特朗普儿子有喊单“抄底比特币”，这次还能信吗？

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-08-04Last updated on 2025-08-04

Abstract

BTC 是否会克服宏观阻力并重复过去的减半反弹？

关键要点

比特币 (BTC) 正因 ETF 资金流入疲软和宏观经济逆风而苦苦挣扎。埃里克·特朗普的“逢低”预测与减半后的反弹如出一辙，但缺乏强有力的佐证，因此押注风险较高。

埃里克·特朗普刚刚告诉追随者“逢低买入”，但真的有人应该关注吗？

从时间角度来看，这很有意思。他的预测恰逢比特币[BTC]跌破11.7万至12万美元的区间，过去三个交易日K线图上出现了3.76%的大幅下跌。

但从月度图表来看，八月份的命中率并不高。

罕见异常的亏损月份

过去12个8月，BTC有60%的时间处于下跌状态。这通常是大选结束后的月份，随着各主要货币的买盘深度逐渐减弱，7月份的强势往往会逐渐消退。

尽管如此，仔细观察就会发现一个关键的分歧。

2013年、2017年和2021年，BTC的8月份涨幅均达到两位数。这三者的共同点是什么？它们都发生在减半后的年份。

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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