3300万美元疯狂抢购BONK!市场过热恐引发回调风险?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-07-21Last updated on 2025-07-21

Abstract

BONK 的收益可能会受到更广泛的市场分销压力的阻碍。

关键要点

现货投资者和精明投资者已从市场上抢购了价值超过 3300 万美元的 BONK,这增加了维持当前涨势的压力。

Bonk [BONK]保持了看涨势头,过去一周上涨了 38%,并且似乎有望继续保持这一势头。

分析显示,在此期间吸筹活动有所加强。然而,更广泛的市场布局仍在持续拖累 BONK 的价格——即便其正接近潜在突破。

投资者继续积累

过去一周,BONK 投资者加大了持仓力度,目前持仓总额已达 3322 万美元。

根据 CoinGlass 的现货交易所 Netflow数据,现货市场参与者引领了这一趋势,购买了价值 3144 万美元的 BONK。

这些代币被转移到私人钱包,表明了长期投资前景,这一举措在历史上往往先于市场反弹。

智能货币投资者又贡献了 178 万美元。Nansen 表示,尽管金额相对较小,但这笔资金是过去一周 Solana 生态系统中 memecoin 的最大一笔智能货币流入。

从历史上看,BONK 的聪明资金持有者以盈利押注而闻名,这表明这种资本流入可能反映了对即将到来的反弹的预期。

衍生品信号看涨情绪

衍生品交易员也加入了竞争。截至撰写本文时,未平仓合约加权融资利率 (OGR) 仍维持在正值之上。

这一正值表明,大多数活跃衍生品合约都是多头仓位。融资利率为0.0114%,这意味着多头交易者需要支付溢价来维持其仓位。

AMBCrypto 分析显示,BONK 已经突破看涨图表模式,上行目标为 0.00003900 美元。

然而,仍然存在两个主要阻力位:0.00003461 美元(已经拒绝价格一次)和前方 0.00003680 美元。

鉴于目前的积累速度,BONK 似乎处于有利地位,可以挑战这些水平,并可能延续其涨势。

不过,持续看涨突破的最大障碍仍然是整个市场的分布。

分发阶段继续

累积/派发 (A/D) 比率与 BONK 的前景形成了鲜明对比。尽管现货市场和精明投资者都在积极买入,但整体市场仍处于派发阶段。

仅在过去 24 小时内,BONK 总发行量就达到了 31.88 万亿,这意味着出售的代币数量多于购买的数量。

截至发稿时,A/D指标略有上升,表明派发速度可能正在放缓。如果这种趋势持续下去,BONK可能会重拾其长期看涨轨迹。

然而,如果分销恢复下降趋势,即使突破当前的看涨图表形态,也可能会抑制 BONK 的上行潜力。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Mid-Year Review of U.S. Crypto Policy: CLARITY Gains Momentum for a Comeback, Who Will Lead the Second Half?

Mid-Point Review of U.S. Crypto Policy: CLARITY Act Gains Momentum, Who Will Lead the Second Half? The U.S. crypto industry is hopeful for a breakthrough as the Senate advances the CLARITY Act, but securing the necessary 60 votes requires bipartisan compromise. With only about 40 legislative days left, the path is tight. The policy agenda is crowded. Alongside CLARITY, multiple crypto tax proposals spun off from the new PARITY Act seek attachment to larger bills. The Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act aims to codify developer protections, and key rules under GENUIS remain under negotiation. The CFTC operates with four vacant commissioner seats, creating uncertainty. A major unresolved battle is over which regulator—state authorities, the CFTC, or the SEC—will gain jurisdiction over prediction markets. The sector also faces the impending departure of two key advocates: SEC Commissioner Hester M. Peirce and Senator Cynthia Lummis. Industry leaders provided cautious perspectives. Sara K. Weed doubts CLARITY will pass this Congress, expecting agencies like the SEC to provide guidance instead. Sulolit "Raj" Mukherjee believes targeted crypto tax provisions have a real chance if attached to must-pass year-end legislation. Rashan Colbert highlights the CFTC's recent efforts to build a regulatory framework for the growing prediction markets sector, warning against an overly broad "gambling" classification that could stifle innovation. The second half of the policy year has begun. The window for action is narrow, but opportunities remain. Sustained bipartisan engagement is crucial for achieving substantive results.

Foresight News3m ago

Mid-Year Review of U.S. Crypto Policy: CLARITY Gains Momentum for a Comeback, Who Will Lead the Second Half?

Foresight News3m ago

Will the STRC Issue Price Determined by ChatGPT Lead to a Death Spiral?

A "death spiral" concerns surround the "STRC" preferred shares from MicroStrategy, a financial instrument designed by CEO Michael Saylor with significant AI consultation to trade near a $100 face value. Since its July 2025 launch alongside a ~40% Bitcoin (BTC) decline, STRC has traded at a discount, hitting a low of $82.53 and pushing its effective dividend yield above 12.9%. The debate centers on whether STRC's structure—which relies on MicroStrategy issuing more shares to fund Bitcoin purchases and dividends—is sustainable or a "centralized Ponzi scheme," as economist Peter Schiff claims. Skepticism grew after Saylor revealed the product's design involved extensive AI dialogue to create a legally viable, monthly-dividend, price-stable preferred share—a novel concept. MicroStrategy's recent sale of 32 BTC to cover dividends, coupled with a sharp slowdown in its weekly Bitcoin buys (from billions to ~$100 million in June), has intensified fears. The "at-the-market" equity issuance, a key funding mechanism, is paused while STRC trades below par. This raises the "death spiral" risk: a lower STRC price triggers automatic dividend rate hikes, increasing cash obligations and potentially forcing more share sales or Bitcoin divestments. Bullish analysts like Jesse Myers argue the sell-off stems from leveraged positions unwinding, not fundamental failure, noting the company can cover dividends for decades if BTC appreciates modestly. The shift to semi-monthly dividends and the high yield at discounted prices may attract new buyers. Major AI models (ChatGPT, Grok, Claude) suggest a return to $100 is possible but conditional on restored market confidence, sustainable dividend coverage without asset sales, and a Bitcoin price recovery. The critical test arrives as new dividend rules take effect June 30, likely raising rates again with STRC below $95. The central question remains: Can MicroStrategy fulfill its obligations without selling Bitcoin, or will the mechanism accelerate its own decline?

marsbit10m ago

Will the STRC Issue Price Determined by ChatGPT Lead to a Death Spiral?

marsbit10m ago

Why Did NVIDIA's Bond Issue Go Unnoticed While SpaceX's Caused a Plunge?

The article analyzes the contrasting market reactions to recent bond issuances by SpaceX and NVIDIA. While NVIDIA's $25 billion bond offering was met with strong demand and seen as securing long-term capital for its already profitable AI business, SpaceX's move to raise at least $20 billion in bonds (primarily to refinance bridge loans) triggered a sell-off in its stock (SPCX). The key difference lies in the stage of cash flow validation for their respective core narratives. For NVIDIA, the AI boom is generating substantial, visible revenue and profits, making debt a tool to amplify a proven growth curve. For SpaceX, despite a strong cash position post-IPO and a revenue-generating business in Starlink, its valuation is heavily tied to future, capital-intensive projects like Starship, global satellite networks, and potential AI infrastructure. The bond issuance acted as a trigger, shifting market focus from SpaceX's long-term vision to the pressing question of whether Starlink's profits can fund these ambitious, unproven ventures before they generate their own returns. Thus, the market penalizes not the act of borrowing itself, but the perceived gap between high capital expenditure and the speed of cash flow realization. SpaceX's valuation recovery hinges on demonstrating that Starlink's profitability can outpace the burn rate of its futuristic projects or that those projects (like Starship achieving reliable, low-cost reusability) can soon transition from costly visions to commercial realities.

marsbit15m ago

Why Did NVIDIA's Bond Issue Go Unnoticed While SpaceX's Caused a Plunge?

marsbit15m ago

Will the STRC Issue Price Determined by ChatGPT Really Fall into a Death Spiral?

"Strategy's" (STRC) preferred share, a financial instrument designed by CEO Michael Saylor in consultation with AI to trade steadily at $100, faces mounting pressure. Since its July 2025 launch alongside a ~40% Bitcoin price drop, STRC has traded at a steep discount, hitting a low of $82.53. This discount pushes its effective dividend yield above 12.9%. The core debate revolves around whether STRC's structure is sustainable or a "centralized Ponzi scheme," as economist Peter Schiff claims. The mechanism relies on issuing new shares ("at-the-market" offerings) to fund Bitcoin purchases and dividend payments. However, the deep discount has paused these ATM offerings, slowing Bitcoin accumulation and forcing a minor sale of 32 BTC to cover obligations. Proponents, like The Smarter Web Company's Jesse Myers, argue the sell-off is a leveraged unwinding, not a fundamental failure. They note Strategy has ample resources to cover dividends for years if Bitcoin appreciates modestly. The deep discount also makes STRC attractive for yield-seeking buyers, as dividends are calculated on the $100 face value. The key test is whether Strategy can maintain dividends without sustained Bitcoin sales. A critical watchpoint is June 30th, when STRC switches to semi-monthly dividends. An automatic rule will likely raise the dividend rate further because the price remains below $95$, potentially creating a "death spiral": lower prices trigger higher yields, increasing the cash burden and forcing more dilution or asset sales. The question of whether this AI-designed "flywheel" is a stable instrument or a flawed accelerator will be answered by its price action and Strategy's funding choices in the coming months.

链捕手15m ago

Will the STRC Issue Price Determined by ChatGPT Really Fall into a Death Spiral?

链捕手15m ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

How to Buy BONK

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing Bonk (BONK) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy Bonk (BONK) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your Bonk (BONK)After purchasing your Bonk (BONK), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade Bonk (BONK)Easily trade Bonk (BONK) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

6.3k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2026.06.02

How to Buy BONK

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BONK (BONK) are presented below.

活动图片