比特币即将创下新高,山寨季会来临吗?

marsbitPublished on 2025-06-29Last updated on 2025-06-30

比特币即将创下新高,山寨季会来临吗?

随着伊朗以色列停火以及美股的新高,机构的持续买入导致比特币净流入量在上周创下新高,或将推动比特币开启新的上涨趋势,创下历史新高。比特币在上周上涨逾6%,表明在10万美元附近出现强劲买盘。多头正试图通过维持10.8万美元上方的价格来巩固其优势。

然而,值得注意的是,周末流动性通常较低,应谨慎看待突破。卖家将于周一回归,并努力将价格保持在10万美元至111,980美元的区间内。 

比特币的强势引发了对几种山寨币的买盘,这些山寨币已从各自的支撑位反弹。如果比特币创下历史新高,部分山寨币将试图突破上方阻力位,延续其反弹势头。

比特币价格预测

比特币一直在移动平均线和下行趋势线之间交易。买家试图将价格推高至下行趋势线上方,但空头坚守阵地。

美元BTC/USDT 日线图。资料来源:TradingView

移动平均线逐渐上行,相对强弱指数 (RSI) 处于正值区域,表明多头略占优势。如果多头推动价格突破下行趋势线,BTC/USDT 货币对可能跃升至 110,530 美元,随后进一步升至 111,980 美元。 

预计卖方将在下行趋势线和倒头肩形态颈线之间的区域构成强劲挑战。然而,如果买方强行突破,该货币对可能飙升至 150,492 美元。

如果价格从下行趋势线回落并跌破移动平均线,这种乐观观点将在短期内被否定。这将为价格跌至 102,500 美元,进而跌至 100,000 美元打开大门。

美元BTC/USDT 4 小时图。资料来源:TradingView

该货币对从20日指数移动平均线反弹,但多头未能突破下行趋势线的上方阻力。如果价格继续下跌并跌破20日移动平均线,则表明多头正在失去控制。该货币对随后可能跌至50日简单移动平均线,这是一个需要警惕的关键水平。跌破50日移动平均线可能会加速抛售,推动该货币对跌向10万美元。

从好的方面来看,多头必须推动价格并维持在下行趋势线上方才能发出强势信号。


HYPE价格预测

Hyperliquid (HYPE) 周四跌破 20 日均线 (37.14 美元),但空头未能守住低位。这表明每次小幅下跌都有买盘。

美元HYPE/USDT 日线图。资料来源:TradingView

多头在周六将价格推回到20日均线上方。阻力位在39.12美元,但如果多头突破该阻力位,HYPE/USDT货币对可能会飙升至42.50美元。预计买家将在42.50美元至45.80美元区间面临巨大阻力。

相反,如果价格下跌并跌破20日均线,则表明空头在更高水平活跃。该货币对随后可能跌至50日均线(34.42美元)。若跌破并收于50日均线下方,则可能跌至30.69美元。


美元HYPE/USDT 4 小时图。资料来源:TradingView

该货币对在 50 移动平均线 (SMA) 获得支撑,多头正试图将价格推高至近期阻力位 39.12 美元。若成功突破,该货币对可能升至 41 美元,随后升至 42.50 美元。

下行方面,首个支撑位是20日均线,然后是50日均线。跌破移动平均线表明看涨势头减弱。该货币对可能跌至33.25美元,随后跌至30.69美元的稳固支撑位。


BCH价格预测

比特币现金在 500 美元的水平面临抛售,但一个积极的信号是多头并没有向空头做出太大让步。

美元BCH/USDT 日线图。来源:TradingView

上倾的移动平均线和位于正区域的RSI指标表明多头占据主导地位。这增加了突破500美元的可能性。如果突破,BCH/USDT货币对可能会飙升至550美元。空头将试图在550美元附近止步,但如果多头占上风,该货币对可能会触及625美元。

下行方面,首个支撑位位于 20 日均线(464 美元),其次是 50 日均线(430 美元)。跌破 50 日均线意味着空头重回市场。

美元BCH/USDT 4 小时图。资料来源:TradingView

多头正试图将价格维持在4小时图上的20日均线上方。如果成功,该货币对可能再次突破500美元的阻力位。上涨势头可能在511美元上方进一步增强。

相反,如果价格跌破并维持在20日均线下方,则表明多头正在获利了结。这可能导致该货币对跌至50日移动平均线,多头可能会在此入场。


Chainlink 价格预测

Chainlink过去几天一直坚守 20 天 EMA(13.27 美元),表明多头保持了压力。 

美元LINK/USDT 日线图。资料来源:TradingView

如果价格突破并维持在 20 日均线上方,LINK/USDT 货币对可能会升至 50 日移动平均线(14.43 美元)。预计空头将全力捍卫 50 日移动平均线,因为突破该均线预示着趋势可能发生变化。随后,该货币对可能攀升至 18 美元。

相反,如果价格从当前水平或50日移动平均线大幅下跌,则表明空头正在逢高抛售。跌破12.73美元可能会使该货币对在下行通道内维持一段时间。

美元LINK/USDT 4 小时图。资料来源:TradingView

多头正试图将价格推至阻力线,但空头正积极捍卫13.50美元的水平。如果价格下跌并跌破20日均线,则表明更高水平的需求不足。该货币对随后可能跌至50日移动平均线。

相反,20日均线的大幅反弹则表明市场情绪乐观。该货币对可能升至阻力线,这是一个需要关注的关键水平。如果价格突破阻力线,该货币对可能向15.50美元进军。


Sei 价格预测

周一, Sei突破 50 日移动平均线 (0.21 美元) 后,势头增强,周二突破 0.29 美元阻力位。

美元SEI/USDT 日线图。资料来源:TradingView

然而,买家未能维持高位,价格在周三跌破 0.29 美元。利好多头的迹象是,他们将价格推回 0.29 美元上方。20 日均线 (0.23 美元) 已开始回升,RSI 处于正值区域,表明阻力最小的路径是向上。SEI/USDT 货币对可能升至 0.35 美元,之后可能升至 0.43 美元。

如果价格下跌并跌破20日均线,这种乐观观点将在短期内失效。这可能会将该货币对拉低至0.19美元,随后进一步跌至0.15美元。

美元SEI/USDT 4 小时图。资料来源:TradingView

两条移动平均线均呈上行趋势,RSI 位于正值区域,表明买家有利。如果价格维持在 0.30 美元上方,该货币对可能上涨至 0.33 美元。 

卖家可能另有打算。他们会试图将价格拉低至20日均线下方。如果他们成功做到这一点,该货币对可能跌至0.27美元,随后跌至50日移动平均线。预计买家将坚决捍卫50日移动平均线,因为进一步回调可能会延缓上涨行情的恢复。

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