伯恩斯坦表示,如果特朗普获胜,比特币价格可能触底

币界网Published on 2024-08-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

币界网报道:

伯恩斯坦研究公司的一份新报告表明,加密货币市场,特别是比特币(BTC),可能会因即将到来的美国总统大选的结果而发生重大转变。

分析表明,唐纳德·特朗普的潜在胜利可能会催化比特币价格触底,导致领先加密货币的价格上涨。

报告指出:“我们认为,只有加密货币市场对特朗普可能获胜的出价,比特币价格才会触底,因为加密货币市场继续只将共和党的胜利解读为对加密货币政策的积极影响。”。

这一观点出现之际,加密货币价格仍在区间波动,或在两个特定价格点内波动,伯恩斯坦将其归因于美国大选的不确定性。

领先的加密货币预测市场平台Polymarket的最新趋势显示,共和党候选人特朗普和他预期的民主党挑战者卡玛拉·哈里斯势均力敌,特朗普的股价在哈里斯的经济声明引发负面反应后,最近几天反弹。然而,哈里斯在最后一天重新夺回了Polymarket的领先地位,领先的几率为51%,而特朗普的几率为47%。

图片来源:伯恩斯坦研究公司

除了选举见解外,该报告还强调了美国主要上市比特币矿业公司的重大融资活动。

Marathon Digital Holdings(MARA)筹集了3亿美元的可转换票据,部分用于为其资产负债表购买比特币,上周证实其购买了价值2.49亿美元的比特币。

与此同时,Riot Platforms(Riot)最近宣布了7.5亿美元的市场股票发行,Core Scientific(Core)获得了4亿美元的可转换票据,用于债务偿还和人工智能数据中心收购。伯恩斯坦公司的Gautam Chhugani写道,美国公共矿商在该行业中占有优势。

他写道:“与私人非上市矿商相比,在美国上市的比特币矿商具有天然优势。无论矿商是追求比特币挖矿还是人工智能数据中心增长,能够在世界上最深的资本市场筹集债务/股权,与非美国矿商相比都具有天然优势,特别是在一个准备进行市场整合的资本密集型行业。”

该报告还讨论了矿工中新兴的“鲻鱼战略”,即公司在保持比特币挖矿业务的同时,正转向人工智能数据中心。报告指出,这种方法正受到机构投资者的青睐,因为他们比加密货币挖矿更熟悉数据中心经济。

安德鲁·海沃德编辑

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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