比特币突然震荡抹去了1.2亿美元的未平仓合约;警告过度杠杆

币界网Published on 2024-08-22Last updated on 2024-08-22

币界网报道:

比特币最近经历了一次突然的市场震荡,随着市场从为期一周的横盘整理中恢复过来,它抹去了1.2亿美元的未平仓合约。

根据CoinGlass的数据,当比特币的价格从今天早些时候的约62000美元跌至约59900美元时,约2000个未平仓比特币被抹去。这一突然下跌暴露了过度杠杆化多头头寸的脆弱性,导致CoinGlass警告交易员降低杠杆率。

BTC 30分钟图表CoinGlass

在这次暴跌期间的价格走势,随后是疲软的复苏,表明市场持续脆弱。尽管BTC在本次报道中小幅反弹至60912美元,但复苏缺乏达到初始水平的动力。

这表明,虽然市场找到了暂时的支撑,但买家尚未重新获得控制权。值得注意的是,在反弹期间,交易量仍然疲软,表明购买兴趣有限,这为进一步的不稳定敞开了大门。

市场过度杠杆化

累积交易量增量(CVD)和融资率等市场指标进一步揭示了交易者面临的压力。CVD在价格下跌期间大幅下跌,反映出强劲的抛售压力。

与此同时,融资利率从正转负,表明市场情绪从看涨转为看跌。

这一转变显著影响了未平仓合约,随着价格下跌,价值超过1.2亿美元的约2000份BTC合约被清算。这些清算总计约224614次,反映了市场严重依赖杠杆头寸,在经济急剧下滑的情况下,这被证明是不可持续的。

根据图表上的最新数据,比特币的未平仓合约一直呈上升趋势,约为310亿美元,在过去24小时内增长了4.9%。这表明有大量未平仓的期货合约,这是一个明确的信号,表明交易员正在比特币上建立杠杆头寸。

杠杆率高达6万美元

下图显示了币安BTC/USDT永久合约在12小时内的清算热图。热图显示,许多交易员正在使用高杠杆,特别是在6万美元等关键心理水平附近。

CoinGlass清算热图

低于60000美元水平的几个水平带表明,更多的清算口袋向较低的价格水平(接近58000美元)延伸。清算集群表明,市场杠杆过高,导致强制清算。

抛售压力继续抑制比特币价格

随着尘埃落定,比特币市场继续面临买卖订单不平衡的压力。截至8月21日,交易所市场深度数据显示,卖出订单大幅增加,卖方有53000 BTC,而买入订单有47000 BTC。

这种不平衡使比特币的价格保持低迷,市场几乎没有强劲复苏的迹象。增加这种压力的是外部因素,例如美国政府和FTX债权人将大量BTC转移到交易所。

因此,比特币的价格仍停留在60000美元左右的狭窄盘整范围内,反映了长期的不确定性和波动性。

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522 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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