比特币涨势可能在 15 万美元时停滞,原因如下

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-05-11Last updated on 2025-05-11

Abstract

尽管比特币的采用率和机构信心不断增长,彼得·希夫 (Peter Schiff) 仍继续批评比特币。

  • 比特币重新夺回 10 万美元,显示出比特朗普上次获胜时更强劲的支持。
  • 塞勒将价格阻力归因于短期持有者退出,而机构则推动长期增长。
  • 比特币 [BTC]再次成为人们关注的焦点,突破了人们期待已久的 100,000 美元大关,这表明在经历了长期看跌之后,市场情绪可能会发生转变。

这种复苏似乎比唐纳德·特朗普总统获胜期间出现的短暂飙升更为稳定,当时 BTC 一度飙升至 109,000 美元,随后在经济不确定性加剧的情况下暴跌。

目前,比特币价格稳固保持在 103,000 美元以上,根据CoinMarketCap 的数据,过去 24 小时内比特币价格小幅上涨 0.57% ,似乎正在构建更强劲的基础。

塞勒谈比特币

然而,MicroStrategy 创始人 Michael Saylor 认为,尽管 BTC 价格上涨,但达到 15 万美元大关仍会延迟。

他认为,这可能源于短期持有者退出市场,而新一波长期投资者开始入场,这可能为未来更可持续的反弹奠定基础。

5 月 9 日,Saylor 在 Natalie Brunell 主持的 Coin Stories播客中谈到了这一点,她指出:

我认为我们现在正在经历一次轮换,你知道很多非经济利益相关方正在退出资产,然后一批新的投资者正在进入。”

塞勒在谈话中指出,相当一部分比特币已经被政府机构、法定托管人和破产受托人等非传统持有者控制。

在 FTX 等重大崩盘之后尤其如此。

这些实体缺乏长期投资眼光,仅仅根据程序要求而持有资产。

随着近期加密货币市场的看涨势头,许多短期托管人将此次反弹视为确保流动性的主要退出点。

比特币有可能达到 10.5 万美元吗?

塞勒表示,这波缺乏战略投资前景的抛售抑制了 BTC 向 150,000 美元等更高目标的攀升。

不过,他仍然对比特币的长期走势充满信心,并指出新一代机构投资者正在通过 ETF 和公司债券介入。

Saylor 还补充道,

在任何宏观恐慌中,流动性最强的可杠杆资产是比特币。比特币是唯一可以卖出的东西,你可以在周末或晚上用50倍杠杆做空它,但它的波动性会很大。如果有人因为一些不祥之兆而想出售某种金融资产,他们首先会选择比特币,因为这是他们唯一可以交易的东西,而且不仅仅是在美国交易,还可以在全球范围内交易。

然而,就在塞勒对比特币持乐观态度之际,比特币的永远的批评者彼得·希夫却借此机会批评了比特币,他说,

指标暗示了什么?

技术指标正在强化当前的看涨势头。

相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和 Chaikin 资金流 (CMF) 均位于各自的中性水平之上,表明购买压力强劲且资本流入健康。

然而,RSI 处于超买区域,增加了近期回调的可能性。

尽管整体情绪依然乐观,但这种过度扩张表明,随着市场寻求建立更可持续的轨迹,短暂的回调或盘整阶段可能即将到来。

然而,突破 108,000 美元的水平可能会引发向 120,000 美元的飙升。

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