Solana рискует достичь $163. Это отменит бычий сценарий, продлив недавнее снижение и увеличив риск дальнейшего падения. Исход зависит от настроений инвесторов и рыночных условий.

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