合约赌狗的自我修养：如何用40倍杠杆表演花式翻车

marsbitPublished on 2025-06-02Last updated on 2025-06-03

过去的端午三天小长假，对国人来说是离开工位和战壕放松身心的时间。在大西洋彼岸，屡次在 Hyperliquild 开出过亿 BTC 多单的巨鲸 James Wynn 却没能如愿在超级游艇上悠闲的晒太阳，仍在战壕里挣扎。

据 hypurrscan 数据，截止目前，James Wynn 账户总亏损超 1797 万美元，仍持有 40 倍 BTC 多单，仓位价值超 1 亿美元，开仓价 105890 美元，清算价为 103620 美元，当前浮盈约 21 万美元。

合约

James Wynn 账户盈亏

或许是亏损造成的精神压力太大，James Wynn 开始在社交媒体上爆粗口、指责 CEX、假装暂停合约交易、最终走到了向粉丝借钱开单的地步。但就在一个星期前，James Wynn 还是巅峰浮盈 8700 万美元、最终能获利 2500 万美元离场的传奇交易员。从传奇到合约赌狗，James Wynn 的结局究竟是什么......

大西洋彼岸的凉兮，筹款维持仓位

5 月 31 日，在经历多轮减持后，James Wynn 平仓了 BTC 和 PEPE 多单，账户总亏损达到1772 万美元，地址持仓余额仅剩 16.28 美元。但这位交易员并没有气馁，他表示， 1 亿美元不过是一粒尘埃。

6 月 2 日，James Wynn 再次宣布暂停合约交易，但仅两个小时后再度回归，在 Hyperliquild 上开启 40 倍 BTC 多单，仓位价值超 1 亿美元，并在 X 平台作秀性的艾特 Wintermute 宣布自己高调回归。

然而，James Wynn 的仓位并没有和他嘴一样硬，多次面临清算被迫添加保证金。就在弹尽粮绝之时， 6 月 2 日深夜，和所有合约赌徒一样，James Wynn 开始借钱维持仓位。作为颇有影响力的 KOL，James Wynn 学习了“东方合约战神”的方式，在 X 平台公布了募捐地址，并树立了一个“假想敌”做市集团号召大家对抗，同时表示如果赢了将 1: 1 返还资金。

在 James Wynn 的仓位扭亏为盈后，该推文已被删除。据链上公开数据，截至推文被删除，James Wynn 共筹集价值约 6 万美元的 USDC、ETH 等代币，James Wynn 几乎将筹款全部转出。

截止目前，James Wynn 价值 1 亿美元的 40 倍 BTC 多单浮盈达 21 万美元，清算价为 103620 美元。虽然筹款推文已被删除，或许当再次面临清算时，他又会进行“链上乞讨”。

真实身份或为 Hyperliquid 代言人？

James Wynn 一边在 Hyperliquild 频繁开单，一边在社交媒体上高调发言，他的形象已经不是一个分享交易心得和策略的交易员，而更像是一个博取社媒关注的 KOL。

「筹款开单」流派第一人凉兮表示：“James Wynn 是个被 HYPE 制造出来的假人。他用多个账户对冲仓位，一个账户做多，其他几个账户做空，这样他就不会承担任何实际损失。他的目标是操纵过度杠杆投机者的情绪，吸引散户投资者落入陷阱，并提高 HYPE 的知名度，从而诱使人们买入。我已经在 HYPE 达到 39 美元的高点时做空了它，我相信 HYPE 价格会跌破 20 美元。”

被当成狙击假想敌的做市商 Wintermute 创始人兼首席执行官 Evgeny Gaevoy 回应 James Wynn 的公开喊话也戏虐的表示，“总体而言，我认为这只是场执行出色的 Hyperliquid 营销活动。James Wynn 做的不错，推文也很精彩。”

不论 James Wynn 是否是刻意，其对 Hyperliquild 的营销是成功的。5 月份其因在 Hyperliquid 上与“ 50 倍内幕巨鲸”开出对手盘最终胜利而名声大噪，后续紧接开出 10 亿美元开单震惊市场。

与此同时，HYPE 的价格也在当天创下新高达 39.8 美元。但就在 James Wynn 第一次宣布将退出合约交易时，HYPE 价格开始下跌，而两个小时后 James Wynn 再次在 Hyperliquid 上建立 PEPE 多头仓位，HYPE 价格才开始回暖。很难猜测在这两个小时里，是什么力量让他迅速做出了返场的决定，难道是 Hyperliquild 官方打钱了吗？

交易所在平台打造明星交易员，吸引其他玩家跟单是非常常规的操作。昔日孙宇晨也给凉兮赞助过一笔合约基金，只是要求让其在火币开单，提升火币影响力。

不过，也有观点认为 James Wynn 的行为只是为了获取第二轮 HYPE 空投。BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 发文表示：“我开始觉得这（指巨鲸 James Wynn 试图 0 成本募资）可能会成为加密圈史上最成功的交易平台营销活动之一。HYPE 必将获胜。另外，这家伙很可能就是在另一个匿名地址进行对冲交易，专门为了薅下一轮空投。”

但对于一个靠交易曾赚取上千万美元的人来说，空投的吸引力或许没这么大。

天才在左，疯子在右

James Wynn 近两周的经历就像是一部大型连续剧，不免让人好奇、揣测其结局究竟如何？但无论怎样，他都不再可能是一个受人仰慕的交易员。从James Wynn 的近期操作和高调发言，不难看出他是一个表演性人格，享受着被关注的感觉。但对于一个交易员来说，公开大规模建仓并不明智，知名交易员 Eugene 就曾评论表示，“James Wynn 公开建立超大规模仓位的行为颇具争议，从经验来看，这几乎总是一个坏主意，其负面外部性往往大于正面效应。”

很难定义 James Wynn 是天才还是疯子，极端合约操作、普通人达不到的千万美元盈亏、社交媒体上宣泄式的发言、敢打敢拼的风格构成他的人格底色。这也使 James Wynn 能够从芸芸众生中脱引而出，成为与凉兮类似的存在。

James Wynn 6 月 1 日在火币平台直播与孙宇晨对话时也表示，“事实上我享受这个过程。即使我赚到 10 亿美元，也不会花在自己身上。我追求的不是财富本身，而是享受这场博弈的刺激。”

但或许连James Wynn 本人都没意识到的是，那个来自英格兰的某个破烂小镇、自述“没人能离开那里，那里充斥着刀具犯罪、毒品、酒精和贫困……”的 Boy 已经陷入了一个更大的战壕。

“没人能离开这里，这里充斥着贪婪、欲望、虚伪与骗局......”

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