ETH价格预测4月12日:贝莱德640万美元买入能否引发反弹?

marsbitPublished on 2025-04-11Last updated on 2025-04-11

价格预测

  • ETH在20日均线关键阻力位1,755美元处遭遇拒绝。
  • 贝莱德ETHA出现640万美元巨额资金流入,但ETH下跌2.2%。
  • Santiment表示ETH是2025年的良好买入选择,维持看涨观点。

以太坊(ETH)当前交易价格为1,559.83美元,过去24小时下跌2.2%,难以重拾看涨势头并突破2,000美元关口。

尽管尝试推高价格——日内一度触及1,621.53美元高点——ETH仍在20日均线关键阻力位(当前为1,755美元)附近遭遇拒绝。

贝莱德640万美元ETH买入

值得注意的是,以太坊价格下跌与积极的机构动态形成反差。贝莱德iShares以太坊信托(ETHA)周四录得643万美元资金流入。

然而,这种乐观情绪被更广泛的市场行为所掩盖——新批准的现货ETH ETF总计录得3,879万美元资金流出,仅富达以太坊基金(FETH)就出现3,600万美元巨额撤资。

这种选择性积累与投资者普遍怀疑之间的分歧,暗示着以太坊中短期走势仍存在不确定性。

虽然下图显示积累量略有上升,但该加密货币本轮周期表现相当平淡。

价格预测

ETH价格分析

深入观察图表显示,ETH目前交易价格略高于布林带下轨支撑位1,436美元,表明该资产处于超卖区域。中轨线当前位于1,801美元附近,与20日均线基本重合,形成关键阻力区。

价格预测

相对强弱指数(RSI)为36.61——略高于30的超卖阈值——表明看涨动能不足,但也可能正在形成底部。短期内ETH可能正在筑底,尤其是若能持续维持在1,500美元上方。

值得注意的是,若跌破布林带下轨支撑,可能导致进一步下跌,使ETH面临1,350美元支撑位的考验。

阻碍以太坊发展的常见批评因素?

正如Santiment强调的,以太坊正面临"ETH空头"日益增多的批评。该区块链分析平台指出的主要原因包括:

  • 第二层解决方案对以太坊自身价值的稀释
  • "合并"和"上海升级"等复杂更新导致投资者困惑
  • 更新缓慢和高Gas费令用户沮丧
  • 相比比特币面临更大的监管不确定性
  • Solana、Cardano和Avalanche等更具吸引力的替代品分流关注度和资金
  • 缺乏比特币(作为数字黄金)或高收益山寨币那样明确的投资定位
  • 质押ETH解锁带来的抛压

尽管存在这些合理担忧,Santiment指出以太坊仍是过去一个月开发活跃度排名第7的加密项目。该数字资产可能即将迎来反弹,短期内有望创下历史新高。

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