Сможет ли Ethereum преодолеть ключевое сопротивление в $4 тыс. в августе после роста на 48% в июле?

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-08-29Last updated on 2025-08-29

  • Цена биткоина в июле показала хорошие результаты, но в августе в центре внимания оказался Ethereum
  • Американские спотовые ETF BTC и ETH открыли август заметным оттоком средств.
  • Исторический анализ динамики предполагает бычий прорыв ETH в среднесрочной перспективе.

В июле Ethereum (ETH) значительно превзошёл Bitcoin (BTC), драгоценные металлы, облигации, ведущие сырьевые товары и рынок акций. Хотя цена Bitcoin в июле достигла нового исторического максимума (ATH), вторая по величине криптовалюта за месяц продемонстрировала впечатляющий рост на 48%, значительно превзойдя ралли Bitcoin на 7,9% и приблизившись к важному уровню сопротивления в $4000.

Согласно анализу Ecoinometrics, «рискованные» настроения, поднявшие все рынки в июле, явно благоприятствовали эфиру. Ключевым фактором, способствовавшим такому превосходству, стал колоссальный успех новых американских спотовых ETF на Ethereum, которые привлекли около 5,4 млрд долларов чистого притока за месяц, что способствовало интенсивному давлению покупателей.

Bitcoin did well in July but the spotlight belongs to Ethereum.

Risk-on sentiment was in full swing, with U.S. stock indices and Bitcoin hitting new highs.

But in terms of raw returns, Ethereum was the outlier.

It’s still well below its all-time high, but renewed ETF activity… pic.twitter.com/CNy6shcU32

— ecoinometrics (@ecoinometrics) August 1, 2025

Данные по сети показывают, что спрос на ETH по-прежнему высок

Несмотря на небольшой откат цены, ончейн-метрики показывают, что спрос на Ethereum остаётся невероятно высоким. Согласно анализу рыночных данных Santiment, в сети Ethereum наблюдался резкий скачок числа ежедневно активных адресов, достигнув 841 100 — самого высокого уровня за последние 12 месяцев.

В то же время крупные институциональные игроки активно накапливают средства. Ончейн-трекер EmberCN отметил, что SharpLink Gaming отправила Galaxy Digital 108 миллионов долларов в USDC с конкретной целью покупки эфира. Только за последний день SharpLink добавила почти 15 000 ETH, доведя свой общий запас до 464 000 ETH на сумму около 1,62 миллиарда долларов.

По теме: ETF на Ethereum начинают август с первого оттока, завершая 20-дневную серию

Такая институциональная уверенность основана на нескольких факторах: позиция Ethereum как крупнейшей и стабильной платформы смарт-контрактов, ее безупречная репутация с нулевым временем простоя сети и недавнее празднование ее десятилетнего юбилея.

Прогноз Ethereum на август

После преодоления сопротивления в $4000 в конце июля, Ethereum начал август спокойно. Однако исторические данные указывают на то, что месяц всё ещё может завершиться в плюсе для актива.

Источник: CoinGlass

Согласно анализу рыночных данных Coinglass, среднемесячная доходность эфира в августе с момента его запуска составила 4,89%. Учитывая, что бычий рынок 2025 года во многом напоминает криптолето 2017 года, когда эфир вырос на 92% в августе, бычий настрой очевиден.

По теме: Доминирование биткоина достигло 3-летнего максимума, но столкнулось с историческим спадом в августе-сентябре

С точки зрения технического анализа, цена ETH имеет все шансы достичь нового максимума в августе, если сопротивление в $4000 будет преодолено. Более того, 4-часовой индекс относительной силы (RSI) находится на уровне перепроданности на фоне макроэкономического бычьего прогноза.

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