ETH 下跌趋势即将结束 多头引领反弹,能涨到哪?

币界网Published on 2024-08-21Last updated on 2024-08-21

币界网报道：

根据目前的趋势，以太坊可能面临调整的结束。

以太坊 [ETH]是按市值计算的第二大加密货币，其价格最近经历了适度回升，在撰写本文时交易价格为 2,592 美元。

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以太坊一直处于下跌趋势，上周跌至 2545 美元的低点。目前以太币的价格仍远低于 3 月份 4,070 美元的高点，且较三年前创下的 4,878 美元的历史高点下跌约 45％。

当前的市场状况引发了人们的疑问：以太坊是否正处于更持续的复苏边缘，或者最近的价格走势是否仅仅是暂时的调整。 目前通过链上指标，表明市场情绪可能发生转变，以太坊可能正处于调整的后期阶段。

市场情绪

两个关键数据集，这表明以太坊即将进入修正阶段的尾声。

第一个是接受者买卖比率，它衡量所有交易所的买家与卖家的比例。 这一比率已转为正值，表明买家开始恢复实力。

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买卖双方动态的这种转变可能是潜在反弹的早期信号，特别是如果这种趋势持续到下一周。

第二个指标是未平仓合约（OI），它代表市场上未平仓的多头和空头仓位的总数。

2024 年 6 月，当以太坊的价格达到 3800 美元时，OI 创下了超过 130 亿美元的历史新高，这表明市场调整即将来临。

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这次调整发生在 2024 年 8 月 5 日，当时一场宏观经济事件导致 OI 暴跌至 70 亿美元。

目前，要想使以太坊的价格出现大幅上涨，杠杆参与者需要重新进入市场，从而可能引发新一波购买活动。

以太坊的潜在反弹

买家正在恢复力量，这可能是潜在反弹的早期迹象。虽然这些指标带来了乐观的前景，但大盘却承受了 ETH 24 小时复苏的冲击。共有 43,521 名交易员被清算，总额达 1.1152 亿美元。以太坊占这些清算的 2663 万美元，主要是多头头寸。

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另一个重要因素是以太坊从交易所流出的情况。CryptoQuant 的数据显示，过去一周以太坊交易所流出量持续增加。这通常表明投资者正在将其以太坊持有量转移到长期存储中，从而减少了可在交易所交易的供应量。这种行为通常表明投资者对前景持乐观态度，因为他们预计未来价格会上涨。

虽然这些因素为市场带来了光明的前景，但当前的市场状况仍对以太坊的复苏构成挑战，交易所供应量减少，加上持续的需求，可能会对以太坊的价格造成上行压力。目前的数据显示，以太坊的买家正在逐渐恢复实力。然而，时间将告诉我们，这是暂时的反弹，还是由多头引领的强劲反弹的开始。

简单来说

目前，以太坊表现出复苏迹象，但由于市场情绪谨慎，其价格仍低于之前的高点。与此同时以太坊交易所资金流出的增加表明投资者信心增强，可能预示着未来的看涨趋势。综上所述，经历长期的盘整以太坊的买家正在逐渐恢复实力预计短期内支持看涨前景，长期来看随着市场复苏与多头恢复实力伴随着上行压力增加将会引领 ETH 的反弹，从而推动价格向高点出发。

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