特朗普就职日即最高点!比特币已暴跌28%,币圈动荡加剧

华尔街日报Published on 2025-03-01Last updated on 2025-03-15

1月20日,特朗普就任美国总统,比特币当日创下109241美元的历史高点,被视为“特朗普交易”的明星资产。

然而,不到六周,价格暴跌28%至78226美元,加密货币市场市值蒸发1万亿美元。

这一剧变令投资者猝不及防,市场情绪跌入低谷。

比特币的暴跌,币圈动荡加剧

自特朗普就职日起,比特币便持续下挫。

2月,比特币月度跌幅达18%,为2022年6月以来最大单月跌幅。最近一周,跌势加剧,周五一度下跌7.2%至78226美元,较峰值跌幅达28%。

看跌情绪也打击了美国现货比特币ETF。2月份,美国比特币ETF净流出33亿美元,创历史最大月度撤资纪录。Split Capital联合创始人Zaheer Ebtikar表示:

“部分大玩家选择离场,卖压显著增加。”

媒体分析称,比特币暴跌与特朗普关税政策引发的全球避险情绪密切相关。此前,特朗普曾宣布对多国加征关税,导致贸易战担忧升温。亚洲和欧洲股市应声下跌,高风险的加密货币市场损失惨重。

Bitgo Inc.亚太区场外交易主管Stefan von Haenisch称:

“宏观环境动荡下,比特币下跌在意料之中,投资者期待特朗普兑现比特币储备等承诺。”

技术面显示,比特币跌势或已超调。价格跌破200日移动平均线,为去年10月以来首次。14日相对强弱指数(RSI)跌至超卖区域,创去年9月以来新低。

YouHodler市场主管Ruslan Lienkha指出,根据技术分析,70000美元为下一技术支撑位,但需股市持续低迷才会触及;WeFi增长主管Agne Linge称,“恐惧与贪婪指数”跌至21,市场信心极度脆弱,关税问题仍是关键变量。

即将到来的峰会

3月7日,白宫将举办首次加密货币峰会,特朗普将发表演讲。

当前,市场静待特朗普峰会放出的政策信号。

风险提示及免责条款
市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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