链上期权显示,受特朗普的关税贸易战,比特币跌至 7.5 万美元的可能性增加一倍

CoindeskPublished on 2025-02-06Last updated on 2025-02-06

Abstract

由于美国与其主要贸易伙伴之间重新爆发的贸易战有可能给全球经济注入通胀,这一概率比上周增加了一倍。

Derive.xyz 上的比特币(BTC)链上期权市场显示,到 3 月 28 日,价格跌至 75,000 美元的可能性为 22%,较上周的 10% 显着上升。

在美国与其主要贸易伙伴加拿大、墨西哥和中国之间再次爆发进口关税战之后,这种可能性急剧上升,人们担心这将加剧全球经济通胀,使包括美联储在内的各国央行难以降息。

德里夫在一封电子邮件中表示:“特朗普最近征收的关税,包括对墨西哥和加拿大进口产品征收 25% 的关税以及对中国商品征收 10% 的关税,可能会导致通胀上升,从而抑制加密货币市场的投资者情绪。”

Bitwise 欧洲负责人 Andre Dragosch 在 X 上表示,关税正在通过美元走强和全球货币供应量收缩带来冲击波。

CoinDesk 数据显示,比特币四天内已下跌 11%,至 93,700 美元。市值第二大的加密货币 ETH 周一早盘跌破 2,200 美元,创下 8 月 5 日以来的最低水平。

BTC 似乎有望完成双顶反转模式,这将为跌至 75,000 美元打开大门。

最近,Maelstrom 首席投资官、前 BitMEX 首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 表示,BTC 将首先跌至 75,000 美元左右,然后再迎来更大的牛市。

不过,德里夫表示,总体前景仍然乐观。

“我们看到 Bitwise 和 Grayscale 等主要参与者正在积极提交 DOGE、SOL、XRP 和 LTC 等资产的现货 ETF 申请。如果美国证券交易委员会批准这些申请,这将标志着数字资产行业的合法性提高,并引发更多资本流入,从而可能推高价格,”Derive 告诉 CoinDesk,并指出美国几个州正在建立战略 BTC 储备。

德拉戈施预计美联储最终将介入,为资产价格提供底线。

Bitwise 的 Dragosch 指出:“在某个时候,美联储将需要重新启动量化宽松政策,以抑制美元进一步上涨,并阻止金融状况持续收紧和全球经济增长放缓。”

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What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

661 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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