ETH 2400 美元博弈:抛压见顶还是行情新起点?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-07-03Last updated on 2025-07-03

Abstract

以太坊基金会的抛售举动是警告还是例行洗牌?

  • 以太坊巨鲸在过去 30 天内吸纳了超过 149 万个 ETH。
  • Binance 记录了价值 2.5 亿美元的 10 万 ETH 流入,表明抛售活动活跃。
  • 以太坊 [ETH]在过去两周内徘徊在 2.4 万美元至 2.5 万美元之间,在上个月从 2.8 万美元跌至 2.1 万美元后难以突破。

持续的价格停滞引发了各方面的不同反应,从鲸鱼的增持到其他投资者的积极平仓。

鲸鱼悄悄地抢购 ETH

尽管以太坊在过去一个月内未能取得显著增长,但鲸鱼们还是借此机会进行了积累。

过去一个月,大额持币者累计增持了 149 万 ETH,总持仓量增长了 3.72%。事实上,这并非昙花一现。

7 月 1 日,鲸鱼购买量达到 704,000 ETH,超过了出售量 585,000 ETH,导致大户净流量从 9,800 跃升至 119,300。

自然,这种净流入意味着积累。当鲸鱼买入的量大于卖出量时,通常意味着他们在市场波动前进行布局。

但是等等!

令人惊讶的是,虽然鲸鱼正在积极积累,但包括机构和小规模投资者在内的其他参与者却在抛售。

以以太坊基金会为例,据Lookonchain报道,该组织每天向 Multisig 转移 1000 个 ETH,价值 246 万美元。

到目前为止,他们已经出售了总计 13,000 个 ETH,价值 3,200 万美元。

这种分歧引出了一个关键问题:这只是获利回吐还是谨慎的转变?

散户正在将 ETH 发送到交易所

此外,CryptoQuant 数据显示,以太坊的交易所流入量大幅飙升。仅币安一天之内就有 10 万 ETH 流入其储备,价值 2.5 亿美元。

交易所的大量资金流入通常意味着交易所持有的以太坊储备增加。从历史上看,这种波动通常预示着短期价格下跌,尤其是在资本流入量较低的情况下。

以太坊的两条相互冲突的道路

如上所述,当鲸鱼增持时,其他市场参与者正在抛售。这种增持提供了强劲的支撑位,这与小规模投资者获利了结形成了鲜明对比。

这场拉锯战让以太坊陷入了犹豫不决的状态。

截至发稿时,该山寨币的 RSI 背离指标徘徊在 48.62 左右。

在这些水平上,该动量指标表明市场正处于冷却期,等待下一个催化剂。

因此,下一步就看增持地址和获利了结者之间谁能强势结束这场战斗了。

如果买家继续买入而卖家耗尽,山寨币将收回 2548 美元并突破 2.7 万美元。

然而,如果卖家多于买家,以太坊可能会跌至 2,372 美元,突破盘整的下限。

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