无惧关税来袭,标普纳指齐新高,特斯拉大反弹近5%,比特币续创新高

华尔街日报Published on 2025-07-10Last updated on 2025-07-10

特朗普政府突发的关税行动引发了市场短期波动,但强劲的企业盈利预期与对人工智能的热情,正帮助投资者消化贸易政策的不确定性,并维持对风险资产的整体乐观立场。

周三,据央视新闻,美国总统特朗普提出一系列新的关税要求,包括对巴西征收50%的关税,并确认将于下月起对铜进口征收50%的关税。这一消息导致美股期货小幅走低,但并未颠覆市场的整体上行趋势。

美股盘初道指跌0.03%,标普500指数涨0.04%,纳指涨0.1%。美股稀土概念股大涨,主要行业ETF多数下跌。欧洲斯托克600指数上涨0.6%,录得逾一个月来最长的四日连涨。报道称OPEC+正讨论从10月起暂停增产,国际油价跌超1%。

交易员似乎在等待新的催化剂以推动美股再创新高。分析人士认为,尽管贸易政策疑虑持续存在,但投资者目前更关注经济基本面和企业盈利前景,从而削弱了关税对市场的整体冲击力。

  • 美股盘初道指跌0.03%,标普500指数涨0.04%,纳指涨0.1%。
  • 达美航空涨约11%,公司二季度业绩超预期,并恢复全财年业绩指引。 稀土概念股大涨,MP Materials涨约57%,USA Rare Earth涨约17%。部分科技股上涨,英伟达涨约1%。特斯拉涨约3%。
  • 美股盘初,主要行业ETF多数下跌,能源业ETF跌近1%,网络股指数ETF跌0.5%,全球航空业ETF涨超4%。
  • 欧洲斯托克50指数开盘涨0.3%,德国DAX指数涨0.45%,英国富时100指数创下历史新高,日内涨逾1%。法国CAC 40指数涨0.4%。
  • 10 年期美国国债收益率上涨 1 个基点至 4.35%。
  • 德国 10 年期国债收益率变化不大,为 2.67%。
  • 美元汇率基本持平,变动不大。欧元兑美元几乎没有变化,报 1.1728 美元。
  • 日元兑美元汇率略有变化,报 146.39。
  • 伦敦金属交易所(LME)的铜价上涨0.4%,结束了此前的五连跌。
  • 比特币上涨 0.6% 至 111423.79 美元。
  • WTI原油日内跌幅达1%,报66.27美元/桶;布伦特原油日内跌幅达1%,报69.47美元/桶。
  • 现货黄金上涨 0.4% 至每盎司 3325.35 美元。

稀土概念股大涨,主要行业ETF多数下跌

10日,媒体报道称,总部位于五角大楼的美国国防部将成为稀土开采商MP Materials的最大股东,通过购买4亿美元优先股的方式支持该公司扩大稀土加工能力和磁铁生产规模。

该公司拥有美国唯一运营的稀土矿山。国防部的投资将帮助MP Materials建设第二座磁铁制造工厂,预计2028年投产,年产能达1万吨稀土磁铁。

该合作还包括国防部为MP Materials提供长期价格保障和产品采购承诺,为期十年,以确保稀土磁铁的稳定供应。

消息传出后, 稀土概念股大涨,MP Materials涨约57%。

美股盘初,主要行业ETF多数下跌,能源业ETF跌近1%,网络股指数ETF跌0.5%,全球航空业ETF涨超4%。

OPEC暂停增产,国际油价下跌

WTI原油日内跌幅达1%,报66.27美元/桶;布伦特原油日内跌幅达1%,报69.47美元/桶。

据媒体援引知情人士消息,OPEC+正在讨论在下次月度增产之后暂停进一步增产,也就是从10月起暂停增产。沙特及其合作伙伴已初步计划在9月完成恢复220万桶/日供应的计划,其中包括每月增加约55万桶。

该组织可能会在采取下一步行动之前等待一段时间,即恢复另一层暂停的产量,约为每日166万桶。

关税影响减弱,盈利成关键

美股稀土概念股盘前大涨,MP Materials一度涨超48%,USA Rare Earth一度涨超21%,Energy Fuels一度涨近11%。

分析师指出,市场对关税消息的敏感度已有所下降。持续的经济增长迹象、对即将到来的财报季的信心以及对人工智能领域的乐观情绪,共同为投资者提供了推高股市的底气。

“对我们而言,股票回报的关键驱动因素一直是企业盈利,尤其是IT行业,而政策和贸易不确定性在这方面并未造成太大损害,”State Street Global Markets的高级多资产策略师Marija Veitmane表示。她认为,市场对关税的敏感性已经降低。

伦敦金属交易所(LME)的铜价上涨0.4%,结束了此前的五连跌。而在纽约市场,铜价上涨2.1%,自周一特朗普首次提出关税规模以来,累计涨幅已超过11%。

科技股领涨,策略师建议逢低买入

科技股的强劲表现是支撑市场信心的重要支柱。在盘前交易中,英伟达股价上涨0.5%,其市值在周三曾短暂触及4万亿美元。特斯拉股价也上涨了0.8%。

面对关税带来的短期波动,一些市场策略师认为这恰好是投资机会。Jefferies International首席欧洲策略师Mohit Kumar指出,投资者应考虑利用市场下跌的机会增加风险头寸:

“关税确实会造成波动和不确定性,但中期内不应对市场产生太大影响。我们的基本判断仍然是风险资产将缓慢走高。”

风险提示及免责条款
市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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