PUMP 逆势上涨,meme 赛道竞争激烈,新龙头居然是....

MarsBitPublished on 2025-08-05Last updated on 2025-08-06

Abstract

希望最后受益的是整个 meme 币市场,是所有仍然喜欢 meme 币的币圈玩家们。

pump.fun vs Letsbonk.fun 的「meme 发射台大战」,从 7 月初到现在已经过去了 1 个月的时间。在这段时间了,我们已经目睹了 pump.fun 完成加密货币历史上最大规模的 ICO 之一,目睹了 Letsbonk.fun 对 pump.fun 的市场份额发起进攻并成功形成了压制。在这期间,也有一些「新角色」加入战局,虽然在短期内没有掀起太大的波澜,但也值得我们进行一番了解和关注。


让我们从这张 Jupiter 的数据图开始吧。

Letsbonk.fun


虽然 Letsbonk.fun 在过去 7 天仍然占据市场份额的榜首,但是目前它与 pump.fun 的生态内热点却呈现出了完全不同的方向。

pump.fun:PVE 行情回归?


7 月 24 日,在接受完 threadguy 的直播专访后,pump.fun 和其创始人 @a1lon9 就进入了长达接近半个月的静默。半个月前,大家都认为这是一场堪称「公关灾难」的直播访谈,因为这场直播深刻地影响了币价,$PUMP 在直播中就下跌了接近 15%,单日跌幅接近 20%,一度跌破 30 亿美元市值。


从这场直播结束后到现在,pump.fun 在市场份额上和 Letsbonk.fun 的差距并没有出现显著地缩小。但从 7 月 30 日至今,pump.fun 的风评却出现了比较显著的反转。
原因无它——pump.fun 生态的社区币在这段大盘不稳的时间里反而表现良好。

Letsbonk.fun


上面这张 pump.fun 官推发表于 7 月 23 日的图片,其中出现的 pump.fun 生态 meme 币被很多人视为「官方严选」。这些币种中,$TROLL 表现最为亮眼,自 7 月 25 日至今最高上涨了 9 倍,市值突破了 1 亿美元。在相同的时间段内,$Tokabu 最高上涨了约 5 倍,市值一度突破 3500 万美元。$USDUC 最高上涨了 2 倍,市值一度接近 4000 万美元。$CHILLHOUSE 和 $neet 也收获了和 $USDUC 相近的涨幅,市值分别一度接近 3000 万美元和 1800 万美元。


这里面较新的面孔,从 7 月 25 日至今全是涨势,只有「主播币」以及像 $FWOG、$michi 等本身就已经有较大市值的、诞生超过 300 天以上的「老币」没怎么跟上这波行情。
那么「新币」有什么利好吗?似乎也没有,因为 pump.fun 和 alon 的静默直到前天才结束。如果从叙事层面上说,这些「新币」在 pump.fun 最低潮的时间仍然保持着高度的内容输出以及社区活性,至少在过去这段时间,都很符合 pump.fun 对于 meme 币能够长期可持续发展的期望。


而来自 pump.fun 官方的「反击」,直到前天我们才得以知晓他们的第一步——$PUMP 回购数据仪表盘。

Letsbonk.fun


「过去的 6 天,我们回购了约价值 8740 枚 SOL 的 $PUMP,是我们这段时间里收入的 102%」


而在今天凌晨,pump.fun 官推又更新了封面图,再一次对「官方严选」meme 币们进行了一波宣传:

Letsbonk.fun


有趣的是,在 7 月 24 日的那场直播后,pump.fun 创始人 买入的 meme 币几乎都处于亏损状态。而到现在,他的持仓已经全部转盈,并且幅度都不小:

Letsbonk.fun


meme 币市场要想复苏,第一步是把「衣服穿回去」,也就是要重拾玩家们对于 meme 币的信心,相信 meme 币不只有「阴谋」,好的叙事、好的内容、好的社区、持续的运营,终究能让一个 meme 币出头。虽然还要持续观察 pump.fun 上这些币种的表现,但目前可以说,如果能够保持下去,这是一个良好的开始。


接下来,pump.fun 手里还有很多牌,比如空投,又比如直播。这是第一步之后的漫漫长路。在 Binance、OKX 等大所几乎不再上新 Solana meme 币的情况下,pump.fun 必须要探索出更多的可能性。
革命尚未成功,同志仍需努力。

Letsbonk.fun:短期陷入瓶颈的新币之家


过去的 7 天,Letsbonk.fun 的市场份额仍然超过了 50%,继续保持榜首的位置。pump.fun 声量的回暖,主要是因为「次新币」的优秀表现,其实并没有太多引起广泛讨论的「新币」。


而过去一段时间的「热点盘」,比如 $Ani,都发生在了 Letsbonk.fun 上。pump.fun 过去的那条成功之路,现在被 Letsbonk.fun 占据。


与之形成对比的是,Letsbonk.fun 上的「大标的」在最近陷入了回调。$USELESS 从最高的 4 亿美元市值回调到了 2 亿美元附近,$memecoin 在一度接近 6000 万美元市值后回调到了 1100 万美元市值附近,$Bluechip 从最高 1700 万美元市值回调到了 150 万美元市值,$Ani 从最高 8600 万美元市值回调到了约 3000 万美元市值。


$$BONK 和 $$GP 也分别从最高点下跌了 36% 与 63%。


虽然相关资产表现不佳,但是 Letsbonk.fun 的回购以及对其生态 meme 币的支持没有停止。与其说 Letsbonk.fun 和 pump.fun 的战争仍在继续,倒不如说两者都在各自努力。只有 meme 币市场整体的信心得到恢复,二者都才会有更好的未来。
Peace and love,期待 Letsbonk.fun 的后续表现。

Bags 和 Moonit:老台子,新招式


Bags 原来是一个社交 Trading 应用,他们在 5 月 22 日推出了代币发射台功能。而 Moonit 是 Helio 的台子,今年 4 月底启动的。


Bags 最近比较引起关注的是「捐赠叙事」。$CANCER 将 100% 的交易手续费收入捐赠给世界上最知名、最有影响力的乳腺癌公益组织之一 Susan G. Komen,目前已经向该组织捐款了 35000 美元,并且还向该组织转了约 2.2% 的 $CANCER。


因为 Bags 上发射的币可以直接把创作者的交易手续费收入指定给一个特定的 Twitter 账号,所以另一个引起关注的代币 $WINRAR 就是把代币收入直接指派给了大家几乎都用过的压缩包应用 WinRAR 的官推。这吸引到了 WinRAR 官推的回复。

Letsbonk.fun


不过这两个币都和一阵风一样就结束了,目前都基本处于跌完了的状态。至于 Bags 这个台子的龙头,看了一圈无论从关注度和市值上都很难说这个台子目前有龙头...


Moonit 的阵仗要大得多。他们推出了一个由 9GAG、Memeland、Helio Pay、MoonPay、Dexscreener 联合打造的、可自动将网络文化和病毒式迷因(meme)代币化的 AI 协议。

Letsbonk.fun


简单来说,这个协议就是通过 AI 识别 9GAG 上的热门 meme 然后自动发币,相当于「自动发射 9GAG 上的严选热点盘」。这主要还是打通了 9GAG 这一环,如果有台子能够打通 Tiktok、Instagram、Twitter 等社媒我想也能做这样的东西。


这个模式如果要能跑通,还是有比较多要克服的问题。首当其冲的就是「技术不等于流动性」,整个链上有太多 dev,如果有一个爆款 meme 大家都会抢着发,所以发出来的币能不能凝聚到共识,玩家们可能还是会考虑台子的流动性。


第二个就是持续发展的问题。如果可以把 9GAG 的社区带到币上,那就比较吸引人。但是大家也看到了上图中的第 4 步是 CTO... 如果你严选的 9GAG meme 还需要 CTO,那可能一定程度上就说明社区基础还是薄弱,这个潜在的优势就完全没有发挥。


Moonit 的这个新功能,目前也仍然没有跑出龙头。


台子越来越多,要解决的问题似乎并没有变少。

结语


meme 发射台大战在可见的未来仍将继续。过去一年 pump.fun 取得的巨大成功,让大家都想「吃上肉」。但大家也都共同面临严峻的问题——如何重新恢复市场对 meme 币的兴趣和信心?


在 CEX 们似乎对上新 meme 币比较兴致缺缺的时候,链上能否有更好的基建和流动性,让 meme 币重新伟大?


与其说是「战争」,倒不如说是所有 meme 币发射台共同面临的考验。毕竟,铭文的前车之鉴就在眼前——铭刻的工具越来越完善,但铭文的热潮已经一去不回。


希望最后受益的是整个 meme 币市场,是所有仍然喜欢 meme 币的币圈玩家们。

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