分析师Benjamin Cowen表示,这就是为什么比特币(BTC)可能会反映2019年的价格走势

币界网Published on 2024-08-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

币界网报道:

一位广受关注的加密货币分析师表示,比特币(BTC)目前的回调让人想起大约五年前的价格走势。

加密货币策略师Benjamin Cowen在接受金融和科技YouTube用户David Lin的最新采访时表示,社会风险指标表明,加密货币之王正在追随2019年以来的价格走势。

根据Cowen的说法,观看加密YouTube频道的人数大幅下降,这表明它可能会像2021年那样逆转并反弹。

“我认为这与2019年更相似,这有几个原因——一个原因是,如果你看看我遵循的指标之一,加密货币领域的社会兴趣,基本上是由观看加密货币YouTube频道的人组成的…

你会看到,早在2021年,当我们处于这种狂热阶段时,你可以看到很多人涌入观看加密YouTube,[一些]频道当时平均每天约有400万次观看——现在这些频道平均每天仅约有85万次观看…

你回头看看社会风险……你可以看到社会风险降至低点,然后反弹,看起来和2019年非常非常相似。”

然而,Cowen继续指出,加密货币市场尚未出现2021年的狂热,因为散户投资者尚未重返该行业。

“我真的不认为我们刚刚经历的是2021年式的狂热阶段,因为零售业从未真正回归,这是一件有趣的事情,我认为对于很多人来说,这是市场上真正令人困惑的事情之一,因为比特币创下了历史新高,但我们从未真正看到零售业的回归。

再一次,还有一个证据表明,2019年并不是最糟糕的比较,就[百分比]而言,这实际上是一个非常相似的举措…

如果你把价格范围从2018年的低点到2019年的高点,大约是350%的反弹。从2022年的集会到2024年初,我们也看到了同样的事情。”

在撰写本文时,比特币的交易价格为58732美元,在过去24小时内下跌了1.84%。

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487 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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