以太坊逼近 3,000 美元,接下来走势全看这几件事

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-05-15Last updated on 2025-05-15

Abstract

ETH 可能即将迎来其最重大的市场反弹之一,并且该资产正趋向于新的高点。

  • 以太坊以 5.63% 的日涨幅回升至 2,700 美元,上次出现这种情况是在 2 月底。
  • 交易所储备下降至 1910 万 ETH,表明需求上升,供应紧缩即将到来。
  • 以太坊[ETH]近期回升至2,700美元的水平,这是其上次交易价格,出现在2月24日。此前,过去24小时内,以太坊曾大幅上涨5.63%。

AMBCrypto 发现,此次突破 2,700 美元区间的走势与传统投资者的抛售策略背道而驰。这种背离为潜在的更强劲反弹创造了空间。

传统投资者退出对 ETH 来说可能是个好兆头

根据LookOnChain 的数据,过去 24 小时内现货 ETH ETF 净流出 1083 万美元。这意味着传统投资者抛售的 ETH 数量超过了买入的数量,很可能是为了在近期上涨后获利。

然而,山寨币继续呈走高趋势,可能是受到同一时期机构购买的支撑。

为这一看涨势头做出贡献的一家著名机构投资者是 Abraxas Capital。

该团体在过去 24 小时内购买了价值 8470 万美元的 33,482 ETH。

事实上,Abraxas 在过去一周累计增持了 211,030 枚 ETH,价值 4.776 亿美元。这样的举动往往会增强市场信心,并有助于维持上涨势头。

如果现货 ETH ETF 的净流量变为正值,它将加强当前由大型机构投资者推动的上涨势头,并有可能将 ETH 推高至 3,000 美元以上。

更多的融合正在出现

根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,现货交易者目前在市场上保持中立立场。这表明,即使价格持续上涨,市场仍保持一定程度的平衡。

现货零售活动仍然处于灰色地带,尽管呈略微上升趋势,涨幅为 0.17%。

如果这种趋势持续下去,现货交易者可能无法推动 ETH 的下一轮上涨。考虑到这一点,AMBCrypto 研究了其他市场信号。

然而,交易所储备数据却讲述了不同的故事。交易所持有的 ETH 数量下降至 1910 万,证实抛售压力减轻。

这表明需求强劲,交易者从交易所积累 ETH,导致供应逐渐紧缩。

与此同时,反映像灰度这样的机构资金流动的基金市场溢价仍维持在-0.3的轻微负值。这表明该基金仍有进一步增长的空间,尤其是在这些机构投资者重新入场的情况下。

总体而言,当前的市场动态表明,如果机构、传统和现货交易者重新参与,以太坊可能会进一步上涨。

随着新的参与,ETH 很有可能在短期内突破 3,000 美元。

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