币圈已在24年得到了它想要的一切!明年呢?

金十数据Published on 2025-01-02Last updated on 2025-01-02

加密货币曾是投资公众眼中的边缘事物,是华盛顿政策制定者关注的问题,也是华尔街顶级人物嘲笑的对象。但在2024年,这种情况发生了变化。

目前,比特币这样的数字资产已经可以像股票一样被普通美国人拥有和交易。华尔街一些最大的参与者将其誉为明智的投资。而即将上任的华盛顿特区政府承诺将进行重大立法改革以支持该行业。

加密货币的广泛接受为参与其中的投资者带来了巨额收益。

自年初以来,持有比特币的投资者收益增长了126%,比特币在特朗普当选后飙升至超过10万美元。Coinmarketcap的数据显示,所有加密货币的市场价值膨胀了近1.7万亿美元。

Capital Alpha的管理合伙人Ian Katz表示:“目前,加密货币行业的一切都朝着有利的方向发展。”

加密货币爱好者认为涨势不会很快结束。

Bitwise首席投资官Matt Hougan认为,到明年这个时候,“我们将进行同样的对话,即比特币经历了令人难以置信的涨势”。Bitwise预计比特币在2025年底前将突破20万美元。

这场转变中华尔街最大的受益者之一是贝莱德首席执行官拉里·芬克(Larry Fink),他曾是比特币的“自豪的怀疑者”,但现在这位全球最大资产管理公司老板已经成为其最知名的拥护者之一。

芬克在今年早些时候表示,“我曾是一个自豪的怀疑者,我研究过它,了解过它,然后我得出结论说,‘好吧,你知道,我持续了五年的观点是错误的。’”

他的公司贝莱德现在建议感兴趣的投资者将其投资组合的“高达2%”投入比特币。

芬克在10月份的财报电话会议上告诉分析师,“我们认为比特币本身就是一个资产类别;它是黄金等其他商品的替代品。”

贝莱德和其他10家资产管理公司,如富达投资和富兰克林邓普顿,在1月份获得了推出现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的许可,这允许普通投资者接触全球最大的加密货币,而无需实际持有它。

贝莱德的现货比特币ETF(IBIT)随后成为历史上增长最快的ETF。摩根大通的研究显示,截至12月18日,这11只推出的ETF管理的资产规模已达1000亿美元。

贝莱德数字资产主管Robbie Mitchnick表示,“以前有些人本来会投资比特币,但由于没有传统意义上值得信赖、简单、高效的方式来做到这一点,所以他们没有参与进来。然后ETF改变了这一点。”

贝莱德对加密货币的接受(它还在7月下旬推出了一只规模较小的现货以太坊ETF)与一个亲加密货币的国会候选人获得大量行业支持的选举年相吻合。加密货币的一些最大参与者——包括Coinbase、Ripple和风险投资公司Andreessen Horowitz——通过超级政治行动委员会(Super PACs)为特朗普的总统竞选贡献了大约1.35亿美元。

特朗普在竞选期间也对该行业做出了一些承诺。他承诺解雇美国证券交易委员会主席根斯勒,后者是该行业最大的反对者之一;任命一个加密货币总统顾问委员会;并在国会的帮助下建立一个“战略性的国家比特币储备”。

当选总统是否会让美国政府成为比特币持有者甚至购买者,仍然是一个热门话题。

但根斯勒已经递交了辞呈,如果得到确认,这一职位将由知名加密货币律师保罗·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins)接替。多年来,阿特金斯一直明确表示,他赞成对加密货币进行更清晰的监管,而不会扼杀创新或施加不必要的监督。

特朗普还任命风险投资家戴维·萨克斯(David Sacks)担任人工智能和加密货币沙皇。通过他的风险投资公司,萨克斯已经投资了许多加密货币和人工智能公司。

特朗普的一些其他内阁成员也曾披露或讨论过他们对加密货币的接触。

如果这些行政部门的任命还不够,该行业还热切期待着这将是历史上最支持加密货币的国会。

加密货币风险投资公司Castle Island Ventures的合伙人兼联合创始人尼克·卡特(Nic Carter)指出,“人们对此感到震惊,因为我们是一个新兴行业,而且我们最近在华盛顿的影响力越来越大。”

共和党预计将推动有利于加密货币的立法,这将为稳定币和更广泛的加密货币市场提供明确的监管,甚至为大型银行提供更好的与数字资产互动的方式。卡特已经会见了共和党人,讨论了加密货币行业缺乏美国银行准入的问题。

他补充道,“我们是一个在过去四年里不断受到打击的行业,我们试图保护自身的利益是很自然的。”

但高盛首席执行官苏德巍(David Solomon)在最近一次会议上指出,许多受监管的美国银行仍然无法接触加密货币。

苏德巍补充道,“每个人都在猜测监管框架将如何演变,但监管框架将如何演变仍然不清楚。”

第一部加密货币立法何时才能在众议院和参议院以及特朗普面前通过,目前还谁也说不准。

曾在特朗普第一届政府任职的加密货币投资者安东尼·斯卡拉穆奇(Anthony Scaramucci)指出,“我要提醒大家,如果你认为明年1月20日后一个开关就会启动,一切都会变得更好,比特币和数字资产社区一片欣欣向荣,那你就错了,华盛顿的工作方式并非如此。”

然而,这些未知因素并没有让一些加密货币“布道者”感到担忧。

MicroStrategy董事长兼坚定的比特币多头迈克尔·塞勒(Michael Saylor)本月表示:“过去四年里,我每天都说,买比特币,不要卖比特币。我将继续购买更多比特币。我将永远在高点买入比特币。”

即使是华尔街一些剩下的怀疑论者也承认,早点投资比特币会很明智。

Citadel首席执行官肯·格里芬(Ken Griffin)在本月早些时候的一个峰会上表示:“当然,我希望我买的东西的交易价格已经较几年前翻了100倍,对吧?我们都有错失恐惧症(FOMO)。”

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

$8 Trillion: The Second-Largest IPO in History Has Arrived

SK Hynix Makes History with World's Second-Largest IPO. The global memory chip leader SK Hynix debuted on Nasdaq, raising $26.5 billion and achieving a market cap exceeding $1.2 trillion. This marks the largest U.S. IPO by a foreign company and the second-biggest globally. The company's journey is a remarkable turnaround. Founded in 1983, its predecessor, Hyundai Electronics, faced near-bankruptcy during industry downturns before being acquired by SK Group in 2011. A pivotal early bet on HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) technology, initially with AMD in 2013, ultimately paid off with the AI boom. SK Hynix now supplies HBM3 to NVIDIA and commands 58% of the global HBM market. Driven by soaring AI demand, SK Hynix reported staggering Q1 2026 profits with a 72% operating margin. Its surging stock made it South Korea's second trillion-dollar company. Profits are shared widely with employees through a new bonus system tied to 10% of annual operating profit. The article highlights an ongoing "super memory cycle" fueled by AI, with market forecasts predicting massive growth. This presents a historic opportunity for Chinese memory chip makers. ChangXin Memory Technology (CXMT) is set for a domestic IPO, potentially reaching a ~$420 billion valuation as China's top DRAM producer. Yangtze Memory is also preparing to go public. While these "domestic storage leaders" are gaining ground, the article notes they still face technology and margin gaps compared to established giants like Samsung and SK Hynix.

marsbit46m ago

$8 Trillion: The Second-Largest IPO in History Has Arrived

marsbit46m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

717 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片