Как экспирация опционов на $5 млрд повлияет на BTC и ETH

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-05-30Last updated on 2024-08-30

Сегодня истекает срок действия опционов на биткоин (BTC) и Ethereum (ETH) стоимостью более $5 млрд. Разбираемся, как экспирация повлияет на ценовую динамику двух крупнейших по капитализации криптовалют

Истекающие опционные контракты на биткоин стоимостью $3,67 млрд и на Ethereum на сумму $1,36 млрд могут спровоцировать краткосрочные ценовые колебания, особенно с учетом снижения стоимости этих активов.

Экспирация опционов: чего ждать

По данным Deribit, сегодня подходит к концу срок действия 61 793 опционных контрактов на биткоин. Это примерно три раза больше, чем 18 440 на прошлой неделе. Максимальная болевая точка для этих контрактов — $61 000, при этом соотношение пут-колл составляет 0,59, что свидетельствует об оптимистичных ожиданиях, несмотря на недавнее падение стоимости актива.

Истекающие опционы на Биткоин. Источник: Deribit

По Ethereum число истекающих контрактов выросло до 538 872 контрактов, по сравнению с 141 410 неделей ранее. Для ETH болевая точка находится на уровне $2 800, а соотношение пут-колл — 0,49, что также подтверждает позитивный настрой на рынке.

Аналитики Greeks.live отмечают, что недавнее падение цен, а также внешние факторы, такие как отчеты Nvidia, спровоцировали рост подразумеваемой волатильности (IV). Однако в долгосрочной перспективе этот показатель снижается, подтверждая общую тенденцию к снижению волатильности.

«Данные по рынку опционов показывают, что реализованная волатильность снизилась со 100% девятого августа до 40% на текущий момент. Это также привело к заметному снижению IV для BTC», — добавили аналитики.

Кроме того, аналитики Greeks.live обратили внимание на рост длинных позиций при торговле блочными опционами, что свидетельствует о подготовке некоторых крупных трейдеров к возможному росту цен.

Читайте также: Где торговать опционы на криптовалюту — топ-6 вариантов

Истечение опционов часто приводит к краткосрочным колебаниям цен и повышенной неопределенности на рынке. Однако спустя некоторое время рынки обычно стабилизируются, так как трейдеры адаптируются к новым ценовым уровням.

На момент публикации биткоин (BTC) торгуется по цене $58 157. За неделю крупнейшая криптовалюта подешевела на 3%. Курс Ethereum (ETH) обосновался вблизи ключевой поддержки $2 500, потеряв за день 1,3% и за неделю — 6%

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