SOL: текущий ценовой паттерн сулит временное падение

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2020-08-20Last updated on 2024-11-20

Solana сформировала восходящий клин на 4-часовом графике, что чревато снижением цены SOL, прежде чем она сможет начать рост к $260

За последнюю неделю токен Solana подорожал на 15%. Держатели SOL надеются на продолжение роста. Впрочем, несколько технических индикаторов предупреждают, что быкам, возможно, придется подождать еще немного.

Рост Solana замедлился

На 4-часовом графике можно увидеть восходящий клин. Этот технический паттерн часто считают медвежьим сигналом, указывающим на возможный разворот тренда. Он формируется двумя сходящимися трендовыми линиями. Нижняя линия (поддержка) поднимается быстрее, чем верхняя линия (сопротивление), создавая сужающийся канал. Когда цена пробивает нижнюю линию, это подтверждает медвежий разворот и возможное снижение.

Иногда может произойти бычий прорыв, но это случается реже. В случае с SOL кажется, что цена близка к пробою нижней линии. Если это подтвердится, ралли альткоина может остановиться, и цена может существенно упасть.

Восходящий клин Solana. Источник: TradingView

Кроме того, индекс денежного потока Money Flow Index (MFI) усиливает медвежий прогноз. Этот индикатор использует цену и торговый объем для измерения капитала, входящего и выходящего из актива.

Рост MFI отражает сильное давление покупателей, а снижение — доминирование продавцов. Сейчас индикатор находится в нисходящем тренде, усиливая медвежьи настроения. Вместе с восходящим клином это увеличивает вероятность снижения цены.

Читайте также: Solana и Base стали лидерами среди блокчейн-экосистем в 2024 году — CoinGecko

Индекс денежного потока. Источник: TradingView

Прогноз SOL: сначала $205, затем $260

На дневном графике цена встретила сопротивление на уровне $239,56, когда пыталась достичь $260. Поэтому SOL может не укрепиться до исторического максимума в ближайшее время.

Индикатор коррекции Фибоначчи также поддерживает этот прогноз. Из всех уровней коррекции ключевым является уровень Фибоначчи 23,6%, который выделяет возможную точку отката. Учитывая восходящий клин Solana и слабое покупательское давление, цена альткоина может снизиться до $205,12.

Дневной график SOL. Источник: TradingView

Если SOL пробьет верхнюю границу восходящего клина, этого может не произойти. Вместо этого токен может подняться выше $260 и достичь нового исторического максимума.

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
mantra
MantraMANTRA
xvs
VenusXVS
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
brev
BrevisBREV
zrx
ZRX（0X）ZRX
cake
PancakeSwapCAKE
jst
JUSTJST

Related Reads

Dylan Patel: Founder of SemiAnalysis, Praised by Jensen Huang, is a 'Beekeeper' and 'Forum Enthusiast'

Dylan Patel, founder of the independent research firm SemiAnalysis, has an unconventional background. A former beekeeper from rural Georgia, he entered the semiconductor world as a self-taught "forum warrior," discussing chip technology anonymously online from a young age. He launched the SemiAnalysis blog in May 2020, which later transitioned to a paid subscription model. The firm has grown from a one-person operation to a global team of around 60, with a dedicated teardown lab. Its detailed, technically-focused analysis on semiconductor supply chains, AI infrastructure, and products has earned significant industry recognition. Notably, NVIDIA founder Jensen Huang has publicly cited their reports. In a landmark case, a critical 2024 report on AMD's MI300X GPU software stack led to a 90-minute call with AMD CEO Lisa Su, who thanked him for the constructive feedback. SemiAnalysis later acknowledged AMD's improvements. The firm's influence on markets was seen when a report on NVIDIA's Rubin memory configuration was partially shared, affecting memory stock prices. Dylan Patel emphasized the importance of context, contrasting the shared excerpt with the report's actual title. SemiAnalysis, now a multi-faceted consultancy with revenue projected to reach $100 million, is known for its deep technical insights that influence major industry players and investment decisions.

marsbit40m ago

Dylan Patel: Founder of SemiAnalysis, Praised by Jensen Huang, is a 'Beekeeper' and 'Forum Enthusiast'

marsbit40m ago

Dylan Patel: SemiAnalysis, Praised by Jensen Huang, is Founded by a 'Beekeeper and Forum Warrior'

Dylan Patel, founder of the independent research firm SemiAnalysis, has an unconventional background. Growing up in rural Georgia, he later worked as a beekeeper in Minnesota. His entry into semiconductors began as a self-taught "forum warrior," engaging anonymously in online tech communities from a young age. In May 2020, he started the SemiAnalysis blog on WordPress, later moving it to Substack as a paid subscription service. The firm has since evolved from a one-person operation into a global company with around 60 employees, featuring a dedicated chip teardown lab. Its revenue, reaching $20 million last year, is projected to surpass $100 million this year. SemiAnalysis is highly regarded in the AI and semiconductor industry for its deep technical analysis. NVIDIA founder Jensen Huang has publicly praised its reports. In a notable instance, a critical report on AMD's MI300X GPU software shortcomings prompted a 90-minute call with CEO Lisa Su, who thanked Patel for the "constructive feedback." A later report acknowledged AMD's subsequent improvements. The firm's analyses have significant market impact. For example, a June report discussing potential memory configuration changes in NVIDIA's next-generation servers was cited as a factor in pressure on memory-related stocks. Patel plans to establish a venture capital firm, having already made personal investments in about 20 startups. SemiAnalysis combines roles as a consultancy, model platform, and tech lab, focusing on the practical bottlenecks in AI infrastructure.

Odaily星球日报45m ago

Dylan Patel: SemiAnalysis, Praised by Jensen Huang, is Founded by a 'Beekeeper and Forum Warrior'

Odaily星球日报45m ago

Ethereum Q1 Report: On-chain Activity Hits Record High, Tokenized Assets Lead the Industry

Ethereum Q1 2026 Report: On-chain activity hits record high, tokenized assets lead the industry. In Q1 2026, Ethereum's network experienced a unique divergence: on-chain activity soared while USD-denominated metrics declined. Monthly active users reached 13.2 million, transactions hit 200.4 million, and TPS averaged 25.78, all setting new highs. However, total value locked (TVL) fell 11.0% to $316.2B, DEX volume dropped 24.0% to $134.5B, and ETH's fully diluted market cap fell 30.3% to $290B. A key driver was the Blob Parameter Fork (BPO#2) in January, which increased data capacity and caused a sharp 47.9% drop in layer-1 transaction fees despite higher usage. Etherean's tokenized asset market cap reached $203.4B, up 42.9% year-over-year. While stablecoins ($178.9B) saw a slight dip, tokenized funds ($19.4B, +73.1% YoY), commodities ($4.7B, +325.9% YoY), and stocks ($365.1M) grew strongly. Ethereum dominates cross-chain comparisons, holding 71% of TVL, 79.2% of active loans, 61.8% of stablecoins, and 73% of tokenized funds among top chains. The report highlights a "Jevons Paradox" scenario: network expansion reduces per-transaction costs but unleashes latent demand, driving long-term growth. Ethereum's strategy mirrors Amazon's early focus on scale over profit. Its open, neutral foundation is seen as critical for institutional adoption, as evidenced by growing activity from firms like BlackRock and JPMorgan. The roadmap targets further scalability, aiming for thousands of TPS by 2029 to solidify its role as a global financial settlement layer.

marsbit48m ago

Ethereum Q1 Report: On-chain Activity Hits Record High, Tokenized Assets Lead the Industry

marsbit48m ago

CryptoQuant Metric Signals Whale Accumulation Near Bitcoin $64K Support

A CryptoQuant analysis indicates a significant spike in Bitcoin's Spot Average Order Size around the $64,000 price support level. This metric, calculated by dividing traded volume by the number of trades, suggests increased activity from larger market participants, potentially signaling whale accumulation during the recent price pullback. While this pattern near a key support zone can imply that sizable buyers are absorbing selling pressure, the report cautions that the metric is not definitive on its own. Large order sizes can sometimes reflect exchange operations rather than directional buying. Therefore, the signal is considered more meaningful when combined with other factors like price stabilization. The observation adds a layer to the market narrative, suggesting the correction has attracted larger capital alongside retail fear. However, it does not guarantee a bottom or a bullish reversal. The $64,000 area remains critical, and Bitcoin's ability to hold this support and advance past resistance will ultimately determine the significance of the accumulation signal amidst ongoing macro and ETF-flow risks.

bitcoinist1h ago

CryptoQuant Metric Signals Whale Accumulation Near Bitcoin $64K Support

bitcoinist1h ago

Russia Says "USDC is Usable" While Levying a 3% Fee on It?

In a two-step regulatory move, Russia has announced plans to impose a 3% fee on certain "unfriendly" foreign digital assets like USDC and USDT, while simultaneously adding them to its list of legally recognized cryptocurrencies. This approach, described by the article as akin to a customs authority taxing high-risk currency imports, reflects Russia's broader strategy to control rather than ban crypto. The new fee acts as a risk premium for assets deemed vulnerable to freezing by Western jurisdictions. Concurrently, Russia is promoting alternatives like stablecoins pegged to the ruble or friendly currencies, which would face lower or no fees. This regulatory push is timed against escalating international sanctions, particularly from the EU, which aims to restrict Russia's access to global crypto services. By establishing its own regulated framework ahead of potential external blockades, Russia seeks to secure a controlled financial channel, reducing dependence on dollar-linked assets. The situation highlights crypto's evolving role from an investment vehicle to a geopolitical tool, where control over its rules equates to control over financial flows.

marsbit1h ago

Russia Says "USDC is Usable" While Levying a 3% Fee on It?

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of SOL (SOL) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions