Ethereum рискует упасть ниже $1 800 из-за угрозы ликвидации двух крупных китов

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-02-29Last updated on 2025-03-31

Давление усиливается

Ethereum снова под давлением. За последние сутки цена снизилась на 3% и опустилась ниже важного уровня в $1 800. Это может вызвать цепную реакцию ликвидаций в DeFi-протоколах.

Особенно в зоне риска оказались две крупные позиции в MakerDAO. Вместе они удерживают более 125 000 ETH — это около $235 млн по текущему курсу.

Ранее: Ethereum приблизился к запуску Pectra в основной сети

Киты на грани ликвидации

Обе позиции были открыты с использованием ETH как залога для выпуска стейблкоина DAI. Чтобы избежать ликвидации, залог должен оставаться выше критического уровня.

Сейчас показатель здоровья этих позиций опустился до 1,07 — почти на грани. У одной из них пороговая цена ликвидации составляет $1 805, у другой — $1 787.

Если Ethereum продолжит падение, Maker начнет автоматическую продажу ETH для покрытия долга. Это может усилить давление и ускорить снижение цены.

Индикаторы указывают на продолжение падения

RSI (индекс относительной силы) провалился в зону перепроданности — до 24,37. Для сравнения: ещё три дня назад он был 58,92.
Хотя технически это может указывать на потенциальный отскок, история показывает — RSI может оставаться внизу долго, если медвежий тренд сохраняется.

Также сигналит Directional Movement Index (DMI):

  • -DI (медвежий импульс) вырос до 40,23,
  • +DI (бычий импульс) упал до 10,6,
  • ADX (сила тренда) резко вырос до 38,6.

Такая комбинация обычно указывает на устойчивое снижение. Покупатели слабеют, а продавцы контролируют рынок.

Что будет дальше с ценой ETH

Ключевая поддержка — уровень $1 823. Его пробой может быстро привести к падению в зону $1 759. Именно на этом уровне могут быть ликвидированы оба крупных хранилища в Maker.

Если это произойдет, рынок может получить дополнительную волну давления — и цена ETH рискует уйти еще ниже.

Возможен ли разворот?

Чтобы изменить тренд, Ethereum должен вернуться выше $1 938 — ближайшего сопротивления. В случае успеха следующей целью может стать зона $2 104, а затем — $2 320 и $2 546, если появится сильный покупательский импульс.

Но пока технические сигналы остаются слабыми, а настроение — медвежьим. Ключевым остается вопрос: выдержит ли ETH уровень $1 800, или киты в Maker станут катализатором нового обвала?

Читать далее: Риск рецессии в США вырос до 40%: что это значит для крипторынка

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