Аналитик прогнозирует, что следующий минимум цикла XRP наступит не раньше 2026 года

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-12-29Last updated on 2025-12-29

  • XRP недавно вошел в зону ценообразования, сигнализируя о начале последней фазы макроэкономического бычьего ралли.
  • Криптоаналитик Egrag Crypto ожидает, что XRP достигнет своего следующего циклического минимума в начале 2026 года.
  • Скорое закрытие дела Ripple против SEC помогло улучшить фундаментальные показатели XRP

Поскольку цена XRP входит в эйфорическую фазу бычьего рынка 2025 года, криптоаналитик Egrag Crypto опубликовал смелый долгосрочный прогноз — не на следующий максимум, а на следующий важный циклический минимум.

Используя историческое графическое исследование индикатора схождения и расхождения скользящих средних (MACD), аналитик изложил теорию относительно того, когда может наступить следующее дно медвежьего рынка XRP.

Когда наступит следующее дно медвежьего рынка XRP?

Согласно анализу Egrag Crypto, следующий минимум цикла XRP должен наступить примерно в январе 2026 года и продлиться до февраля 2027 года.

По теме: Цена в 5 долларов за XRP «реалистична», и вот три основные причины, почему

Аналитик пришел к такому выводу, сравнив структуру рынка и модели MACD последних двух крупных циклов роста и роста криптовалют.

Действителен ли четырехлетний криптовалютный цикл для XRP?

Этот прогноз появился на фоне оспаривания традиционного четырёхлетнего цикла криптовалют. Массовое внедрение криптовалют институциональными инвесторами, особенно через биржевые инвестиционные фонды (ETF), снизило зависимость альткоинов от биткоина в плане оборота капитала.

В связи с высоким уровнем принятия XRP и более широким распространением криптовалютного рынка среди институциональных инвесторов, Egrag Crypto опубликовала два потенциальных циклических минимума для XRP, все из которых основаны на предыдущей структуре рынка.


Источник:Egrag Crypto

Основные факторы, которые приведут к следующему медвежьему рынку XRP

Динамика курса XRP в последние годы сохраняла корреляцию с биткоином (BTC) и эфириумом (ETH) благодаря ротации капитала. Однако широкое распространение криптоактивов институциональными инвесторами, особенно через биржевые инвестиционные фонды (ETF), снизило зависимость альткоинов от биткоина в плане ротации денежных средств во время бычьего рынка.

В результате некоторые аналитики выступили за новую криптоэру, практически свободную от четырёхлетнего цикла. В связи с этим рынок XRP будет по-прежнему зависеть от успешности бизнес-модели Ripple Labs.

По теме: Прогноз цены XRP на 31 июля

Кроме того, Ripple Labs является крупнейшим держателем XRP через эскроу-счет, с которого ежемесячно выпускается 1 миллиард монет для поддержки деятельности компании. Крах бизнес-модели Ripple может иметь катастрофические последствия для рынка XRP на фоне возросшей конкуренции в сфере трансграничных криптовалютных платежей.

Более широкая картина

Рост XRP в последние месяцы во многом обусловлен предстоящим завершением текущего судебного процесса, поданного Комиссией по ценным бумагам и биржам США (SEC) против Ripple. Ripple уже отозвала встречную апелляцию, поданную в ответ на апелляцию SEC на решение окружного судьи США Аналисы Торрес, вынесенное в июле 2023 года.

Кроме того, рынок XRP значительно выиграл от чёткой системы регулирования криптовалют в США. Например, принятие закона GENIUS Act поможет Ripple USD (RLUSD) увеличить свою долю рынка и, в свою очередь, улучшит экосистему XRP, в том числе за счёт ускорения сжигания токенов в блокчейне.

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
comp
CompoundCOMP
mantra
MantraMANTRA
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
velodrome
Velodrome FinanceVELODROME
brev
BrevisBREV
zrx
ZRX（0X）ZRX
cake
PancakeSwapCAKE

Related Reads

Crypto treasury firm ZeroStack warns of survival risk amid $82.5M loss

Nasdaq-listed crypto treasury firm ZeroStack has warned there is "substantial doubt" about its ability to continue operating over the next year, reversing its assessment from just three months prior. The company reported an $82.5 million fair value loss on digital assets and a net loss of $61.3 million for the first half of 2026. As of June 30, it held $2.6 million in cash, had negative working capital, and an accumulated deficit of $339.1 million. A key issue is the drastic devaluation of its 75.1 million Zero Gravity (0G) tokens, which had a fair value of only $15.2 million against a recorded cost of $163.3 million—a 91% decline. ZeroStack relies on staking rewards and token sales to fund operations, making its liquidity heavily dependent on the price and trading liquidity of 0G. While it earned $3.8 million in staking revenue and sold tokens for $2.4 million in the first half of the year, management stated it cannot conclude these plans will be enough to ensure survival. The company, formerly cannabis firm Flora Growth, rebranded after announcing a $401 million 0G treasury strategy in September. Its latest filing marks a stark reversal from its previous quarter's assertion that its resources were sufficient for at least another year.

cointelegraph41m ago

Crypto treasury firm ZeroStack warns of survival risk amid $82.5M loss

cointelegraph41m ago

XRP Ledger v3.2.1 Hotfix Targets Validator Manifest Flooding

The XRP Ledger (XRPL) team has released a hotfix, version xrpld v3.2.1, addressing an issue of validator manifest flooding that caused high memory and bandwidth consumption on affected nodes. While the problem did not disrupt network consensus or global transaction processing, it created significant resource pressure on individual nodes, posing a stability risk. The fix, released on July 31, 2026, is crucial for maintaining node reliability and preventing potential performance degradation or increased operational costs. Operators are urged to upgrade promptly and perform a required double restart to fully apply the patch. The incident underscores the ongoing importance of operational stability and swift response to vulnerabilities, even in non-catastrophic scenarios, for the health of the blockchain infrastructure.

bitcoinist45m ago

XRP Ledger v3.2.1 Hotfix Targets Validator Manifest Flooding

bitcoinist45m ago

CLARITY Act Faces Senate Deadline After Missing Monday Schedule

The CLARITY Act, a major cryptocurrency market structure bill, faces a critical deadline after being omitted from the U.S. Senate's Monday schedule. Supporters are now racing against the clock to advance the legislation before Congress's August recess, shifting focus from policy debates to complex Senate procedures. With no official legislative process scheduled, the bill's immediate fate depends on procedural maneuvers. For a key "cloture" vote to occur by Friday, Senate leadership must file a petition with at least 16 signatures by Wednesday. Even if successful, Senate rules allow for 30 hours of debate before a final vote, though leadership could pursue faster options like a bipartisan petition or unanimous consent—which any single senator can block. Political backing remains uncertain. Negotiations between Republicans and Democrats are ongoing, with seven Democratic negotiators stating a new draft still does not meet their approval. Senator Elizabeth Warren opposes the current version, and Majority Leader John Thune is reportedly only willing to schedule a procedural vote if sufficient Democratic support is secured before the recess.

TheNewsCrypto46m ago

CLARITY Act Faces Senate Deadline After Missing Monday Schedule

TheNewsCrypto46m ago

Bitcoin Short-term Adjustment Continues, HYPE Approaches Critical Support | Guest Analysis

This article provides a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE for the current week. For Bitcoin, the daily chart suggests an ongoing b-wave correction within a larger pattern since the May high, currently testing the $60,900-$61,500 support zone. The analysis outlines that if this area holds (with the critical level at $57,820), a potential c-wave rally towards $67,300 could follow. Key resistance levels are identified at $63,600, $65,700-$67,300, and $69,500-$71,000. The author presents both mid-term and short-term trading strategies, including two specific short-term plans (Plan A and B) for potential long entries based on support holds or breaks above resistance. Regarding HYPE, the daily chart indicates it is in the final stages (C-wave) of a correction from its June high, now approaching a crucial support zone of $50-$52. The analysis notes oversold conditions and warns against chasing the downtrend, instead advising to watch for signs of a stabilizing bounce (potential D-wave). Key resistance levels are $58.5-$60, $63.5-$66, and near $72.97. The short-term strategy suggests considering a light long position if the $50-$52 support holds. The article also includes a verification of last week's analysis, noting that BTC's price action aligned with predictions, and details a successful short-term BTC short trade that yielded approximately 2.58% profit using proprietary trading models. General risk management rules for stop-loss placement are reiterated. The author concludes by emphasizing that all analysis is for personal trading purposes and does not constitute investment advice.

Odaily星球日报54m ago

Bitcoin Short-term Adjustment Continues, HYPE Approaches Critical Support | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报54m ago

Coldcard Attack Escalates: Fourth Wave Pushes Bitcoin Theft Past $90 Million

The Coldcard hardware wallet attack has escalated into a major security crisis, with estimated thefts now exceeding $90 million from over 4,500 wallets. The flaw, present in Mk3 devices running firmware v4.0.1 to v5.0.3, resulted in seed phrases with lower entropy, making them predictable. A confirmed fourth wave of attacks recently stole approximately 448.73 BTC from 709 addresses over a 2.5-hour period. Manufacturer Coinkite has destroyed vulnerable inventory, halted shipments, and released patched firmware. However, the update only secures newly generated seeds; wallets created on the vulnerable firmware remain at high risk and require immediate migration of funds. The company has suggested alternative wallets and asked affected users to retain their devices for potential recovery efforts. This incident severely damages trust in a leading cold storage solution.

TheNewsCrypto1h ago

Coldcard Attack Escalates: Fourth Wave Pushes Bitcoin Theft Past $90 Million

TheNewsCrypto1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is XRP 2.0

XRP 2.0: A New Frontier in the Cryptocurrency Landscape Introduction to XRP 2.0 In the ever-evolving realm of cryptocurrency, new projects continuously emerge, vying for attention and adoption. One such promising initiative is XRP 2.0, a novel cryptocurrency project designed to leverage advanced blockchain technology and robust encryption methodologies. While the name draws parallels with Ripple’s XRP, it’s crucial to note that XRP 2.0 operates independently, focusing on enhancing transaction security, privacy, and scalability. As the digital financial landscape increasingly embraces decentralized solutions, XRP 2.0 aims to contribute meaningfully to web3 and the overall expansion of crypto projects. What is XRP 2.0? At its core, XRP 2.0 is a cryptocurrency project that aims to create a secure and decentralized digital currency ecosystem. Its foundational technology integrates sophisticated blockchain principles with cutting-edge encryption techniques. The overarching goal of XRP 2.0 is to establish itself as a reliable and efficient platform enabling swift transaction execution while prioritizing enhanced privacy protections for its users. The project is promoted as a solution to many limitations faced by existing cryptocurrencies, proposing a system that can handle a higher volume of transactions with improved speed and privacy. This versatility positions XRP 2.0 as a significant contender in a marketplace riddled with various digital currencies. Who is the Creator of XRP 2.0? The identity of the creator behind XRP 2.0 has been flagged as ‘Wilbur.’ However, comprehensive details regarding Wilbur or their associated entity remain elusive. The anonymity of many cryptocurrency creators is not an uncommon phenomenon in the industry, often designed to maintain a degree of privacy and security. Who are the Investors of XRP 2.0? As of now, specific information related to the investment foundations or organizations supporting XRP 2.0 is not publicly available. In the cryptocurrency sector, the backing by reputed investors can significantly influence a project's credibility and success, yet the transparency regarding the financial supporters of XRP 2.0 has not been established. How Does XRP 2.0 Work? XRP 2.0 stands out by employing a combination of blockchain technology and advanced encryption algorithms that ensures secure and decentralized transactions. Its innovative structure includes unique features designed to foster user engagement and broaden functionalities beyond conventional cryptocurrency transactions. Among these features, XRP 2.0 incorporates AI-powered capabilities, such as text-to-image and text-to-speech functionalities. These additions are designed to enhance the interactive experience for users, promoting broader applicability across various sectors. By bridging technological advancements with user-centered design, XRP 2.0 aims to capture the attention of a diverse range of individuals and enterprises looking to integrate cryptocurrency solutions into their operational frameworks. Timeline of XRP 2.0 Understanding XRP 2.0 requires examining the milestones that have defined its journey thus far: July 23, 2023: XRP 2.0 is introduced as a novel cryptocurrency project, aiming to revolutionize secure and decentralized transaction capabilities in the blockchain domain. September 8, 2023: The launching of another project, XRP20, occurs, marking the emergence of an ERC-20 token on the Ethereum blockchain that remains unrelated to XRP 2.0. November 13, 2023: The XRP Ledger undergoes a significant update with the release of rippled server software version 2.0.0. It is essential to note that this development is disconnected from the XRP 2.0 cryptocurrency project. Key Points About XRP 2.0 To distill the essence of XRP 2.0, several critical factors emerge: Unique Features: The inclusion of features like AI-powered text-to-image and text-to-speech further diversifies the potential applications of XRP 2.0. Blockchain Technology: The framework utilizes advanced blockchain mechanisms and encryption protocols, ensuring a secure and decentralized environment for transactions. Scalability and Privacy: XRP 2.0 prioritizes enhanced privacy protections in transaction processes and the scalability necessary to accommodate a growing user base. No Affiliation with Ripple: Importantly, despite its name, XRP 2.0 does not have any allegiance or collaboration with Ripple’s XRP, distinguishing its operational framework and objectives within the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Conclusion XRP 2.0 represents an ambitious venture into the cryptocurrency sphere, aiming to offer a combination of security, privacy, and efficiency in digital transactions. By integrating sophisticated technologies and user-friendly features, the project sets out to broaden the horizons of what cryptocurrency can achieve in today's digital economy. While the anonymity of its creator and lack of disclosed investors might raise questions for some, XRP 2.0's focus on advanced functionalities and decentralisation enhances its appeal amidst an increasingly crowded crypto market. As the cryptocurrency landscape continues to evolve, XRP 2.0 may yet emerge as a pivotal player in the expansion of secure and scalable blockchain solutions.

1.3k Total ViewsPublished 2024.04.01Updated 2024.12.03

What is XRP 2.0

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of XRP (XRP) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions