分析师称以太坊 ETF 在“迟来的兴奋”和日益高涨的乐观情绪中蓬勃发展

marsbitPublished on 2024-11-15Last updated on 2024-11-16

尽管以太坊在华尔街的首次亮相并不顺利,但分析师表示,选举日之后 ETF 的势头发生了转变。

以太坊 ETF 正乘着大选后的势头,扭转了今年夏天推出时数十亿美元资金流出的局面,当时投资者的热情曾受到打击。

以太坊

根据 SoSo Value 的数据,现货以太坊 ETF 的累计净流入量周二转为正值,达到 9400 万美元。这一数字代表了 9 种以太坊投资产品迄今为止的总收入,周四已攀升至 2.38 亿美元。

当现货以太坊 ETF 在 7 月首次亮相时,最初的前景并不乐观。根据 SoSo Value 的数据,Grayscale 以太坊信托基金 (ETHE) 在上市后的前五个交易日内流出 17 亿美元,随着以太坊价格跌至 3,400 美元,资金大量流失。

分析师将 ETHE 的大量资金外流归因于该产品相对较高的费用率,这使得其持有成本高于其他产品。不久之后,加密货币市场在宏观动荡和日元“套利交易”平仓的背景下下跌,令全球市场措手不及。

“现货以太坊 ETF 的推出时机很尴尬,”21S​​hares 的研究分析师 Matt Mena 告诉 Decrypt。“但现在乐观情绪已经全面回归。”

虽然投资者周四从现货以太坊 ETF 中撤出 320 万美元,但此前六天创下了纪录。在选举日,投资者为这些产品配置了 7.96 亿美元,创下了有史以来最长、最大的流入周期。

梅纳表示,在唐纳德·特朗普入主白宫后,投资者似乎对以太坊更加放心,这表明人们希望在当选总统的领导下,政府能够支持加密货币。与此同时,他表示,在国会山出现新基调的情况下,支持加密货币的国会议员“也应该鼓励更多开发者在以太坊网络上开发应用程序”。

“随着美国迎来更有利的监管政府,TradFi 机构和散户加密货币交易者都对数字资产的前景和弹性感到更加放心,”Plume 首席执行官 Chris Yin 告诉 Decrypt。“我们开始看到迟来的兴奋。”

FalconX 研究主管 David Lawant 表示,对有利的加密政策和监管的预期正在推动人们对以太坊的兴奋。例如,他告诉 Decrypt,稳定币的监管框架将验证以太坊的一个用例。

然而,自特朗普获胜以来,现货比特币 ETF 已流入数十亿美元,他告诉 Decrypt,最近流入以太坊 ETF 的浪潮也可能是机构投资者和散户投资者溢出效应的一部分。

“会有人开始四处寻找,看看这个行业除了比特币之外还有什么,” Lawant 说。“我们可能首先遇到的就是以太坊,这是目前唯一一个获得现货 ETF 批准的加密资产。”

Lawant 补充说,一定程度的反身性可能会影响资金流动。他说,随着以太坊价格上涨,投资者更有可能关注 ETF 并可能为其配置资金。

选举日当天,以太坊的价格约为 2,400 美元。尽管截至周二,以太坊的价格已上涨 41% 至 3,400 美元,但此后又回落至 3,100 美元左右。

Lawant 表示,总体而言,ETHE 的资金流出掩盖了现货以太坊 ETF 的推出,但从这只基金来看,它们的推出相当成功。贝莱德的比特币 ETF 本身就吸引了 17 亿美元的资金,而其他七只 ETF 总共吸引了 18 亿美元。

“重要的是要记住,对于不到四个月前推出的 ETF 来说,35 亿美元的资金并不是一个坏数字,”他说。

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