一分钟揭秘：链上分析找到 $TRUMP 的庄 ！！！

投研日志Published on 2025-01-21Last updated on 2025-01-21

Abstract

读完了你可能会知道 $TRUMP 是否要卖了。

原文作者：推特 @sky_gpt

来看看其背后的筹码分布和超级大户动作吧。

我花了 5个小时整理，读完了你可能会知道 $TRUMP 是否要卖了。

$TRUMP 的做市商是 Wintermute！

首先 $TRUMP 是从1月19 号 10点发的，所以我们从那天开始看，我把 $TRUMP 的链上分析根据筹码分布分为 5个维度。

1. 持币地址分析

2. 行为经济学

3.智能合约

4. Top3 获利地址分析

5. Top3 holder 地址分析

那我们先从 “ 持币地址分析 ” 开始，看看 $TRUMP 是咋样的。

持币地址分析：

外部做市商主要就是 Wintermute！

地址有：

9un5wqE3q4oCjyrDkwsdD48KteCJitQX5978Vh7KKxHo

AC5RDfQFmDS1deWZos921JfqscXdByf8BKHs5ACWjtW2

FWznbcNXWQuHTawe9RxvQ2LdCENssh12dsznf4RiouN5

还有应该是某个大户的

2hrFEWiLwC2mrBd9cu3cFZEh1hKQ86y7AozE4MyiZxMm

A3ZcnXcCnLDWsCgxMDryqFPLCP6dpMGEs5eaHHwjm6Sg

Trump集团的主要是（也就是庄家地址）

5e2qRc1DNEXmyxP8qwPwJhRWjef7usLyi7v5xjqLr5G7

GRvmQxtFRqtQZYaeF8bUqH8FrDHoK5Eabs5aYyU34bPg

A8nPhpCJqtqHdqUk35Uj9Hy2YsGXFkCZGuNwvkD3k7VC

可以看到这些钱包持仓都很靠前的，说明 $TRUMP 是强庄币。

行为经济学

从交易频率来看，0 - 1ku 的散户占了大部分。从资金量上，主要是 1ku到100w 的交易者为主。

可以看出，1wu 以上的交易次数少，但资金量占比超过95%，资金小的散户更偏向于追踪杀跌，而大户则买定离手，交易次数较少。

从大户的动作来看，除了一个叫 Trump 巨鲸的在买入，不少大户都已经卖出！卖的数字也比较整数，应该是在执行其交易计划。

智能合约分析

这是一个很基础的 Solana 代币，控制权集中，代币数据不可变，创作者只留了一个存储链接指向内容。没有复杂功能，也没看到特别安全的设计。总体看，这个合约没啥技术含量，更像是宣传或话题代币，投资需谨慎。

最大获利地址TOP1（买的早，逐步减仓）

单币总利润+$40.7M(+5528%) 就是4070w美金，单币翻了55倍，已经套现了36.3M，还有4.4M 没出，套现了8/9 左右。

我看了下该地址持仓，有效的不多，不知道为什么单币 $TRUMP 赚麻了，可能是某个degen的多号之一。

地址：3AWDTDGZiW8joyfA52LKL7GUWLoKBCBUBLUE5JoWgBCu

获利地址TOP2（买的多，右侧交易，还会抄底降低成本）

单币总利润+$31.5MM(+6213.6%) 就是3100w美金，单币翻了不到1倍，可能是个做右侧的高手，我看了下该地址持仓，买过不少归零的，但他还花了130w美金买了特朗普老婆，买的还挺早。

地址：3AWDTDGZiW8joyfA52LKL7GUWLoKBCBUBLUE5JoWgBCu

最大获利地址TOP3（买的早，卖了不少）

单币总利润+$28.4MM(+98.7%) 就是2800w美金，单币翻了不到1倍，主要是买的早，买的多了一些。看了下其他操作，主要是一些撤池子的代币，但可以追踪下其 transfer 的地址。

地址：GiQtBSJ8utNu9qQ9seCUD6bye5AUH4sesSBP9hEHZFVx

Top1 holder 地址分析

这个地址就是特朗普集团的地址之一了，持仓 80%的 $TRUMP，最近买了特朗普老婆的代币和maga。还是有跟踪价值的，有点类似官方链上喊单。

地址：2RH6rUTPBJ9rUDPpuV9b8z1YL56k1tYU6Uk5ZoaEFFSK

Top2 holder 地址分析

这是binance的地址，持仓 4.26%的 $TRUMP，感觉买美国总统家族的币更频繁，买了 hero，maga等，有一定追踪价值。

地址：5tzFkiKscXHK5ZXCGbXZxdw7gTjjD1mBwuoFbhUvuAi9

Top3 holder 地址分析

持仓 1.45%的 $TRUMP，还参与过一些撤池子的行为，这个感觉有点镰刀。

地址：GRvmQxtFRqtQZYaeF8bUqH8FrDHoK5Eabs5aYyU34bPg

以上就是 $TRUMP 的链上数据分析

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