加密市场抛售:比特币\ETH\XRP\DOGE\SHIB 下跌的原因

金色财经Published on 2025-01-24Last updated on 2025-01-24

Abstract

BTC、SOL、ETH、DOGE、TRUMP 和 XRP 出现大规模清算,引发了更广泛的加密货币市场的抛售。

加密市场抛售:比特币、以太坊 (ETH)、XRP、狗狗币 (DOGE)、SHIB 和山寨币在关键宏观事件和期权到期之前下跌。

随着对唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼的看涨情绪消退,加密货币市场出现了抛售。全球市场市值暴跌超过 3% 至 3.52 万亿美元,交易量在过去 24 小时内暴跌 25%。与特朗普周一的就职典礼相比,今天的交易量下降了三倍,因此顶级加密比特币下跌超过 3% 至 102K 美元。

以太坊价格也下跌了 3%,延续了上周的疲软情绪。与此同时,XRP、Solana 和其他顶级山寨币在过去 24 小时内主要下跌了 2-5%。模因币 Dogecoin 和 Shiba Inu 在鲸鱼抛售中暴跌。

比特币、以太坊和山寨币暴跌的 4 个原因

1. 市场情绪和清算引发加密市场抛售

Coinglass 数据显示,加密货币清算金额为 2.5 亿美元,其中 1.53 亿美元清算发生在过去 12 小时内。过去 24 小时内有超过 107K 名交易员被清算,其中加密货币交易所 OKX 上最大的 BTCUSDT 单笔清算订单价值 593 万美元。

BTC、SOL、ETH、DOGE、TRUMP 和 XRP 出现大规模清算,引发了更广泛的加密货币市场的抛售。

由于特朗普在演讲中没有提到加密货币或比特币,这削弱了积极情绪,从而引发了加密货币市场的抛售。此外,行业参与者正在等待有关战略比特币储备或加密政策的行政命令。然而,美国证券交易委员会宣布成立由专员 Hester Peirce 领导的加密工作组,为加密资产制定明确的监管框架。

日本央行的加息决定

据彭博社 1 月 23 日报道,日本央行预计将于本周五将利率上调至 18 年来的最高水平。日本央行将利率上调 25 个基点至 0.5% 将触发日元套利交易平仓,从而给全球流动性和 BTC 等风险资产带来风险。

由于日本央行加息将消除对“特朗普交易”和特朗普家族推出的模因币的乐观情绪,加密货币市场可能会出现进一步的抛售。BTC 在去年日本央行加息期间突然下跌。

美国联邦储备局利率决定

美联储的货币政策决定和杰罗姆鲍威尔的评论将是今年市场的关键。最近的通胀和强劲的就业市场数据使美联储在本次 FOMC 会议上降息的可能性从桌面上消失了。

CME FedWatch 工具显示,美联储在 1 月 29 日会议上将利率维持在 4.25%-4.50% 不变的可能性为 99.5%。

与此同时,美元指数 (DXY) 再次开始攀升至 109,今天上涨 0.22% 至 108.38。此外,由于特朗普关税和其他政策决定导致波动,10 年期美国国债收益率保持在 4.6% 附近。通常,比特币价格的走势与 DXY 和国债收益率相反。

加密市场抛售:比特币和以太坊期权到期

根据 Deribit 的数据,29K 枚名义价值为 30 亿美元的 BTC 期权即将到期,看跌期权比率为 0.48。最大痛点为 99,000 美元,表明再次跌破 100K 美元。期权到期期间价格波动总是可以预期的。

BTC 价格目前交易价格为 102,467 美元,较 24 小时高点 105,557 美元下跌 3%。此外,名义价值近 5 亿美元的 169K ETH 期权即将到期,看跌期权比率为 0.47。最大痛点为 3,300 美元,高于当前价格 3,220 美元。交易者必须密切关注交易量的剧烈变化,以进一步下跌 ETH 价格。

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What is XRP 2.0

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