比特币ETF看到中性流量,因为市场等待美联储降息75个基点

币界网Published on 2024-08-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

币界网报道:

比特币本周收盘持平,价格稳定在58425美元左右,比上周小幅下跌0.5%。对于加密货币来说,这是一场过山车之旅,开局强劲,周二达到61575美元。

但同样快的是,到周四,价格跌至56000美元。周五和周末的小幅恢复使它回到了开始的地方。

这种反复的行动对于8月份来说并不是什么新鲜事,因为波动性一直是常态,但比特币的价格已经连续两周保持相对稳定。

不冷不热的价格走势表现在比特币现货ETF的中性流入中,净流入3200万美元。价格可能没有太大变动,但交易活动远非无聊。

尽管8月份的交易量很低,但仅上周一周,比特币现货ETF的累计交易量就达到了约70亿美元,平均每天14亿美元。

交易量战胜了8月的干旱

过去几周,交易量分别达到107亿美元和125亿美元,呈现出一片繁忙景象。比特币现货ETF交易量激增,自8月初以来交易量已超过300亿美元。

这些数字是自4月以来我们从未见过的,当时投资者更为乐观。这与典型的夏季经济放缓形成鲜明对比,尤其是在第三季度。

虽然比特币一直保持其地位,但以太坊(ETH)现货ETF一直在流失。上周,又有1400万美元的资金流出,与已经持续了一段时间的中性趋势保持一致。

自这些ETF推出以来,资金外流总额已达到约4.2亿美元。然而,这里可能有一线希望。Grayscale以太坊ETF(ETHE)的资金外流最近有所放缓。

一些市场观察人士表示,如果以太坊获得一点积极的势头,我们可能会看到这些资金外流转化为资金流入。

这正是第一季度比特币现货ETF的情况,这可能正是以太坊需要重回正轨的原因。不过,就目前而言,比特币是行动的所在。

现在所有的目光都集中在美联储及其即将作出的利率决定上。在9月份的下一次联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议上,关于可能降息50个基点(bps)的传言很多。

但随着数据的涌入,这些预期已经发生了变化。现在,市场押注9月份将小幅降息25个基点,11月和12月可能还会再降息两次25个基点。

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