ETH买盘乏力，短期或先涨至$2900再回落至$2500？

mediumPublished on 2025-02-19Last updated on 2025-02-19

Abstract

综合来看，未来几天 ETH 可能先上探 $2.9k，随后回落至 $2.5k 或 $2.6k。

ETH 价格走势显示出买方力量不足。 若要扭转当前趋势，以太坊需重新站稳 $2.9k 支撑位。

在此前的分析中，我们详细探讨了 Ethereum [ETH] 在 $2.8k 阻力位面临的挑战。上周，现货 ETF 的抛压被认为与投资者获利了结有关。

与此同时，韩国溢价指数（Korea Premium Index）上升，表明东亚市场对 ETH 的需求有所增加。

ETH价格预测

12 小时图：OBV 触及数月低点，空头趋势依旧

过去一个月的卖压导致 12 小时 OBV（成交量平衡指标）跌至多个月低点。

不过，这一情况并不特别令人担忧——OBV 在不同时间框架上会有所变化，日线（1D）和三日（3D）OBV 自 12 月以来基本持平，并未形成明确的下降趋势。

当前，ETH 价格结构仍然偏空，但 RSI（相对强弱指数） 仅略低于 50，中性区域附近震荡。此外，$2.8k 是一个较重要的高时间框架水平阻力位，多头目前缺乏足够的力量收复该阻力。

4 小时图：买方动能不足，短期或有流动性诱捕

4 小时图进一步印证了 12 小时图的看法。过去几周，ETH 的买盘相对薄弱，虽然 RSI 短暂突破 50，但价格结构依旧保持空头格局。

短期来看，ETH 在过去一周内形成了“更高的低点”，这一迹象略显积极，但如果无法突破近期低高点 $2,880，这一变化的意义有限。

在当前买盘不足、动能偏弱的情况下，市场或正在酝酿一场流动性诱捕（Liquidity Hunt）。

清算热图：$2.9k 和 $2.5k 或成为关键吸引区

过去一个月的ETH 清算热图（Liquidation Heatmap）显示，$2.9k 和 $2.5k 是两个较为显著的流动性磁吸区。

其中，$2.9k 更接近当前价格，短期内更可能吸引价格上探，并且这一位置与高时间框架的 $2,800-$2,850 阻力区间，以及低时间框架的 $2,880 阻力位相吻合。

综合来看，未来几天 ETH 可能先上探 $2.9k，随后回落至 $2.5k 或 $2.6k。

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