美联储本周或将加息75个基点,比特币跌破22000美元,市场“极度恐惧”

比推Published on 2022-06-15Last updated on 2022-06-15

Abstract

更大幅度加息的前景增加了加密市场的价格压力

本周所有人的目光都集中在美联储周三的利率决定上,美联储再次准备加息,试图在不将美国经济推入衰退的情况下减缓四十年来的最高通胀。一些分析师现在预计,美联储周三将加息75个基点。

更大幅度加息的前景增加了加密市场的价格压力,比特币连续第八个交易日下跌,在周一晚间跌至20,834.50美元的30个月低点后稍稍回升,在过去24小时内仍下跌超过5%,截至发稿时比特币价格为21563美元。


Arcane Research 周二在一份报告中指出,在当前的抛售中,不仅比特币,所有加密货币都受到了冲击,跟踪股市的大幅下跌。Arcane 研究人员写道,“投资者至少在未来几天应该做好应对波动的准备。”

比特币恐惧和贪婪指数达到了8,表明极度恐惧。虽然市场已经连续第56个月处于极度恐惧的区域,但自 2020 年 3 月以来从未出现过这一水平。

周二,标准普尔 500 指数下跌约 0.4%,而道琼斯工业指数下跌 0.5%。 以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数上涨 0.2%。

《华尔街日报》报道称,美联储官员本周可能考虑将利率上调0.75个百分点以对抗通胀,10年期国债收益率继续飙升,一度突破3.4%。上周五的数据显示,尽管美联储已经采取措施为经济降温,但 5 月份消费者价格年增长率为 8.6%,使通胀达到 1980 年代以来的最快速度。两年期国债收益率——通常随着美联储加息预期而上升——从周五的 3.047% 升至 3.279%,创下 15 年新高。

美联储官员已表示,提高利率以降低通胀是他们的首要任务。继 3 月份小幅加息之后,美联储在 5 月份的会议上加息 0.5 个百分点,这已经是美联储 20 多年来最激进的加息举措。


花旗集团经济学家写道:“就在不久前,美联储官员还表示对今年通胀将放缓抱有希望,现在他们将不得不面对这样一个背景:尽管金融状况迅速收紧,但物价仍在加速上涨。”

芝加哥商品交易所FedWatch工具显示,交易员认为周三宣布加息75个基点的可能性为94%。


高盛(Goldman Sachs)将其对下一次加息的预测改为75个基点。首席经济学家Jan Hatzius表示:“因此,我们最好的猜测是,(《华尔街日报》的文章)是美联储领导层的暗示,即加息75个基点即将到来。”

加密货币的抛售一直持续到周二上午,在该行业的“黑色星期一”看到超过 10 亿美元的加密衍生品在 24 小时内被清算后,抛售幅度有所减弱。

总体而言,自去年11月见顶以来,加密货币总市值已缩水逾三分之二,截至纽约时间周二上午 11 点,加密货币市值已从最高点的 3 万亿美元跌至 9520 亿美元。

根据 DeFi Llama 的数据,目前稳定币的总市值为 1580 亿美元,较 5 月 1 日的峰值 1890 亿美元下跌 16.4%,当日跌幅为 1%。

在投资者等待美联储周三的联邦公开市场委员会会议和新闻发布会之际,分析师们保持着极其谨慎的态度。

Oanda 高级市场分析师 Edward Moya 指出:“如果华尔街做出非常鹰派的决定,美国国债收益率和美元可能会再次飙升,这将考验许多加密货币交易员的底线。”

Moya 继续说道,“如果比特币跌破 20,000 美元水平,支撑位可能要到 17,000 美元水平才能出现。”


金融专家建议消费者采取一些关键的资金举措,以使自己处于更好的财务状况并为即将到来的经济衰退做好准备。这些措施广泛包括偿还债务和支撑个人预算,以抵御任何突如其来的经济冲击。

华盛顿州瓦拉瓦拉市 Baker Boyer 的认证财务规划师、副总裁兼家庭顾问经理 Cathy Schaeffer 说,现在是时候“真正审视你的个人预算,并找出一些更积极地偿还债务的方法,因为预计这些加息将继续下去。”

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Wall Street Traders Shift Crypto Market Activity to Weekdays

For decades, Wall Street adhered to a strict Monday-Friday schedule, a rhythm initially challenged but not fully overturned by the 24/7 nature of cryptocurrencies. However, institutional adoption is now fundamentally reshaping crypto market dynamics, shifting most price discovery and trading activity to traditional U.S. market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET). According to Kaiko Research, weekend trading volume has fallen from roughly 25% to about 16% of the total. This concentration creates a significant "liquidity vacuum" on weekends when institutional support withdraws. Analysis by BridgePort shows the market becomes more vulnerable: trading costs rise by an average of 11% due to wider spreads, market depth for $100k trades worsens by nearly 9%, and displayed liquidity drops over 5%. Consequently, smaller trades can trigger sharper price swings. The massive success of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a key driver of this structural shift. While providing steady weekday demand, their complete inactivity on weekends exacerbates the liquidity gap. Large capital movements, like the over $0.5 billion withdrawn from U.S. spot ETFs since October 2023, are easily absorbed on weekdays but can cause significant turbulence on thinner weekends. Ultimately, weekend trading now requires heightened caution due to a "thin" market, absent major market makers, and multiplied risks of sudden price jumps and slippage. Understanding these hidden liquidity mechanisms has become crucial for navigating the new financial reality.

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Wall Street Traders Shift Crypto Market Activity to Weekdays

cryptonews.ru1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

1.1k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片