比特币的“金十字架”——BTC下一次大幅上涨至7万美元的催化剂?

币界网Published on 2024-08-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

币界网报道:
    分析师们强调了BTC转向ATH的几个催化剂,包括潜在的“金十字架”形成。此外,技术和链上数据都预示着BTC的看涨前景,但在回调之后。

比特币[BTC]在周末经历了飙升,短暂回升至60000美元大关。然而,自那以后,它又回到了58507.40美元的新闻发布时价格。

尽管价格在过去七个交易日仅小幅上涨了0.14%,但交易量却显著增长了33%,表明人们的兴趣日益浓厚。

尽管目前的价格走势似乎很缓慢,但两位分析师认为,这一趋势只是暂时的,并证明了他们的前景是合理的。

AMBCrypto扩展了这些分析师的观点,根据我们的独立分析,比特币价格的大幅上涨在这个时刻似乎是不可避免的。

专家对BTC即将上涨的看法

一位加密货币分析师Moustache在一份“友好的提醒”中强调了BTC作为阻力和支撑所尊重的11年趋势线模式。

根据他分享的图表,这条趋势线似乎正逐渐再次成为关键的支撑,就像今年早些时候一样。

如果BTC从这条趋势线反弹,我们可能会看到快速上涨,类似于之前这条趋势线上首次作为支撑时的模式。

Moustache还指出,比特币的简单移动平均线预示着潜在的反弹。

他补充道

“50/100 SMA的首个金十字架也在制作中。”

如果50 SMA(红线)越过100 SMA(蓝线),BTC的价值预计将显著增加,可能会升至6万美元或更高。

虽然这种看涨前景是明确的,但另一位分析师Crypto先生增加了乐观情绪。他分享了一张图表,展示了比特币减半后BTC的表现。

在他提出的两种情况下,从2016年到2020年,BTC在减半后经历了显著的价格上涨,每次都创下历史新高。

Crypto先生将这种模式描述为:

“比特币供应冲击即将到来”

这表明,如果这种历史模式继续保持下去,BTC的价值可能很快就会在6万至7万美元之间波动。

金十字架可能推动BTC上涨至7万美元

根据AMBCrypto的最新分析,BTC刚刚见证了移动平均线收敛和发散(MACD)技术指标的黄金交叉。

当MACD线(蓝色)越过信号线(橙色)时,就会出现交叉,这表明看涨转向,通常预示着价格将大幅上涨。

例如,当这种模式上次出现在7月12日时,BTC的价格在7月29日从56.5万美元的低点上涨到约7万美元的高点。如果这种模式持续下去,BTC可能会在未来几周达到类似的高度。

对货币流量指数(MFI)的进一步分析表明,多头正在逐渐控制市场。MFI是一种技术指标,它将价格和交易量数据合并起来,以确定超买或超卖情况,并预测价格逆转。

小额信贷机构在过去几天一直在稳步攀升,目前为49.11。如果这种上升趋势持续下去,比特币的交易价格可能很快就会达到或超过7万美元。

一条腿上升前的预期回调

Coinglass对BTC在每周和每日时间范围内的净流量进行分析表明,这是一个主要的看涨趋势。

负净流量表明BTC持有者正在将其资产从交易所转移到冷藏库,这意味着他们不打算在不久的将来交易BTC。

交易所BTC供应的减少可能会推高需求,从而可能推高价格。

未平仓合约(OI)代表期货或期权等未结算衍生品合约的总数,提供了进一步的看涨信号。

从8月12日到8月19日,OI从276.4亿美元上升到298.1亿美元,表明预期反弹的看涨势头日益增强。

然而,根据Coinglass的数据集,在短期内,许多长线交易者面临清算。


阅读比特币的[BTC]价格预测2024-25


当市场对持有多头头寸的交易者被迫平仓时,就会发生这种情况,这通常会导致抛售以满足保证金要求。

这种情况表明,比特币在反弹到潜在的新高之前可能会经历下跌。

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