【关键门槛】ETH三度冲击3000，这次能站稳吗？数据亮了！

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-07-11Last updated on 2025-07-11

Abstract

ETH 在整个市场显示出更明显的看涨势头。

关键要点

  • 在机构兴趣上升、阻力较小和流动性强劲的背景下，ETH 飙升至 2,800 美元以上，表明尽管对增加外汇储备持谨慎态度，但 ETH 仍有上涨至 3,000 美元的潜在空间。
  • 以太坊 [ETH]最近数周来首次突破 2,800 美元大关，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 7% 以上。

重新回到这一水平表明更多的投资者正在活跃于市场，从而增加了价格进一步上涨的可能性。

在撰写本文时，ETH 的市场流动性大幅飙升。如果近期没有显著的阻力位，该资产有望攀升至 3,000 美元的新高。

CME 流动性激增证实了投资者的兴趣

据Glassnode报道，以 7 天简单移动平均线 (SMA) 衡量，芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 的未平仓合约 (OI) 出现激增。

OI 最近飙升至 32.7 亿美元，创下 2025 年 2 月 2 日以来的最高水平。这一增长强烈表明机构资本流入市场的数量正在增加。

AMBCrypto 还分析了CoinGlass上的 ETH 现货交易所交易基金 (ETF)，以确定这些投资者是否为该资产分配了更多资金。

有趣的是，机构交易者确实很活跃。仅在过去的一天，他们就从市场上积累了价值 2.11 亿美元的 ETH。

这是自 6 月 6 日以来最大的单日购买额，当时 ETH 的购买金额超过 2.4 亿美元，进一步推动了持续的上涨。

ETH 的未来之路是否明朗？

随着看涨压力不断增加（尤其是来自机构参与者的压力），AMBCrypto 的分析表明，ETH 未来面临的阻力不大。

根据 IntoTheBlock 的价内/价外价格 (IOMAP)，只有两个可见的阻力位，即卖出量为 344 万和 342 万 ETH。

这些阻力量相对较低，如 IOMAP 图表所示，介于 3,222.13 美元至 4,816.30 美元之间。

这种最小的抛售压力表明，ETH 可能会继续上涨，回调幅度有限，尤其是在流动性持续上升的情况下。

据CryptoQuant称，散户投资者似乎也持有 ETH，而不是将其发送到交易所。

中心化交易所充值地址数量已降至2.3万个，且持续呈下降趋势。

这种行为意味着，与以前不同，发送到交易所的资金减少了，因为投资者选择自我托管，这在历史上是一个看涨信号。

外汇储备增加——投资者应该担心吗？

目前并非所有市场指标都看涨。一个值得警惕的指标是外汇储备指标，尽管整体趋势呈上升趋势，但该指标仍在上升。

过去一天，中心化交易所的 ETH 持有总量增至 1890 万。

外汇余额的持续上升可能预示着需求紧缩，即供应超过需求的情况，可能导致价格下跌。

然而，由于存款地址仍在减少，目前需求紧缩的风险似乎很小。

目前，购买活动的增加（尤其是来自机构投资者的购买活动）仍然是维持 ETH 上涨趋势和抑制储备增加影响的主要力量。

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