比特币,大涨!

币界网Published on 2024-08-24Last updated on 2024-08-24

币界网报道:

8月24日,在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔年会上表示,将适当调整利率政策之后,比特币价格突然上涨。

截至发稿,币安交易所行情显示,比特币大涨5.12%,最新交易价格为64212.91美元/枚,并一度触及64955美元的高点,这是自8月2日以来的最高水平。

(来源:币安交易所)

比特币大涨 美国投资者需求激增

8月24日,Crypto Quant研究主管胡里奥·莫雷诺在社交媒体上表示,由于美联储暗示将开始降息周期,美国投资者对比特币需求今日大幅上涨。Coinbase上的比特币溢价指数(Coinbase Premium Index)达到了39天以来的最高点。具体来说,该指数反映了Coinbase交易所和币安交易所之间的比特币价格差距,作为衡量美国投资者需求的指标。

(绿线为比特币溢价指数。来源:胡里奥·莫雷诺社交媒体)

一般来说,溢价指数的上升表明了美国市场上的购买压力增加,而负值则可能暗示卖压增加。比如在8月5日“加密货币黑色星期一”之前,这一指数跌到了-0.10以下,当时比特币价格跌破了5万美元。

这波需求的激增发生在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔年会上表示,将适当调整利率政策之后。截至发稿,币安交易所行情显示,比特币大涨5.12%,最新交易价格为64212.91美元/枚,并一度触及64955美元的高点,这是自8月2日以来的最高水平。

就在鲍威尔讲话前几小时,比特币价格还在6万美元左右徘徊,有分析师此前表示,比特币矿工的挖矿成本高达72224美元/枚,远高于比特币现有价格,这会对市场造成卖压。加密分析师威尔·克莱门特也提到,尽管8月还有7天结束,但市场在过去6个月内一直将比特币价格低于6万美元视为有价值的信号。

就在投资者普遍认为比特币价格即将下行之际,比特币价格的突然拉升,致使做空比特币的交易者损失惨重。Coinglass数据显示,过去24小时,全网爆仓人数近6.3万人,爆仓总额达1.75亿美元,其中空单爆仓额为1.34亿美元。空单爆仓额创下自8月初以来的新高。

(比特币多空单爆仓金额走势。来源:Coinglass)

现货比特币ETF、以太坊ETF表现分化

备受期待的以太坊ETF在美国上市交易已经一个月了——但投资者似乎仍然不太感兴趣。

持有第二大加密货币以太坊的9只交易所交易基金自8月15日以来连续7天出现投资者资金流出,这是自7月23日上市以来最长的连续资金流出。SoSovalue数据显示,在同一时期,持有加密货币领头羊比特币的交易所交易基金每天都有资金流入。两者资金流出入显示出比特币ETF更受资金青睐。

数据还显示,仅周五,现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)净流入2.51亿美元,创7月16日以来的新高。在同一交易日,近5000万美元流入贝莱德的IBIT、富达的FBTC和灰度的GBTC。

(现货比特币ETF资金流出入走势。来源:SoSovalue)

(现货以太坊ETF资金流出入走势。来源:SoSovalue)

《CryptoIs Macro Now》时事通讯的作者诺埃尔·艾奇逊表示:“比特币通常是传统投资者的加密货币‘入口’。虽然随着多元化变得更加重要,以太坊最终可能会迎头赶上,但目前比特币可能会继续表现出色。”

对于资金分化的情况,FRNT Financial联合创始人兼首席执行官史蒂芬·欧莱特表示:“我认为,加密货币ETF投资者在杰克逊霍尔会议前和利率预期调整后,正在规避一些风险,这并不奇怪。”

责编:叶舒筠

校对:杨立林

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