BTC高点能到哪?还有什么因素会影响BTC的价格?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-07-18Last updated on 2025-07-18

Abstract

相反,未来几个月加密货币市场可能会出现大幅上涨,这是 2024 年 4 月减半后牛市的最后一轮。

关键要点

  • 自 4 月以来,以太坊的表现一直优于比特币,而 ETH/BTC 在较高时间范围内的突破是 ETH 走强的标志。然而,这并不意味着比特币的疲软。
  • 以太坊[ETH]已从7月初的低点反弹44%,至2,373美元。截至发稿时,其交易价为3,426美元,机构需求的增加和现货ETF的流入可能会进一步推动其上涨。

从周线图来看,ETH/BTC 似乎已出现转机。在突破局部阻力位 0.02629 后,ETH/BTC 形成看涨结构性突破,并正在挑战 0.02968 的水平。突破第二阻力位可能开启 ETH/BTC 的上涨趋势。

ETH/BTC 追踪的是以太坊相对于比特币 [BTC]的价值。自 2023 年以来,ETH/BTC 一直处于严重的下跌趋势,并在 2024 年夏季转为自由落体。

现在,随着对以太坊的需求不断增长,过去两个月这一趋势开始逆转。

加密货币分析师马修·海兰 (Matthew Hyland)在X 的一篇文章中表示,ETH/BTC 的上升趋势可能会对比特币主导地位 (BTC.D) 产生影响。

他解释说,如果ETH/BTC能够维持看涨势头,那么“BTC主导地位有99%的可能性已经触顶”。虽然这话没错,但交易员和投资者必须考虑一个因素。

ETH/BTC 看涨是否意味着比特币涨势已经结束?

虽然ETH/BTC的周线图显示出上涨趋势的迹象,但周线图上的BTC.D尚未突破其看涨趋势。它已被迫跌至62.4%的较高低点,但尚未出现决定性的结构性突破。

分析师海兰德 (Hyland) 认为,一旦 ETH/BTC 继续走高,就会出现这种突破。

AMBCrypto 对此表示赞同,但交易员和投资者需要考虑的关键因素是时间。这些走势需要时间,而且并不意味着比特币的涨势已经停止。

即使在 ETH/BTC 突破之后,也有可能出现数周的回调或盘整期。

这可能是比特币上涨的时机。因此,虽然BTC.D突破对山寨币投资者来说是个好消息,但这并不意味着比特币持有者应该抛售手中的资产。

相反,未来几个月加密货币市场可能会出现大幅上涨,这是 2024 年 4 月减半后牛市的最后一轮。

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433 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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