SOL 价格开始回升、但整体宏观势头显示出疲软迹象

金色财经Published on 2024-09-02Last updated on 2024-09-02

  • Solana 的价格在过去八天里下跌了 20%,让人想起 7 月底 30% 的跌幅。

  • RSI 接近超卖区域阈值,突显出抛售压力正在减弱和反弹。

  • 考虑到 SOL 过去在 126 美元以上的盘整,交易员预见到了下跌,这在融资利率中很明显。

Solana ( SOL ) 的价格在突破关键阻力位方面面临重大挑战。8 月份,该加密货币曾两次试图突破 160 美元大关,但均以失败告终。

尽管遭遇这些挫折,但一旦投资者情绪转变,仍有反弹的潜力。不过,Solana 跌回 126 美元的可能性仍然令人担忧。

Solana 整体宏观势头显示出疲软迹象

SOL 交易员基本上已经为Solana 的价格下跌做好了准备,尤其是在 8 月 28 日左右融资利率从正转为负的情况下。这种转变表明交易员押注进一步下跌,预计跌至 126 美元。鉴于山寨币的盘整已成为一种模式,负面情绪并非随意而为。

126 美元至 160 美元之间形成的盘整区间已成为关注的焦点。因此,许多人认为这是一个利用短期价格走势获利的机会。

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此外,Solana 的整体宏观势头也显示出疲软迹象。相对强弱指数 ( RSI ) 等技术指标表明,看跌势头目前正在达到顶峰。

然而,RSI 历史上曾从类似区间反弹,表明抛售压力可能很快缓解。抛售放缓可能为 Solana 开始复苏提供必要的空间,尽管整体市场状况仍然是一个关键因素。

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虽然 RSI 表明 Solana 已接近超卖区域,但这并不意味着会立即反弹。Solana 近期下跌的势头强劲,市场可能需要一些时间才能完全吸收这种抛售压力。

SOL 价格预测

过去八天,Solana 的价格未能突破 160 美元的阻力位,已下跌逾 20%。这一大幅下跌使得 Solana 很可能在出现任何实质性反弹之前重新回到 126 美元。126 美元此前曾是价格反弹的坚实基础,但最近未能突破 160 美元表明看跌前景持续存在。

此外,自 4 月中旬以来,126 美元至 160 美元的区间已多次受到测试,形成了一个明确的盘整区域。虽然有可能突破这一区间,但如果没有更广泛的市场状况发生重大变化,突破这一区间的可能性仍然很小。即使 Solana 成功反弹,如果未能突破 155 美元或 160 美元的阻力位,也可能导致另一次下跌,跌至 126 美元是有可能的情况。

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然而,如果Solana 的复苏与积极的市场信号相吻合,则有可能突破 160 美元的阻力位。这样的突破可能使 Solana 升至 169 美元。这需要市场情绪改善和持续的购买兴趣,而这两者目前都不确定。

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