比特币新高了,以太坊还没有, 3.2 万美元何时来?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-07-10Last updated on 2025-07-10

Abstract

ETH 的投机兴趣超过 BTC – 它能推高价格吗?

关键要点

  • 富达将 ETH 视为一种价值储存手段,类似于新兴经济体的货币。ETH的交易量和投机兴趣曾一度超过 BTC。
  • 以太坊 [ETH]引起了华尔街的充分关注,资产管理公司富达现在将 ETH 视为价值存储(SoV)和财富保值的替代品。

该资产管理公司在其最新报告中表示, “以太币可用于支付以太坊区块链上的任何交易,无论交易类型如何……以太币可以作为交换媒介和价值储存手段。”

富达补充说,区块链具有嵌入式货币(以太坊网络的 ETH),因此应该与主权国家及其经济体进行比较,而不是 Web 2 公司。

该公司还强调,ETH 是交易所交易最活跃的资产,也是“主要的借贷资产”。

市场反应

上述更新被视为对 ETH 的宽慰和信任。2024 年,ETH 经历了与 BTC 的大规模市场脱节和分化。

当时,该山寨币因不像 BTC 那样具备价值存储功能而承受着巨大的压力。它兑 BTC 下跌了近 70%,甚至落后于Solana [SOL]。

因此,富达的报告受到了欢迎,尤其是支持 ETH 的成员。

针对该报告,以太坊教育者 Sassal称其为“看涨”,并指出 ETH 被低估了。

“ETH 是一项价值 100 万亿美元的资产,交易价格为 3160 亿美元。”

最近,在预期稳定币繁荣和互联网资本市场(链上股票)的背景下,分析师对 ETH 做出了看涨预测。

在富达更新之后,ETH 情绪攀升至“贪婪”水平,上涨 2.8% 至 2.6 万美元。

总体而言,根据 CoinGlass 的数据,日益增长的积极情绪已引发 ETH 在每日交易量和投机兴趣方面超越 BTC 。

值得注意的是,截至发稿时,ETH 的未平仓合约 (OI) 率上涨了 7%,而 BTC 的未平仓合约率则下跌了 0.18%。这凸显了期货市场对 ETH 的巨大需求。

同期,衍生品交易量飙升至 590 亿美元,比 BTC 多出约 30 亿美元。如果这一趋势持续下去,就投资者回报而言,ETH 短期内可能超越 BTC。

也就是说,第三季度末 (Q3) 的市场倾向看涨,看跌/看涨比率为 0.44,突显看涨期权(看涨押注)高于看跌期权(看跌押注)。

大多数看涨目标分别为 2.8 万美元和 3.2 万美元,最大痛苦价格(潜在底价,期权合约到期毫无价值)约为 2 万美元。

总体而言,ETH 在第三季度仍可能低于 3000 美元,但期权交易员仍在押注其可能出现突破。

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