5 лучших прогнозов для криптовалютных ETF в 2025 году: идеи Нейта Джерачи

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-06-02Last updated on 2025-01-02

  • Джерачи прогнозирует, что в 2025 году будут запущены спотовые ETF на BTC, ETH и SOL, что приведет к росту инвестиций в криптовалюту.
  • Смена руководства SEC может привести к более дружественному по отношению к криптовалютам подходу к ETF.
  • ETF на биткоины и эфириумы в 2024 году будут свидетельствовать о растущем институциональном принятии цифровых активов.

Нейт Джерачи, президент The ETF Store, поделился своими пятью главными прогнозами относительно рынка криптовалютных ETF в 2025 году. Он считает, что эти события, скорее всего, произойдут, начиная с совместного запуска спотовых ETF на Bitcoin и Ethereum.

Top 5 2025 crypto ETF predictions in order of confidence…

1) Combined spot btc & eth ETFs launch (obvious)

2) Spot eth ETF options trading

3) Spot btc & eth ETF in-kind creation/redemption

4) Spot eth ETF staking

5) Spot sol ETF approved

Actually, these all will happen.

— Nate Geraci (@NateGeraci) January 2, 2025

Гераси также прогнозирует введение спотовой торговли опционами ETH ETF, создание и погашение как BTC, так и ETH ETF в натуральной форме, запуск спотового ETH ETF с поддержкой стейкинга и одобрение спотового ETF Solana.

Одобрение SEC ETF на биткоины и эфириум в 2024 году

Комиссия по ценным бумагам и биржам США (SEC) одобрила ETF Bitcoin и Ethereum в 2024 году, что стало важной вехой для рынка криптовалют. Это одобрение, предоставленное таким фирмам, как Hashdex и Franklin Templeton, упростило институциональным инвесторам доступ к Bitcoin и Ethereum через спотовые ETF.

Хотя решение было принято после ряда задержек, одобрение SEC стало сигналом перехода к более широкому институциональному принятию цифровых активов. Ожидается, что совместный запуск спотовых ETF BTC и ETH будет опираться на этот импульс.

Джерачи ожидает введения спотовой торговли опционами ETH ETF, что предоставит инвесторам больше гибкости в управлении своими активами Ethereum.

Spot Solana ETF и другие прогнозы

Geraci также предвидит одобрение спотового Solana ETF. Это предоставит институциональным инвесторам еще один вариант диверсификации портфеля, позволив им получить доступ к быстрорастущему блокчейну Solana.

В дополнение к этим прогнозам Джерачи ожидает:

  • Создание и погашение в натуральной форме ETF BTC и ETH
  • Запуск спотового ETH ETF с возможностью стейкинга

Изменение ландшафта SEC и принятие криптовалютных ETF

Эти события совпадают с потенциальным изменением в регулирующих установках в SEC. Недавний уход комиссара Кэролайн Креншоу предполагает возможное смягчение исторически строгой позиции SEC в отношении регулирования криптовалют.

Читайте также: Оптимизм относительно ETF Ethereum падает, поскольку SEC задерживает одобрение ETF Hashdex

Поскольку ожидается, что председатель SEC Гэри Генслер также покинет свой пост в январе, а его место, скорее всего, займет Пол Аткинс, агентство может занять более благоприятный подход к криптовалютным ETF.

Такая смена руководства может существенно изменить нормативно-правовую базу, что приведет к более широкому принятию финансовых продуктов на основе цифровых активов.

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