CPI利好市场、大饼以太齐涨、XRP又创新高、能上10U吗?

金色财经Published on 2025-01-23Last updated on 2025-01-24

Abstract

随著美国消费者物价指数的公布,比特币快速从 96000 美元水位拉涨至十万美元区间,在今日凌晨四点更一度突破十万,最高达 100866 美元,最高涨幅达4.1%。

昨(15)日晚上九点半左右,随著美国消费者物价指数的公布,比特币快速从 96000 美元水位拉涨至十万美元区间,在今日凌晨四点更一度突破十万,最高达 100866 美元,最高涨幅达4.1%。
24小时内爆仓量达3.55亿美元,其中主要爆仓为空仓,金额为2.26亿美元,比特币在总体经济不佳的情况下持续突破十万美元,又让市场情绪来到了相对贪婪的时刻。

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市场短期观望情绪得到一定释放,但未突破今年高点,显示可能会进入盘整期一段时间,截稿前现报 99962 美元,近 24 小跌幅缩小至 1.84%。
同时间,以太坊也一度突破3400美元区间,同时间相对比特币涨幅更大,来到了接近6.7%,截稿时间暂价为3399.6美元。
涨很简单,难的是涨上来还要稳住,看看这几天能不能稳住十万关口吧。
由于市场出现通膨放缓的迹象,也引发美股大涨,道琼工业指数一度涨破超过700%,近期与比特币高度相关的纳斯达克指数更是涨幅超过2.45%,
其中市场数据更显示,有交易员开始在对赌联准会今年将回复降两次一码的决策,这与之前市场倾向2025年只降一次与不降息的悲观情绪完全不同。
XRP又创新高
过去 24 小时,XRP 价格自 2018 年以来首次突破 3 美元,继续领涨 2025 年的加密货币市场。15 天涨幅达到 41%,领跑前 10 大加密货币。
目前 XRP 价格距离其历史高点 3.84 美元仅差 17%,以当前 1700 亿美元的市值计算,该代币的市值已经超过了资产管理巨头BlackRock。

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这一涨势是由对加密货币友好政策的预期以及美国数字资产监管改革推动的,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)和 Ripple 就 XRP 代币销售进行了多年的法律斗争。以及越来越多的合作伙伴关系、瑞波稳定币 RLUSD 的推出以及对潜在的现货 XRP ETF 的猜测驱动的。
预计现货 ETF 将「很快」获得批准,因为新政府的批准将加速这一进程。此外,Ripple 的领导层已与即将上任的美国政府直接接触,首席执行官 Brad Garlinghouse 和首席法律官 Stuart Alderoty 最近会见了特朗普,表明双方可能就塑造有利于数字资产的监管环境展开合作。
此外,当前 XRP 价格的飙升与持有 100 万至 1000 万枚代币的「鲸鱼」持续积累相吻合。
自 11 月 12 日以来,持有 100 万至 1000 万枚代币的地址增持了 14 亿枚 XRP,价值约为 38 亿美元,即使是 2024 年 12 月初高点后的价格盘整期间也在继续积累。
XRP在谷歌搜索热度超越比特币
1 月 15 日,全球范围内对 XRP 的谷歌搜索量超过了比特币。过去一年中,XRP 两次在搜索量方面领先比特币,最近一次是在 2024 年 11 月。

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2024 年,比特币和以太坊等主要资产的期货未平仓合约创历史新高,凸显了衍生品市场在牛市期间的重要性。然而,XRP 近期上涨主要由现货投资者驱动。
XRP 重测 3 美元完全由现货买盘驱动。XRP周涨幅达到 15% 期间,XRP 的资金费率和现货买入溢价并未大幅上升。如果继续上涨,XRP的表现将有可能超越以太坊。
尽管以太坊拥有更好的「基本面」,但 XRP 得到了积极的监管支持,因为首个亲加密货币的美国政府即将于 1 月 20 日上台。
从技术角度来看,XRP 显示出强劲的增长指标,在 2024 年底上涨 105% 后突破了其多头旗形形态。然而,其相对强弱指数(RSI)为 79.5,表明该代币超买,可能导致短期回调或盘整。
如果ETF通过,XRP 价格可能上涨至10美元甚至更高。

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