1.14亿美元"古董比特币"异动!为何市场毫无惧色?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-08-05Last updated on 2025-08-05

Abstract

长期买家仍在囤积比特币,但十年前的比特币转移引发了人们对意外抛售的担忧。

关键要点

尽管近期有所下跌,但比特币需求依然强劲,长期持有型投资者(LTH)和累积型投资者仍在持续买入。1,000枚休眠比特币的罕见走势引发了市场谨慎情绪,但整体市场信心仍然偏向看涨。

比特币 [BTC]可能有所下跌,但还远未结束。

尽管近期有所下降,但 LTH 仍在不断增加,链上数据显示累积钱包的需求稳定。

不过,这里有一个新的转折——1,000 个闲置的 BTC,价值超过 1.14 亿美元,近十年来首次转移。

抛售即将来临,还是比特币只是在为下一步上涨积蓄力量?

尽管比特币价格下跌,但需求依然强劲

即使比特币价格回落,需求指标依然出人意料地强劲。尽管STH面临亏损或仓位不足,但长期投资者仍在增加买入。

一个关键信号是表观需求比率,它将新发行的 BTC 数量与一年多来未发行的 BTC 数量进行比较。

它稳固地处于正值区域,过去 30 天累计约有 160,000 BTC。

另一个明显的趋势是,累积地址(只买过、从未卖过的钱包)在过去一个月增加了大约 50,000 个 BTC。

尽管心存恐惧,但坚强的双手仍在坚守。

沉睡的比特币鲸鱼开始行动

在一次罕见的举动中, 1,000 个 BTC(已有 7 到 10 年未动)刚刚易手,价值约 1.144 亿美元。

这些古老的货币通常与早期采用者或丢失已久的钱包有关,每当它们移动时往往会引发猜测。

这会是大规模抛售的前奏吗?有可能,但值得注意的是,并非所有休眠的加密货币动向都会导致抛售。

虽然此次调动营造出一种警示气氛,但并未动摇更广泛的需求信号……至少目前如此。

谨慎,而非投降

日线图显示,比特币在大幅下跌后,目前维持在略高于11.4万美元的水平。尽管有所反弹,但RSI仍在47.8左右徘徊,因此截至发稿时,市场并未进入超卖区域。

然而,OBV 仍保持在 173 万的低位,表明近期买盘信心不足。尽管价格试图反弹,但由于缺乏强劲的成交量,上涨潜力可能有限。

在 OBV 回升且 RSI 趋势稳固高于 50 之前,建议保持谨慎——比特币可能正在稳定,但全面趋势逆转可能尚未得到证实。

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