Спотовые ETF не помогли Solana: что будет с ценой SOL

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2024-02-22Last updated on 2024-08-22

На фоне общей неустойчивости рынка Solana никак не может начать восстановительное ралли. Ситуация усугубляется тем, что инвесторы выводят деньги из SOL

Разбираемся, почему запуск спотовых ETF на базе Solana не взбодрил альткоин и чего ждать от цены SOL в будущем.

Институционалам не интересна Solana

Ранее на этой неделе появились новости о том, что в Бразилии одобрили второй спотовый ETF на базе Solana. Ожидалось, что это станет позитивным сигналом для альткоина, но реальность разошлась с ожиданиями. Напротив, институциональные инвесторы начали активнее выводить средства из SOL.

Согласно CoinShares, за неделю, закончившуюся 17 августа, из Solana вывели около $38,9 млн. С учетом оттоков годовой приток средств в SOL теперь составляет $31 млн. Это меньше, чем у Litecoin.

Читайте также: SEC исключает Solana (SOL) из списка ценных бумаг

Институциональные инвестиции в Solana. Источник: CoinShares

Такие значительные оттоки могут лишь усилить медвежий настрой вокруг Solana. Технические сигналы по альткоину уже негативные: так, например, RSI недавно вошел в бычью зону, однако вскоре снова опустился ниже нейтральной линии.

Такие значения индикатора говорят о том, что и так неустойчивый интерес со стороны покупателей ослаб еще сильнее. Пока RSI находится ниже нейтральной линии, вероятность восстановления SOL остается маловероятной.

RSI Solana. Источник: TradingView

Про то, почему аналитики считают шансы на одобрение Solana-ETF «почти нулевыми», читайте в нашем специальном материале.

Прогноз SOL: консолидация продолжится

На момент написания анализа SOL торгуется по $144, за сутки подорожав на 2%. Криптовалюта все еще держится выше уровня поддержки на $137. Однако из-за неудачной попытки восстановления в начале августа Solana, вероятно, пока продолжит консолидироваться ниже $156.

В случае прорыва ниже $137 альткоин упадет к $126, где расположен критический уровень поддержки. Отскок от этой точки вызовет макроконсолидацию в более широком диапазоне от $126 до $186.

Анализ цены Solana. Источник: TradingView

В то же время постепенное восстановление позволит Solana закрепить уровень $156 в качестве поддержки. При этом сценарии криптовалюта может подорожать $169. Такой рост хоть и не позволит SOL полностью отыграть все потери, понесенные в июле, но все же опровергнет медвежий тезис.

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
comp
CompoundCOMP
mantra
MantraMANTRA
xvs
VenusXVS
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
velodrome
Velodrome FinanceVELODROME
brev
BrevisBREV
zrx
ZRX（0X）ZRX

Related Reads

Canton: Here’s why CC’s $5.8M token unlock didn’t trigger a selloff

Canton's recent $5.8 million token unlock did not trigger the expected market selloff. Despite the new supply entering circulation, trading volume surged by about $10 million to $73 million, while the price remained relatively stable. The article suggests this deviation from the norm may be due to Canton's unique burn-mint equilibrium model, which aligns tokenomics with real network activity to counterbalance supply increases. Technical indicators show a mixed outlook, with some signs of a potential bullish recovery as the Stochastic RSI is oversold, but broader market structure remains under pressure. A key development is Tradeweb's landmark on-chain U.S. Treasuries transaction on the Canton Network, seen as progress for upcoming DTCC Tokenization Services.

ambcrypto1h ago

Canton: Here’s why CC’s $5.8M token unlock didn’t trigger a selloff

ambcrypto1h ago

Solana launches SGP governance as staked supply crosses 68%: Details

The Solana Foundation has launched Solana Governance Proposals (SGP), a new on-chain mechanism allowing validators to vote on ecosystem issues through stake-weighted voting. With nearly 68% of SOL's supply already staked, SGP aims to boost validator participation, further strengthening network security and health. The launch coincides with strong on-chain momentum for Solana, including record Real-World Asset (RWA) value exceeding $3 billion and a 17.3% spike in Open Interest to $2.3 billion, potentially driven by growing institutional demand and infrastructure like SPCX. Despite broader market weakness, factors like corporate treasury accumulation and a potential tightening of liquid supply from increased staking suggest SOL's movement around $80 may signal trend continuation rather than mere resistance.

ambcrypto2h ago

Solana launches SGP governance as staked supply crosses 68%: Details

ambcrypto2h ago

‘Reduce these barriers’ – Can Arcus save dYdX from its 45% crash?

dYdX Labs, the team behind the decentralized exchange dYdX, has launched a new platform called Arcus on the Robinhood Chain. Arcus is separate from dYdX and offers zero-fee, 24/7 trading of 95 tokenized stocks and perpetuals, aiming to democratize access to financial markets. The announcement had been anticipated, causing the DYDX token to nearly double in price beforehand. However, upon the official release, DYDX experienced a sharp 45% decline in a classic "sell-the-news" event. The dYdX Foundation clarified that the Arcus update has no direct impact on the DYDX token, which remains the governance and staking token for dYdX Chain. On-chain data showed no significant spot demand for DYDX following the news, as gains had already been front-run. Potential support levels are seen at the 200-day moving average and a key trendline, suggesting the sell-off could present a buying opportunity if broader market sentiment improves.

ambcrypto3h ago

‘Reduce these barriers’ – Can Arcus save dYdX from its 45% crash?

ambcrypto3h ago

Crypto hacks hit record high in H1 2026 – What’s fueling the surge?

According to TRM Labs, crypto hacks reached a record high in the first half of 2026 with 207 incidents, more than double the 85 reported in H1 2025. While the number of breaches surged, the total value stolen fell to $972 million, less than half the $2.3 billion lost in the same period the previous year. Smart contract exploits were the most common attack type, constituting 125 cases. However, TRM Labs' Ari Redbord noted that three-quarters of the stolen value came from infrastructure failures like compromised keys and custody systems, highlighting a gap between improved code auditing and lagging operational security. Notably, North Korean-linked actors were responsible for 66% of the stolen funds. Major exploits, such as the $293 million attack on KelpDAO, triggered liquidity crises in protocols like Aave and contributed to a broader loss of confidence in DeFi, leading to significant capital outflows and a drop in Total Value Locked to a two-year low of $70 billion.

ambcrypto5h ago

Crypto hacks hit record high in H1 2026 – What’s fueling the surge?

ambcrypto5h ago

But Bin's Latest Speech: Do Not Miss Out on a Great Era

Dan Bin's Latest Speech: Don't Miss a Great Era On June 29th, Dan Bin, Chairman of Dongfang Harbor (东方港湾), delivered a keynote speech titled "Don't Miss a Great Era" at the "2026—All in the Silicon-based New Epoch" Mid-Year Strategy Summit. Addressing concerns about an AI bubble, Dan Bin argued from an industrial cycle perspective that "the risk of missing an era may be greater than worrying about short-term bubbles." He views humanity as standing at the dawn of the AI era, which could be more disruptive than the electronics, internet, and mobile internet eras. He posits that the AI wave is unlikely to end in just three or four years. Using the internet era's decade-long rhythm as a reference point—with ChatGPT's late 2022 launch as the starting line—a key risk assessment window may only arrive around 2033. Dan Bin emphasized that technological progress is the primary driver of long-term capital market growth, while factors like trade wars or interest rate hikes are secondary. Expanding to a civilizational scale, Dan Bin presented a thought experiment on silicon-based life potentially supplementing or succeeding carbon-based life as a direction for extending Earth's civilization, especially over cosmic timescales spanning billions of years. On geopolitics, he noted that AI is already rewriting warfare rules, as seen in conflicts like Ukraine, and that neither the U.S. nor China can afford to lose the AI race, with each leveraging different strengths. Reflecting on investment lessons, Dan Bin cited Warren Buffett's and Charlie Munger's admitted "regrets" about missing major tech opportunities like Microsoft, underscoring the need for continuous cognitive evolution. His firm, Dongfang Harbor, is deepening its research in foundational AI areas like computing power and storage. Dan Bin concluded by urging investors to maintain a long-term perspective, embrace the epochal shift, and rationally hold onto the opportunities presented by this transformative age. He closed with a poetic reminder: "The tide never turns back... Born in this time is a great fortune in itself. Don't let hesitation trap your steps, nor short-sightedness waste the years—do not miss this magnificent era that belongs to us."

marsbit6h ago

But Bin's Latest Speech: Do Not Miss Out on a Great Era

marsbit6h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of SOL (SOL) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions